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Doomsday argument | Hacker News Reader
Doomsday argument
en.wikipedia.org
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mediocregopher
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hacknat
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I love that one of the papers sighted in defense of the argument actually states that the argument is an example of Bayesian analysis gone astray as its conclusion.
http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.1.49....
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