Caloric restriction reduces age-related and all-cause mortality in rhesus monkeys
nature.com
nature.com
Mouse models had suggested years ago that calorie restriction could lead to ~%50 increase in lifetime. However, the problem with mouse studies is that they are pretty different, and also the mice they use are really inbred and perhaps non-ideal examples. The conclusion from the primate studies is really stacking up to be a common sense "eat in moderation, healthy, and you'll live at least a little longer, maybe a lot". Not really groundbreaking stuff, to be honest. And still not conclusive when you consider the resources that went into these studies. This also teaches us nothing about mechanisms, which would be really useful. Just my cursory assessment so far.
[1] http://www.nytimes.com/2012/08/30/science/low-calorie-diet-d...
http://www.newswise.com/articles/monkey-caloric-restriction-...
“In Wisconsin, we started with adults. We knew how much food they wanted to eat, and we based our experimental diet on a 30 percent reduction in calories from that point.” In contrast, the NIA monkeys were fed according to a standardized food intake chart designed by the National Academy of Science.
Through their own experience in monkey research, and by reference to an online database recording the weight of thousands of research monkeys, the Wisconsin researchers concluded that the NIA controls were actually on caloric restriction as well, says Colman. “At all the time points that have been published by NIA, their control monkeys weigh less than ours, and in most cases, significantly so.”
Weindruch also points to some results from the NIA that seem to contradict the “no significant result” analysis. Twenty monkeys entered the NIA study as mature adults, 10 in the test group and 10 in the control group, and five of these (four test monkeys and one control monkey) lived at least 40 years. “Heretofore, there was never a monkey that we are aware of that was reported to live beyond 40 years,” Weindruch says. “Hence, the conclusion that caloric restriction is ineffective in their study does not make sense to me and my colleagues.”
Caloric restriction has a whole bunch of knock-on effects, any one of which could have a huge impact on health and aging. For example, restricting calories means that you're restricting protein. Most people think of protein as a good thing, but that's what stimulates the hormone IGF-1 to be secreted, which is necessary for growth of all kinds--muscle growth (which is why bodybuilders eat as much protein as possible), but also including cancer.
I've seen research that suggests that cells don't go into "repair mode" in the presence of IGF-1. This is just one example of a possible mechanism that caloric restriction could have a hugely beneficial effect on aging and illness in general.
I have a half-written blog post about this I should push out. I'd love to get some more conversation going around this.
While people on CR do seem to try and keep IGF-1 on the lower side, there's no consensus on protein yet. Most seem to eat a normal proportion, (though still less than average person since their overall intake it lower.).
I have seen some people doing CR specially avoid whey protein because it's known to particularly raise IGF-1 (which is why on the other hand people trying to maximize size of muscles like it)
There are almost indefinite combinations of proteins, many of which have vastly different effects on the body and it's cells. To shed a bit of light on proteins, you should know that most enzymes are proteins too http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Enzyme
Some forms of 'proteins' may increase cancerous growth, other may inhibit it and there are many of such activators/inhibitors, just so you know. Only take a look at http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Myosin which there are proteins ("enzymes"), which may inhibit it, leading to a super-muscular body. It's a very small change, but the result is not what you would expect from just a protein. The contrary is true too, it could have damaging effect too. We are NOT talking about supplements here, but the form of proteins that occur in Nature. They are by far not researched enough to give any form of advice and there are still new breakthroughs, findings and surprises made in the area.
Roughly saying that no calories means, more lifetime, is like saying that not fueling a motor will increase it's lifetime.
Human Life is not about getting as old as possible anyway. My personal opinion is that it's there to bring healthy and smart kids to the world, which help in the betterment of the world with their creativity, skills, ideas, muscles, efforts and visions. Simple as that.
When you say "that's" are you referring protein and specifically its presence or absence? It would be interesting indeed to see more research on this as well if possible dimensionalize by not only retsricted/normal kCal but at variations in % kCal by proteing etc. It would also perhaps be very interesting to understand if the variations align as mean values above and below "normal" caloric restricion. Ie, imagine a polar explorer who is operating in caloric deficit yet at high exertion thresholds for days on end. And/or contrast this with caloric restriction in the sense of < normal 2200 per day (or whatevs).
