The Lost Art of the Saturn V
amyshirateitel.com
amyshirateitel.com
NASA engineer here. I think it's actually kind of ludicrous to claim that we have somehow "lost" the technology of the Apollo program. We're not living in some sort of space technology dark ages here, where we've forgotten all of the fundamentals of the 1960s 'classical enlightenment'. In fact, the decades since then have provided invaluable experience in the design and use of reusable launch systems, in-space assembly, astronaut medicine, etc.
If the agency and it's supporting industry contractors were given both an executive mandate and the funding to construct a comparable system to Apollo (for whatever reason that would be), today's engineers would not struggle to do it for lack of technical prowess. We might struggle to do it in the current federal budgetary climate (where we can't predict the whims of legislators 3 months from now, much less 10 years from now - and the Saturn V was expensive as hell to operate), but the "lost rocket science" myth is a bit tiring.
I don't entirely agree with his sentiment but it's still for the most part true. I have no doubt that, given a proper budget and mandate, NASA could once again build a heavy lift vehicle like the Saturn V. However, I think we've lost a certain elegance that was present in that age. Sure, our technology is much more capable now, but it's definitely not as 'charming', for lack of a better word.
I think the point that I'm trying to get at is this: I used to commute on NJTransit, and every day I would get into crappy "modern" brushed aluminum railcars with a freight locomotive pulling them. And one day, while I was waiting, a refurbished Pennsylvania Railroad train rolled through with its beautiful shiny brown paintjob, elegant railcars, and even people in period garb. I have no idea what it was for - it didn't stop at our station - but it was much more pretty than anything we see today. My dad was there too, and for once he actually said without irony, "They don't build 'em like they used to."
But who knows, maybe fifty years from now people will see us the same way we see them.
That said, there's something to be said for the inhumanity of stark modern designs: http://instagram.com/p/egILDiQAS2/
compared to the older ones: http://instagram.com/p/gbwdmTwAZM/
Or a certain cold-war inspired desire for robust rocket technology. Yes, the engineers were working for the sake of a moon mission and what not, but the domestic political motivations were never exploration for its own sake.
The laws of physics haven't changed significantly since 1960, we understand a lot more about the same challenges of getting things to orbit now than we did even then. Technology, however, has changed a huge amount since then and if our priorities were still to land things on the moon then we would still have great success at it. Priorities and end goals have shifted around the scientific space community since 1960 and the average person seems to think that there's more value in lunar operations than anything else, which is simply not true.
Ignorance of the fact that we don't know enough about what long-term habitation of humans in space means for the body and mind seems to blind people into saying things like "we should have moon bases!", and call for "permanent settlements on the moon!". The research happening on the ISS, very close to home in case things go wrong, is essential to the steps needed to achieve things that people think should just happen because hey, they went there 40 years ago!
And even if you wrote that down and had all that equipment, the people who actually operated the things are retired or dead. Are you going to operate it the same way they did?
Does your incoming metal to your smelter have all the same properties as it did in the 1960s?
(I'm not a metallurgist, apologies to those who are.)
That said, we could potentially replace some of that with new fab techniques. But we probably couldn't do it the same way we did.
I also think of JPL -- if we stopped landing robots on Mars and other planets for decades, and the veterans of such missions had retired or expired, how difficult would it be to restart this capability from scratch?
Seriously though, Richard Feynman's death in 88 seems like a loss for Physics, and everyone really. Hasn't stuff like that happened at NASA since the Apollo program, and hasn't it affected rocket science negatively?
I think NASA needs to concentrate on its PR front. Tax payers simply don't see the economic benefit that comes from spending money on space exploration, most see it as a waste. Compare this to defence, tax breaks, or national security which are black holes of money.
Maybe lost technology isn't exactly the term, but when a project is completed, people move on and retire, and the supply chain moves on, then the capability to make that technology goes away very quickly. And unless a successor follows on continuously, it can be very difficult to get back to where you were if the need arises.
I have no doubt that the NASA of today could be mobilised to make a better rocket, on cost and timescales comparable to or improved upon the original. But if that is the only way to get back to a Saturn V-like capability, it is fair to say that something has been lost.
Back in the 60s/70s, it was not possible to do an automatic hook-up of modules in space. Today we do these routinely. Those Apollo missions could still be launched today by launching the command module, the service module and the lunar module as separate payloads and joining them in orbit. The crew would launch in the command module.
It's a bit like regretting that Formula 1 cars no longer have big 3.0L V12 engines, and instead have to get by with measly 2.4L V8s, whilst missing the fact that the modern car will eat the V12's lunch, with it's eyes close, in reverse.
