ritholtz.com
ritholtz.com
What does WhatsApp provide Facebook? People are talking about the value of the user base. How is the user base more valuable to Facebook than it would be to Wal-Mart? Is Facebook going to merge WhatsApp accounts into FB accounts and the WhatsApp platform into Facebook Messenger? Ditto for Instagram. I'm not sure what advantage that provided to Facebook. As far as I can tell it's an entirely separate products and platform and user base.
If anyone has insight on this, please enlighten me!
That said, there is an argument I think could be made as follows: Facebook (and Google) is essentially about data. The more information they have on a given person, the more information they have period, the more valuable they are. This value is to advertisers and marketers of course (the real "customers") but also to end users. WhatsApp is $19 billion worth of data about people in places where Facebook doesn't have a lot of data. Countries like India, for example. I don't think Facebook penetration is nearly as significant there as it is in the US (though I do not have a statistic on hand for that ATM).
So the argument is that WhatsApp gives Facebook a foot in the door to more information on more places at once. Just like Google gets data on what people want from their videos from YouTube, Instagram gives Facebook more information on what people do with their images and how they share them. Facebook already does these things - messaging and image sharing - but it could be argued that Facebook will be able to do them better/more profitably/at least in a more aware way if it studies how it works for Instagram and WhatsApp.
Again, I don't really see the point myself - but that's an argument that could be made.
As long as they keep swallowing up any "social(-ish) network" app before they become a real threat to Facebook, Facebook can still be the king.
I don't have an opinion on that topic, but probably just data mining on the set of WhatsApp users can be pretty useful.
What is more interesting for me is why WhatsApp is so popular? It's not unique, is it? Why is it so special?
Perhaps there are more affordable cheap Chinese Android phones these days, but WhatsApp started in 2009
It's also a network effect where people use it because their friends use it. I have the same questions about Craigslist. There were certainly a lot of free competitors at the time, but somehow they managed to attract users.
That said, I'd like to believe it - that Facebook and Twitter are happenstance lucky breaks, and not worth all that - but things are worth what we say they're worth, and you could have made the same arguments about Gates and Jobs twenty years ago.
I'll wait to proclaim Facebook's imminent demise until there's actually some "next big thing" out there.
One does not simply spend $16 billion without giving it a good deal of forethought why.
> Amazon has stayed ahead by creating the Kindle, in-house.
Is he suggesting that the only way to be innovative is through hardware? Facebook has gone through many changes over the years, adding the wall, adding photo sharing, and a host of other things. To say
> Facebook innovation is centered on changing privacy and advertising policies
is just plain wrong. Also
> One can even argue he stole his original idea from the Winklevosses.
sounds like he watched The social network to many times.
>Recent studies show that few post and no one clicks through on likes, what’s a poor boy to do?
One can even argue he stole his original idea from the Winklevosses.
I can believe that someone would say something that stupid, but not under his real name.
We're done here.