... were fed a semi-purified, nutritionally fortified, low-fat diet containing 15% protein and 10% fat.
The monkeys without CR ended up getting diabetes and they were giving them insulin. This study made a big splash, but as others point out it probably really only helps prove that eating less crap is good for you.This paper appears to include some of the same authors of the Wisconsin study and tries to explain why the NIH performed a study that did not replicate their results. This paper claims that the control group in the NIH study actually underwent CR by comparing them to a database of captive primates. If that is true, then the title still seems strange, because it doesn't mean the NIH study provides meaningful supporting evidence, it means it was an invalid test of the CR hypothesis and instead it provides some extremely weak supporting evidence of the CR hypothesis.
As a side note, there is evidence that the CR benefit is from protein restriction and possibly just avoiding protein imbalances. https://chriskresser.com/do-high-protein-diets-cause-kidney-... (scroll to Is protein to blame—or is methionine?)
So the monkey research needs to be meshed in with human research that shows that mildly "overweight" (if fit) human beings have better mortality outcomes than human beings of normal weight[5] to tease out what the causation is for health outcomes of different patterns of nutrition. The example of Rimonabant[6] shows that sometimes an animal model doesn't adequately predict treatment effects in human subjects.
[1] http://www.prb.org/Journalists/Webcasts/2010/humanlongevity....
[2] http://www.demographic-challenge.com/files/downloads/2eb51e2...
[3] http://www.slate.com/articles/health_and_science/science_of_...
[4] http://www.nature.com/scientificamerican/journal/v307/n3/box...
I'm sure this is backed up by studies and references, and at the same time I am amused at the hubris of making this statement. It's a cheap prediction to make, given that it will be around 2070 before you can verify it - and how right it is depends on lack-of-catastrohpies (e.g. in 20 years we'll have an idea how the meltdown in Fukushima affects lifespan), same-rate-and-same-kind-and-availability of advances, etc.
And before you criticize me for being "anti-sciece" - I am not, and unlike a lot of other assertions, this might technically be science (I haven't reviewed the source material) - however, it is not useful science because it may take 70 years to falsify.
Furthermore, a lot of -- perhaps most -- extrapolations of past trends had been wrong. At the time of Wallace & Darwin it was "scientifically" extrapolated that food will only grow linearly. And in 1980 climate studies had shown that if we don't do anything (and we didn't) by 2000 quite a few coastal cities will be underwater. If I wasn't anonymous, I'd place a long bet that the data crunching that led to this prediction will turn out to be complete rubish.
I would say that my heir(s) will collect the winnings, but I fully expect medical progress will let me outpace death for quite some time.
"And what do we say to death?"
"Not today!"
Cite?
However, having lived and read newspapers at the time, I remember the scare mongering, and specifically the mention of the "Marker Tree" in the Maldives, which were projected to to have significant areas under water by 2010, then 2020, now 2100 (spolier: it didn't happen https://uk.answers.yahoo.com/question/index?qid=201107180902...)
A quick googling cannot find the original predictions (days before the web ... go figure), but this interesting discussion http://johncarlosbaez.wordpress.com/2012/03/27/the-1990-ipcc... will give you an idea about the difference between 25 year old predictions and what actually happened. The guy who runs this blog is http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_C._Baez
Other readings: http://www.foxnews.com/science/2013/01/28/un-climate-report-... (yes, it is fox news - so use your debiaser, but do look at the content). Also the responses and links over at http://www.scientificamerican.com/article/climate-assessment...
You or someone else presented this highly speculative claim as fact a long time ago on HN. I've tried to find the comment link, but I can't.
In any case, the support for this supposed fact is very dubious. You link to one article by Vaupel in Nature who, in making this claim, cites only this paper
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2810516/
by Christensen et al. The paper says, in the abstract,
> If the pace of increase in life expectancy in developed countries over the past two centuries continues through the 21st century, most babies born since 2000 in France, Germany, Italy, the UK, the USA, Canada, Japan, and other countries with long life expectancies will celebrate their 100th birthdays.