NASA actually is attempting to rebuild the J-2, with the J-2X program. The problem is nobody knows how the J-2 works and part of the contract included NASA shipping several J-2's back for re-engineering.
I should also remind you that a year ago NASA didn't actually know "how" the j-2 worked. Their numbers said the bell should melt during flight. Eventually they realized that helium is injected on a outer ring of injectors to insulate the bell.
These days it becomes a cost/benefit analysis - is the extra cost of doing things in one big monolithic lift more or less than the extra cost incurred by having to break things into smaller components and assemble on orbit. Clearly heavy lift still has advantages - there's a reason everyone is excited about Falcon 9 Heavy, but rockets are tricky beasts, and multiple smaller launches helps mitigate against catastrophic failure (although it may increase the risk of partial failure).
Edit: Just to be clear, I'm talking about automatic on-orbit assembly, which means that you don't have to launch a pilot + life support each time you want to join two bits together.
This means logically some times its more cost efficient, or simpler to put 27 tons in orbit in one launch, then assembly 6 5 ton launches.
Doubtful. To design a big rocket takes a lot of money - and big rocket doesn't get to be used as much as a smaller rocket sometimes, which makes it more expensive per flight.
The opinions of Elon Musk aren't always perfect either. Certain technical decisions are made not because they are best, but because they are available - like, SpaceX just knows how to do that, and considers it expensive to learn the alternatives. Which is quite justifiable on economical grounds.
I think this is remarkable, given that film cooling of the nozzle is a known aspect [0] of the first stage engines of Saturn V.
[0] Thrust Chamber Nozzle Extension section on page 3 http://history.msfc.nasa.gov/saturn_apollo/documents/F-1_Eng...
Also the F-1 engine has been surpassed in thrust and efficiency by the Russian RD-170 family which flies today in the Zenit rocket.
I'm sure you could learn a lot from studying the J-2 and J-2S. No harm in that. But mystifying Apollo has done a lot of harm to sane space technology engineering and policy.
Sources: http://www.arianespace.com/news-launch-logs/2013-2014.asp http://www.sea-launch.com/missions-q1-past_launches.aspx http://www.spacelaunchreport.com/log2013.html
But three ships (live module, landing module and return booster) with randevu at moon orbit is the most fuel efficient scenario.
(There are also rumors of very large rockets in advanced planning at SpaceX, but the only possible component of that program that has yet been announced is a methane-fueled staged combustion rocket engine, "Raptor" --- and they only announced that when they started reserving time for component tests at NASA facilities. So, even if those rumors are true, it's likely to be a while before they're confirmed in any detail.)
Well, maybe not for Americans. The first Soviet space docking (October 30, 1967, a year and a half after the first US space docking, with Gemini 8 on March 16, 1966) was between the unmanned Kosmos 186 and Kosmos 188 and was automated.
Soviet moon missions using multiple launches and automated docking were considered, at least briefly: http://www.astronautix.com/articles/theoblem.htm
http://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=34015.msg11...
Ultimately we (our representatives in Congress) decided in ~1970 that actual exploration was simply too expensive. Political goal accomplished, Moon reached, Soviets cowed, mission over. Instead we would pay endless lip service to the idea while cutting budgets as far as possible. The design-by-committee-session Shuttle was a ridiculous project in a dozen different ways and failed to do much of anything (including being cheap), beyond two key elements: firstly, being impossible to cancel. Second, it waved the flag for the notional romance of space in an age of decay, when we became disinterested in funding and structuring programs at a sufficient level to innovate or even seek out the maximum return per dollar by choosing appropriate technology.
http://idlewords.com/2005/08/a_rocket_to_nowhere.htm
SLS and Orion explicitly continue in this legacy. I'm hoping Elon Musk's motivations outlast the US Congress's.
http://www.thespacereview.com/article/2394/1 http://www.friends-partners.org/pipermail/fpspace/2013-Novem...
The second issue is that no one needs that powerful a rocket at the moment - though I believe if it did exist, everyone would suddenly find use for it (like it happened with PC's and smartphones, for example).
This is an important and very underappreciated point in life in general. Asking "will I ever need X?" is not a good idea, because it usually leads to the answer "no", whereas if you actually had X, you'd quickly invent many uses for it. It works this way for smartphones ("why would I need Internet in my phone? I have one in my laptop"), other tools, it works in programming languages - it's what pg calls the "Blub paradox" in [0].
