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So far the prediction average of 2 people is less than half of what I currently make (and less than half for the average salary for my role in that city)

You need a LOT of people to make this work... so far it seems like a nice idea but not sure it can work relying only 100% on "crowd-smarts"

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Agreed, thus far the predictions seem very low to me. With the exception of the occasional non-profit professional profiles, where the predictions are much higher than what my friends who work in the non-profit sector report.

My prediction average of 3 people is more than twice what I currently make.

The estimate I made for someone was 70kish before I went on to see my similar one. I wonder if that's just the safe number lots of guessers are settling on?

There's a major bias to guessing in the 70-90k range. People likely to earn far less or far more than that are being pushed toward the middle.

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