Very few medical researchers are likely to find that "if" statement at all plausible, so this claim about most newborn girls living to 100 is bogus. If you have a better source for this claim, please present it. Otherwise, stop posting it.
If you have a better source for this claim, please present it. Otherwise, stop posting it.
What you seem to be objecting to here is not the factual statement (you have not suggested any reason to doubt the factual statement, and haven't cited anyone who works in demography) but rather the strikingly concrete way in which the statement was made. But that manner of making the statement was chosen by Vaupel (in agreement with Christensen, whose works on the topic I have also read) and I'm just passing on the ideas of recognized experts whose published papers on the topic look plausible to me and look especially plausible to demography researchers on human aging I know locally. I learned about the papers of these two authors from local researchers who sometimes collaborate with Vaupel and Christensen (especially Christensen).
It shouldn't be objectionable here on Hacker News to pass on user-readable citations to published scientific literature that looks plausible to other scientists with a basis of knowledge in the subject. You are asking me to change my overt behavior as one Hacker News participant among thousands. Where in the Hacker News guidelines[2] do you find a problem with behavior like mine here? Hacker News seems very tolerant of predictions of the future, and indeed some of the favorite topics here revolve around predictions of the future.
Finding one expert who presents the conditional claim of another expert as unconditional, and (you) then asserting this claim as accepted fact is highly misleading. This is especially true when that unconditional claim is almost certain to be disputed by the majority of experts. Giving your citations reduces the friction necessary for people to identify how you are being misleading, but it's not a blanket pass to mislead.
Furthermore, it won't always be the case that there will be a nerd like me willing to dive into your citations to show why they don't support your claim. In this case, the veneer of authority that comes with listing many citations can easily overwhelm the benefit they provide, leading to more misinformation than if your speculative claim had been uncited and therefore ignored.
> How would one prove this claim wrong?
You would ask a few of experts if they think it's plausible that life expediencies would follow the same trajectory in developed countries this century as they have the past century. I conjecture that almost all those experts would reply "no", probabaly citing (1) the fact that the mortality rates at elderly ages has leveled off for many decades in developing countries and (2) that almost all the increases in life expectancy comes from reducing infant mortality and the spread of infectious diseases.
Indeed, the soft ceiling on human longevity has not budged much since Psalms 90:10 was written about 3 millennia ago:
> The days of our years are threescore years and ten; and if by reason of strength they be fourscore years, yet is their strength labour and sorrow; for it is soon cut off, and we fly away.
Have you asked even one? Have you asked any experts at all? This is what is so puzzling to me about this line of questioning--is the question actually prompted by acquaintance with the subject, or is it of a piece with doubting any other scientific claim? What if the projection is correct, even though you have trouble believing it? I have very little trouble believing the projection, having a mother born in the 1930s who has passed her eighty-first birthday, and having an aunt (her older sister) born in the 1920s who has passed her ninety-fourth birthday. Plenty of people from much earlier birth cohorts are already living into extended old age, so what is so daring about a prediction that anyone who meets established long-term patterns of life expectancy will live into an era with more progress in disease prevention and treatment?
(In short, why have you cited no evidence whatever on this point?)
(1) the fact that the mortality rates at elderly ages has leveled off for many decades in developing countries and (2) that almost all the increases in life expectancy comes from reducing infant mortality and the spread of infectious diseases.
That dual statement suggests you have not looked carefully at the link in my original footnote 4
http://www.nature.com/scientificamerican/journal/v307/n3/box...
(Nature's repost of a chart originally available at the Scientific American website, but a dead link there now), in which it is shown that life expectancy has been increasing steadily at ALL ages, including old ages. You really need to read up more on this, or it's hard for anyone to discuss these issues with you here. You are very careful to speak factually on other issues here on Hacker News, so this is taking me a bit by surprise. Do you know of any experts in this domain at all? Whose writings do you recommend?
I agree with you, it's important to be able to have open scientific discourse about the future. I wouldn't advise you not to post, but to strengthen what you write by being a little bit more critical and scientific.
The concern is focused on the change of "If the pace of increase in life expectancy . . . continues" to the materially different unsubstantiated claim of "more likely than not to reach the age of 100".
