Even Knowingly Taking A Placebo Seems To Help (2010)
npr.org
npr.org
Meanwhile, the medical researchers who look at the issue with proper study designs and statistical controls know that placebos are essentially useless, as they at most have influence just on self-reported subjective symptoms, not on any sign that affects the progression of a disease or maintenance of good health.[4] Ladies and gentlemen, you know you aren't going to seek "placebo medicine" if you have cancer or congestive heart failure, and you know that no compassionate parent would seek "placebo medicine" for minor children who have a childhood disease. So why does this topic keep coming up over and over and over here on Hacker News, now most recently from a brand-new participant here? Take the time and effort to learn a bit more about the actual research base before assuming that this story is anything other than the outcome of carefully crafted press release.
Findings on placebo effects by researchers who have considered the issue carefully include
"Despite the spin of the authors – these results put placebo medicine into crystal clear perspective, and I think they are generalizable and consistent with other placebo studies. For objective physiological outcomes, there is no significant placebo effect. Placebos are no better than no treatment at all."[5]
"We did not find that placebo interventions have important clinical effects in general. However, in certain settings placebo interventions can influence patient-reported outcomes, especially pain and nausea, though it is difficult to distinguish patient-reported effects of placebo from biased reporting. The effect on pain varied, even among trials with low risk of bias, from negligible to clinically important. Variations in the effect of placebo were partly explained by variations in how trials were conducted and how patients were informed."[6]
[1] http://harvardmagazine.com/2013/01/the-placebo-phenomenon
[2] http://www.sciencebasedmedicine.org/dummy-medicine-dummy-doc...
http://www.sciencebasedmedicine.org/dummy-medicine-dummy-doc...
http://www.sciencebasedmedicine.org/dummy-medicine-dummy-doc...
[3] http://www.phdcomics.com/comics/archive.php?comicid=1174
[4] http://www.sciencebasedmedicine.org/michael-specter-on-the-p...
http://www.sciencebasedmedicine.org/ted-kaptchuk-versus-plac...
[5] http://theness.com/neurologicablog/index.php/the-rise-and-fa...
Also, if you think that placebo is nonsense, I would humbly suggest that you read Benedetti http://www.amazon.com/Placebo-Effects-Understanding-mechanis.... Its a very good summary of the state of the art in 2008, from someone (Benedetti) who runs extremely tight, well-designed experiments in reasonably valid conditions (typically post-surgery patients). Some of the findings are extremely interesting, and it is all well-referenced and supported.
The state of the art since 2008 has not been an advance in finding clinically useful placebo effects so much as it has been an advance in finding statistical flaws in previous studies of placebos. I really appreciated your comments in dialogue with another participant in this same thread about what the research shows, and indeed how one might define "placebo effect," and I'll have to digest that for the next time this issue comes up here on HN. Thanks.
I think that I am somewhat biased, given that I started a PhD in the placebo effect around then, so I actually (sortof) know all of these people. I would argue that there are a few problems with placebo research as currently practiced.
1) clinical studies without no-treatment arms 2) Relatively small experimental studies with not completely explicit treatment protocols 3) A fascination with colourful brain images at the expense of good experimental design (though that is sadly not limited to placebo research).
Statistics is very, very difficult to get right (and I've often struggled) and the incentives are not lined up in the correct way. For instance, if I find a counter-intuitive results in an experiment, it does not benefit me to engage in rigorous fact-checking, I am more likely to benefit if I just publish it, given the demands of tenure-track. To be honest, its a wonder any science gets done at all.
And hence why I no longer work in science.
Analyses comparing placebo interventions to no treatment reveal that the apparent power of the placebo may be overstated. No placebo effects are observed, for example, when comparing placebo to no treatment for objective endpoints, or binary endpoints (Hróbjartsson et al, 2001). They are observed in subjective endpoints (e.g. pain, nausea) where the condition of the patient is filtered through the opinion and biases of the patient and/or the clinician - which makes it quite possible that this aspect of placebo action can be accounted for by the experimenter effect.
All of which leads to my primary problem with this paper. It is a comparison of open-label placebo to no treatment, with a relatively small number of participants (n = 80), studying only subjective end-points (hello, experimenter effect). The media coverage of this paper (c.f. the NPR article) makes the claim that an "honest placebo" was given, with the patients informed they were only taking placebo, which is true. But patients were also told the placebo could "present significant improvement in IBS symptoms through mind-body self-healing processes", which just as readily primes the patient for the experimenter effect as does telling them they're taking a drug.
On top of that, the clinical relevance of the IBS-GIS improvement seen in the placebo arm is questionable, improvement from "(4) no change" to "(5) slight improvement" on a seven point scale.
Small effect, small numbers, and potentially flawed methodology.
I believe it would still be correct, and of practical value, to say that the placebo effect is real. Prescribing someone a placebo results in them receiving the experimenter/physician effect - they subjectively report feeling better - that's a good thing.
Just using an exaggeration for comparison, if you pay $1000000 to the experiment subject in one arm to say that they fell better, then you will get a very big improvement, but it doesn't mean that they really feel better. This is an exaggeration, but the problem is that there are a lot of more subtle things that can change the self reported feeling.
I don't know how to measure the well feeling in a non subjective way. If I may just made up an inexistent medical device, perhaps I can put a 24hs endorphin measurer to the test subject and look for a difference in the mean concentration.
Furthermore, Meissner et al 2007 re-analysed those studies and found large effects where the outcome could be mediated by nervous system, and very low effects where there was no direct nervous system link.
