But if you're genuinely concerned that this poses some sort of threat to the web, start an archiving service which preserves mappings of short -> long URLs, or talk to the archive.org folks to see if they'd be interested.
But if you're genuinely concerned that this poses some sort of threat to the web, start an archiving service which preserves mappings of short -> long URLs, or talk to the archive.org folks to see if they'd be interested.
The argument is that it makes things MORE fragile, by interposing another party into the resolution chain. Given that it is both easy to do (thus there will be lots of competitors) and hard to profit at means that this party is more than usually vulnerable.
Anyway if the content dissapears, then it is gone. A url shortner failing means the failure could occur even if the content is still available.
Therefore, by definition, it is worse than the other situation.
Your argument against shorteners (extra indirection -> more fragile -> bad) works just as well against DNS. The reason why we tolerate the extra indirection of DNS is because there's a substantial benefit to be gained.
A federated protocol seems a little much for this one service which can handle the issue themselves, IMO.
Another good reason to have them is to be able to spell them for somebody over a phone line.
What is the point of an SMS with a shortened URL if you have no internet access? To be able to access the web page you need web access. If you have web access then you can get at the longer URL in the web interface or via Twitteriffic etc.
As far as the first, though, I think that you've got it wrong. It's not the same as any old site breaking. Say a person, over time, links to eight sites in his forum comments, and one goes down. Seven links are still valid. If he uses a shortener service that collapses, none of his links are valid.
The alarmist rants I've seen against URL shorteners are simply making this argument without realizing that there is no "new" problem in need of solving, only an old one that we already handle fairly well. Though given the level of irrational rhetoric I've been seeing in these discussions (example here: http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=713998) I'm not sure there's any point trying to argue with it.
Shortened URLs give you no hints as to where the original document was located.
Either the link is as strong as all the other links then you have a new element that can fail, which is bad, or your link is weaker than the other links in the existing chain and now the whole chain is weakened to the strength of the new link.
http://therealurl.appspot.com/
(it runs on Google App Engine, so I expect to keep it up as long as GAE exists. I didn't get TLD for it, to keep maintainance/costs at zero. And it memcaches everything, so feel free to query it as much as you like)
Please explain why this (my last tweet):
"3x recommended dose of Vitamin D slashes cancer risk by 77%: http://is.gd/28Nbq
is better than this:
"3x recommended dose of Vitamin D slashes cancer risk by 77%: <a href="url">2005 Academic Study</a>"
I can see why you'd URL shorten when pushing to SMS, but an actual anchor/href gives me the ability to mouse-over and see the target URL and the link isn't dependent on a 3rd party to work. No one can frameset the url without the linkers permission or shove ads into the experience.
I find the shorteners an annoyance. You can't fix the dependency problem.
I wonder how they could increase SMS limits past 160 chars?
That can't be done unless you change the underlying cellular protocol (e.g. the upcoming 3GPP LTE protocols). The length of an SMS is based on the capacity of one GSM frame.
Joshua Schachter has a nice summary of the arguments against that you may have seen before: http://joshua.schachter.org/2009/04/on-url-shorteners.html
Summary of the summary - URL shorteners have poor usability, providing little, often zero value at the cost of adding further centralized points of fragility.
http://ur1.ca is free software and provides a text format download of all its mappings right on its home page. Not a fan of shorteners, but that's the one I'd use for posting services with char length restrictions.
Conclusion, as an independent business it has very little chance of being viable.