It's important to recognize that published literature is often wrong or misleading. We should all be very critical, particularly when relying on a single source. It's also dangerous to present conjecture or prediction as fact as done here.
>How would one prove this claim wrong?
You are highlighting that it's questionably falsifiable. Need I say more?
I am very interested in what you have to say, but when cracks like this show up it throws everything you write into question.
http://wholehealthsource.blogspot.com/2014/04/uncovering-tru...
However one thought that I find interesting, is that for our generation, living just two or three extra years could potentially make a huge difference.
If you subscribe to the idea of a coming technological singularity, or even to the idea that we're a few decades away from SENS escape velocity, you'd hate to miss it by just a couple of years.
> I'm an ectomorph
As in ecto|meso|endo-morph? I thought that the scientific community put that idea in the trashcan.1) they seemed frail and weak - the man seemed to have a constant runny nose. I felt that if he fell down he would break his hip. The risk of injury and death from physical weakness seemed like it would counter any benefits from CR for lifespan.
2) They put so much effort into measuring every ingredient, and running computer programs with recipes to get the optimal nutrients with as little calories as possible. It seemed to take so much time in preparation, and you could mostly only eat at home.
You probably met someone on the extreme hardcore edge of it. Certainly it's a spectrum and counting calories and nutrients with computer programs is extremely normal today -- there are about a million programs that do it on your phone for you including taking photos of bar codes, etc.
Open Access fees:[^1]
(CC BY) (CC BY-NC-SA) Region
-------------------------------------------------
$5,200 $4,800 (The Americas)
€3,700 €3,425 (Europe)
¥661,500 ¥612,150 (Japan)
RMB33,100 RMB30,600 (China)
£3,150 £2,915 (UK and Rest of World)
[^1]: http://www.nature.com/ncomms/open_access/index.htmlThis is an interesting point and I'll raise it at work: should the sponsor of an article be formally noted, along with the particulars of it's peer review, license, etc?
Also, a shameless plug: http://www.ubiquitypress.com/publish because OA isn't an expensive proposition, it just depends how it is handled and by whom.
http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0092867412...
It will certainly FEEL longer.
Suppose we can extend human life with Calore Restriction, but at the cost of having to slow person's activity to the point that the overall amout of actions (work, leisure etc.) remains the same as during shorter, more intense life.
Would that still be worth it? What would a person gain through longer lifespan if she was limited to roughly the same amout of activity anyway? Wouldn't competing people gain advantage simply by being able to take advantage of opportunities quicker?
Intermittent caloric restriction is also showing promise. You don't have to starve yourself daily -- just a couple of times a week -- to show some of the same benefits. Perhaps not to the same degree, but far more comfortably.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Calorie_restriction#Activity_le...
>Laboratory rodents placed on a CR diet tend to exhibit increased activity levels (particularly when provided with exercise equipment) at feeding time. Monkeys undergoing CR also appear more restless immediately before and after meals.[62] Despite this brief daily period of increased activity overall activity is no higher in CR than AL animals in youth after an initial period of adaptation to the diet.[63] On the other hand, CR has been found to retard the decline in activity that occurs during normal aging: in one study, animals on a conventional diet "showed little activity" by early middle age, while those on CR "were observed to run around the cage and climb onto and hang from the wire cage tops throughout their life spans. In fact, the longest surviving [CR] mouse was observed hanging from the top of his cage only 3 days before he became moribund."
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=h7fs33Jewsg&t=4m25s
According to people that do it they feel great (possibly due to BDNF activation in the brain).
Most of them are a product of vanity, but they still shape our culture.
How would I look if I reduce calories? I would lose a substantial amount of muscle mass. I would be weaker. I could not recover from endurance and strength work as fast as I'm used to.
If we throw all reasonable studies into a bucket and have them guide our lives, what would happen?