Additionally, uncertain expectations (you may receive a drug) are given in clinical trials and Vase (2002) found that placebo effect sizes were much smaller in this context than they are when placebos are deceptively administered (this is a potent painkiller) (as they normally are in clinical practice and experimental research) (c.f. Kirsch & Wiexel 1998, Amanzio et al 2001). Also certain vs uncertain expectations are associated with differential amounts of dopamine release, which has been associated with response to placebo (Scott et al 2007, DeLa Fuente-Fernandez, 2002, 2004).
I agree with many of your comments around this paper, and essentially it was only published because Kaptchuk and Kirsch are two of the leading names in the non-clinical field.
And the papers from 2010, and has been getting this treatment for a while....
Though I disagree that Hróbjartsson et al undermines the notion of many placebo effects.. or maybe I don't, depending on our definition of placebo effect.
If we define "placebo effect" as any clinically significant change observed in the placebo wing of a clinical trial, there are many placebo effects. As I mentioned before, regression to the mean, natural history of the disease, experimenter effect, and so on.
Alternatively, we could define it as any clinically significant change observed in the placebo wing of a clinical trial which is not also observed in a no treatment wing. This would eliminate things like regression to the mean and arguably leave behind only a "true" placebo effect. Though even here, we have to account for bias (and perhaps even classical conditioning?) I wonder how much placebo effect is left if these are controlled for?
Within the context of analysing trial data, it is the former definition we are interested in. But within the context of discussing "the placebo effect" as a standalone phenomenon, I'd argue the latter definition is more useful.
Unfortunately, as most trials don't have no treatment arms, any clinically significant changes observed in the placebo arm are chalked up to "the placebo effect", especially by the media (though sometimes by clinicians), even when there is good reason to think many of those same changes would have been observed under no treatment. Which IMHO leads to a distorted view of the clinical relevance of the placebo effect outside the context of a clinical trial. Especially as the placebo effect appears to have a reputation as a bizarre mind-over-matter affair.
In terms of what's left over after accounting for no treatment, Vase and H&G got into a big academic fight about this, and it appears that the effect size for placebo effects in pain is approximately (d=0.5), which is a relatively large effect (especially within psychology). This doesn't entirely account for experimenter effects, though with the use of a balanced-placebo design, those can be accounted for.
In terms of clinical trials, I would tend to agree with your second definition. Its not perfect, but its as good as it tends to get.
I think that one of the issues with placebo research is this notion of mind-over-matter, in that such a viewpoint is the reason that it is perceived as special, and also a reason why people disbelieve in it.
Based on old research (Levine, 1979) many (but not all) placebo effects in pain appear to be mediated by endogenous opioids,which I would take to mean that they are pretty naturally mediated by the brain, and so its a physical phenomenon. Many people do go a bit crazy with the woo around it though, I do agree.
Funny that this came up today, when I'm currently finalising a hopefully final draft of my thesis on the placebo (PROTIP: never, ever leave your university before submitting a PhD, it tends to go badly).
Interestingly enough, IBS patients have been found to have non-opioid mediated relief of pain, which is atypical (normally naloxone blocks these effects) so there may be something weird going on with this condition in more general terms.
Also, its worth noting that in modern conceptions of placebo, its part of every treatment. If you have ever felt the effects of a cup of coffee before approximately 30 minutes, that's probably a placebo. Ditto for headache tablets that work immediately, before the active substance could have gotten into the bloodstream.
Also, with respect to the drinking of water, that's unlikely to be an explanation as that quantity of water is typically not enough to provide relief from IBS.
With my reading, taking water - in gulps to wash down the pill - at particular times/regularity could be a/the significant factor getting measured in this study. Perhaps there is a threshold effect in taking the water (e.g: it helps people on the threshold of dehydration), or perhaps it's the time of day taken. I may be wrong, but I don't think it should just be summarily dismissed yet.
Thinking about it now, it make sense that once you ingest either to alleviate certain symptoms, you let go of a portion of directed anxiety/overt attention in expectation of relief thereafter.
Despite knowing the placebo pill beforehand, I'd hazard a guess that the same brain areas associated with non-placebo oral administration will light up with activity in an MRI scan.
Anyone know if there is any scientific literature on this phenomenon?
There probably are some fMRI studies, but I really don't trust most of those due to the difficulties in avoiding multiple comparisions (see Vul et al 2009, Voodoo Neuroscience).
- the extra exercise of going to the medical center
- better behavior under monitoring
- talking to the test administrators (important for e.g. depression)
- better organization to follow the intake schedule
Which are not affected by knowing you are in the control group. Is this really a surprise to the medical community, or is the article just going for the "mind over matter" and general woo line?
Also:
open a door toward ethical use of placebos in daily
medical practice
Haven't this been extensively discussed and ultimately rejected for a long time?But if you give a sugar pill to a person who had never heard of the placebo effect, and tell him/her that the pill is only sugar with no effect whatsoever, perhaps we might find that the placebo effect does not manifest.
http://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/BF00652249
http://www.jsad.com/jsad/article/Offspring_of_Alcoholics_Hav...
http://www.jsad.com/jsad/article/Alcohol_and_Aggression_in_M...
I now know it's homoeopathic and what that means, but I still find it greatly improves my symptoms, and assume it isn't having any negative side effects (as the pills are just tiny sugar pills). Part of me doesn't like taking it, but it does help, and it doesn't seem worth stopping at this point.