I find that the features of our tools limit our thinking and abilities both as individuals and civilizations, therefore when possible I always opt for the most flexible/feature-full solution.
(there's of course a flipside to that, visible e.g. in the ongoing process of police militarization in the United States - don't give better tools to people if you don't want them to start using those tools more and more)
So, with big rockets, it's doubtful that "build them, and they will be used" approach works. On the other hand, we really don't need big rockets that much anymore - we can do anything with existing rockets. It would be interesting to see how often Falcon 9 Heavy will be employed.
It is modular system and heaviest configuration were close to Saturn, but are currently abandoned. The lighter configurations are in active use and share the same engines and other components. Plus they develop new types.
I guess it would just take a few months/years to develop Saturn replacement if there is demand.
RD-170 family is alive and well though. You'd still need a good sized hydrogen engine - a kind of SSME or RD-0120.
But may be you just don't need too big of a rocket. 25 tons on LEO could be enough for everything, and you'll launch that often enough so a single launch won't be expensive. You can assemble stations, create orbital fuel depots, even make on-orbit manufacturing if you want something really big in one piece.
It consisted notably in either stealing precious brains from the germany that was in need, and -more troubling- preventing some persons to face the consequence of their action in front of a tribunal (war crime).
For the record condor and gladio operations also are more than morally questionable and also rely on explicit infringement in what a state is authorized to do on foreign ground: killing people arbitrarily without a trial.
I don't think that creating in relation with stuff like the infamous P12 loge (in which il cavaliere was, and some of well known mafioso) a program of "pseudo communist terrorisms" that were in fact the opposite and resulted in civilian killed by terrorist actions is not kind of consistent with the USA claim of war on terrorism.
USA is looking more and more like the former soviet union. NSA invasive techniques to spy on citizens are now as efficient as the former KGB used to be (that became the FSB and whose latest well known head was V. Poutine)
A politician's job they say is very high. 'Cos he has to choose who's got to go and die. They can put a man on the moon quite easy, While people here on earth are dying of old diseases.
A woman goes to work every day after day. She just goes to work just to earn her pay. Child sitting crying by a life that's harder. He doesn't even know who is his father.
- Black Sabbath's "Wicked World" (1970)
I'm a fan of manned spaceflight and exploration (slash finding a high availability arrangement for life from Earth). However, I believe we have more pressing matters to tend at the moment. In the meantime, it seems we need more Encyclopedists. ;-)
Even if you wanted to, you cannot force everyone to share same priority.
We have the will and motive to do multiple things simultaneously.
The whole "Saturn V plans are lost" meme seems to be an urban legend but it's a red herring in any case. We couldn't easily build a 100% authentic 1965 Corvette either but that doesn't mean that we've somehow lost the technology to do so.
I can think of two examples.
The LM had some truly weird chemical milling technology invented mostly because they didn't have the CNC mills and CNC EDM gear we have today. Design and production floor feed back on each other and some design decisions were optimized to production realities such that you could at enormous expense either reinvent the chemical milling processes or simulate them with EDM and/or CNC mills but it would be enormously cheaper to scrap the design for a chemically milled door or whatever and replace it with a door designed specifically to match the modern technologies of EDM and milling machines.
The other example I can think of is I don't think we have the tech anymore to make aerospace grade core memories. Too much info was in the brains of people who died decades ago. To a first approximation the cost would be something like the entire fixed capital expenses of the whole computation industry from 1940-1960 plus many man years of R+D and more importantly reverse engineering and reinventing the QA/QC that man rated aerospace grade core memory would require. It would be a heck of a lot simpler and cheaper to use modern tech.
There is an obvious computing analogy. For a good time check out the "soylent news" project as in soylentnews.org who spent weeks re-implementing modperl 1.0 and apache 1 and all that so as to re-implement /. using the last public release of slash code. Its non-trivial to bring up old software while simultaneously applying a decade or two of security patches and best practices.
But, that said, fair comment. It's the reason that there are always various military projects ongoing to basically replace old technology (such as guidance systems) with modern tech. Not necessarily to upgrade capabilities, but simply because we can't build the old stuff any longer.
[1] http://arstechnica.com/science/2013/04/how-nasa-brought-the-...
What the author wrote was: "After only two unmanned launches, the third Saturn V took Apollo 8 to the moon."
Apollo 7 used a Saturn IB booster and so, while it was the first manned Saturn launch, Apollo 8 was the first manned launch of a Saturn V. The two unmanned launches were Apollo 4 and Apollo 6, which both used the Saturn V [1].
Edit: Clarity
[1] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Apollo_missions#Unmanne...