I wouldn't be tan. I wouldn't grow as large because small people supposedly live longer (though this is of course not something we can influence yet). I would have a very low muscle tonus as well as mass and only sufficient muscular endurance and size to do whatever I have to do (which is very little compared to a blacksmith in 1407). I would share a grey substance (heck, let's keep the name soylent) with my date that has everything I need to live. I have no car to reduce my carbon footprint. I will avoid the sun in general due to my skin color which is very prone to cancer (thankfully my children will be genetically altered). I will gladly try to avoid talking about any of this because saying "Don't you think beeing vegan is awesome?" will lead to an imaginary bullet flying in my general direction.
Let's have a vote of how many women find this lifestyle that will carry me into my 100s so mind-boggling attractive while I'm still in my 20s.
The insightful notion that life at 20 is permanent adulthood and the future is irrelevant has been believed by 20somethings for millenia.
It entirely depends on how that condition materialized. Would I be hungry forever (but somehow live)? Then no.
If I would never be hungry, then that sounds wonderful.
Perhaps CR only invokes the release of hormones that have a protective effect on cells. Replicate the hormone and perhaps actual caloric restriction may not be necessary.
From now on you are now in charge of all budgets, articles, blogs, tweets and laboratories relating to CR research. May I suggest that your first fiat be that CR will henceforth only be referred to by acronym.
I'm not sure what bothers me more the slight chance that CR is real enough that I will need to do it or how excited and evangelical people get about their puritanical eating cults.
Intermittent fasting! Just the sound of it is evil.
Am I the only one who finds this crazy? It takes 6 months from submission date till publication!
The peer review process should move faster and become modernized. I undrestand, you want to be published on prestigious journals, but Nature and others can modernize to publish more. You can argue, we lost 6 months or half a year of progress because of the pace of antiquated publication process.
The defects of another alternative should also be obvious -- paid peer reviewers. If this change took place, people would line up for positions they aren't qualified for on the simple ground that they can get paid to appear to be what they aren't. Also, for many cutting-edge fields, there simply aren't more than a handful of qualified reviewers at any price.
At best you have a 2-3 month wait. At worst, years.
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2014/03/140331194030.ht...
So the only real finding here seems to be that we are now able to extend the lifespan of some monkeys.
CR has been shown to have effects on short-lived species because that's all that's been testable so far. CR has actually been remarkably consistent in its effects across many different species.
The rhesus monkey studies are the first ones to attempt to replicate the longevity results found in the previous tests that were performed on short-lived species. The NIA rhesus study results released a short while back seemed to be the first failure of replicating CR longevity results. This seemed to be a blow to the theory that CR would be efficacious with higher primates.
However, this study is saying that the first rhesus study was conducted incorrectly and that the results were incorrectly interpreted. They're basically saying that scientifically, CR is still batting a thousand.
It can be done and we will do it, but that will be only a benefit for the future generations - all that you and me can do is to assume (or not assume) that the measured effects will generalize to us as well.
Monkeys do best on perfectly ripe and fresh tropical fruits. Is that what they were eating? I really doubt it.
The idea that anything processed in a factory is full of "toxins" and anything from nature is "healthy" is an irritating and pervasive fallacy.
Were you referring to a specific toxin that is in their foods, or were you using it in the more vague and hand-wavy "woo woo homeopathic" sense?
Specific toxins that accumulate in tissues over time and are known to contribute to premature aging in mammals include certain fatty acids and excess iron intake, for examples. In excessive amounts they are "toxic."
I don't see what is remotely "woo" about this. The whole calorie restriction idea has been pretty well debunked as far as I'm concerned. Whenever it's looked at more closely it's a matter of food quality. Animals with the highest metabolisms among their peers are actually healthiest and longest lived.
Lots of things might reduce mortality and prolong lifespan. It's quite another thing to ask whether these things are viable options for modern human beings.
As to the calorie reduction, she was quite successful in controlling her diet. She ordered guar gum in 50 lb sacks (from Tic Gums), mixing it with water to have something in her stomach when she was hungry. She seemed to settle into a routine that I don't think I could have tolerated. She didn't ever look anorexic, but had very very low body fat.
She was very afraid of getting old and this motivated her. I think that without some sort of pharmaceutical breakthrough that controls hunger, the rest of us will not find CR practical.
Could you be more specific, please?
He covers vitamins A, E, and C around 18 minutes into the presentation.