The Game Changed in Venezuela Last Night and the Media Is Asleep At the Switch
caracaschronicles.com
caracaschronicles.com
Ah the old, "there's a conspiracy to suppress what my side thinks in the news".
Ten months ago, Maduro was elected president by the majority of the country.
Some of the opposition tried to create this spectacle ten months in. The whole point of staging a big spectacle blocking highways etc., with some rioting, is to get world headlines. This has been happening in Venezuela for over 16 years. If the country was really anti-Maduro, it wouldn't have voted for him ten months ago.
Also, it's not even like the opposition is united at all. It's completely factionalized, which is probably why it is out of power. It also reeks of that lazy, upper class, kind of slow and dumb Castillian Spanish aristocratic sense you sometimes find in Latin America. Like that man in the documentary "The Revolution will not be televised" who said "Watch your servants! They may be Chavistas!" Watch your servants, they may be Chavistas might as well be the slogan of the opposition. It's not something with much popular appeal, either in Venezuela, or even out.
> If the country was really anti-Maduro, it wouldn't have voted for him ten months ago
Elections can be rigged. Votes can be bought. There always need to be more datapoints than just that.
"Comparing average coverage by private and state media outlets in Figures 1 and 2, we find imbalance in the tone of coverage among both but find it more pronounced among state media. On the one hand, in state-owned television, 95 percent of reporting was positive about Hugo Chávez, while in private outlets this number reached 48 percent." (pg34)
"...NGOs monitoring the campaign, such as Transparencia Venezuela and Grupo La Colina, have indicated broad use of government resources to support the Chávez campaign, such as vehicles to transport campaign workers and supporters to marches and also on voting day." (pg43)
"In the Venezuelan context, safeguards to prevent the abuses of ventajismo or to make violations of the law costly not just financially but politically, in terms of imposing sanctions against the perpetrating campaign, are crucially missing." (pg43)
http://www.cartercenter.org/resources/pdfs/news/peace_public...
But if police are roaming around the city on motorcycles, shooting protestors then this is world news.
- A Venezuelan expat
* Abuse the State's massive control of the media in favor of the ruling party.
* Threaten people, fire them from their government positions, deny scholarships, or otherwise attack people for being against the government(see: Lista Tascón).
* Shamelessly use resources of the State for political propaganda in favor of the ruling party.
* Take power away from elected officials and create alternate institutions to replace them, when the electoral results don't favor the ruling party (see: Caracas Mayor).
* Deny audits after an election, an integral part of fair elections.
* Finally: kill, attack or detain people for opposing the ruling party, which is what's going on as of this moment while we type comments here.
So whether the voting machines work correctly is far from the only thing needed to consider elections fair.
- Another Venezuelan expat
The article doesn't say that at all. The article complains about the apathy, it doesn't imply any conspiracy.
Nice rationalization.
Interesting so many people on hn seem to be jumping on this.
So I went back to his oldest blog entries to see what his general stance is and if his judgements merit consideration or are slanted, which can be better be judged with years of hindsight, judge for yourself:
"To my mind Chávez’ hold on reality is so tenuous that he really does think that six million people poured onto the streets on April 13th to demand his return. And with a narcissist leader who’s that cut-off from reality, political miscalculation is the order of the day."
He was hugely popular then, and stayed that way until his death, if polls, which actually have received praise from international observers, are an indication. Chavez not only had the absolute majority behind him, they actually supported him.
Just compare Venezuela's voter turnout with that in your own country. Wikipedia says about Venezuela's 2012 election:
"The elections showed a historically high turnout, above 80% of the electorate, in a country where voting is not mandatory"
1) Trying to get reliable information out of a country.
2) Trying to figure out if it will drive "page views" or "viewership" or anything that pays the bills at the "media" center.
3) Creating a credible narrative around 'justice' in the face of massive injustice.
That is why "global warming, you may die tomorrow" is a more important story than "far away government is repressing its own civilians."
FWIW: The Economist has covered Venezuela (http://www.economist.com/search/gcs?ss=venezuela#masthead&gs...) but even it doesn't provide breaking news coverage.
Done. But I didn't really know how things worked there before either.
What I get from it in a nutshell: the protestors started by the group who was unhappy with the continuation of Hugo Chavez's government. That group has lost a lot of legitimacy after 2002's attempt coup[1], but the pro-government repression has been brutal, and that situation is brutally escalating.
Edit: a more comprehensive summary from CNN[2].
[1] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2002_Venezuelan_coup_d%27%C3%A9...
[2] http://www.cnn.com/2014/02/20/world/americas/venezuela-qa/
http://feministing.com/2014/02/20/toward-a-nuanced-feminist-...
it's a good description of what's happening (i know this is HN, and anything with "feminist" causes a shitstorm, but really it's just a very careful first person account that tries to explain all sides, so please skip the title).
but that was written before whatever happened today/last night.
http://www.nytimes.com/aponline/2014/02/20/world/americas/ap...
EDIT: I googled to find the AP story, but I just now stumbled onto another article during my normal aimless coffee-break web surfing. So I think the story is picking up steam.
http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/foreigners/2...
What if tomorrow, something similar happened in the U.S.? That is, what if government "forces" swept into a major city or cities and began arresting people on suspicion of terrorism, then sweeping them off to unknown locations? Simultaneously, what if drone strikes were called in on other "suspects"?
What in our current laws (or interpretation thereof) would prevent this or protect those who were targeted? The question may sound rhetorical or like hyperbole, but I mean this seriously: is a FISA court the only thing standing between us and such a potential reality?
http://www.alternet.org/world/washington-tries-regime-change...
The lesson that this reinforces is that we can not rely on the media for the news. If ever we could.
(But lots of people will be certain that all of that comes from more conspiracies from the US. :-) )
Most oil countries are badly run; and whatever you think of Hugo Chavez and his party, Venezuela was already at least halfway into the ground before they came along, tbqfh.
And then there are the large social problems? A command economy that kills local business might be common, but the size must be worse in Venezuela? Etc.
To close the opposition media and using the TV is quite standard in places like that. But as much as in Venezuela?
(Libya and possibly Iraq has problems from violence and Iran has sanctions. They are a bit special cases.)
Also, as I understand it, things like this is especially common in South/Latin America with much populist aristocratic history.
Send an email to the admins, since it doesn't seem you should be.
(This is my own new account since I was hellbanned and don't have energy enough to send email. I got angry at an idealist idiot that might not have been a spammer/troll.)
Not so much by the left winger sources. Those are too busy attacking Israel than bother with the millions of deaths, rapes etc in Sudan/Congo...
(I usually get the motivation: "You should have higher standards for democracies." Then I ask: "How many thousand times different standards is reasonable without being a hypocrite?" Never got that answered.. :-) )
what would YOU do if this was happening in your city? What choices does the unorganized and disarmed people have against a massive State with an army and policemen?
Then print 100's of copies and drop them at their children's school, at their neighbors' mailboxes, at the church they attend and the gym where they train.
Let them explain how a regular day at daddy's office looks like to the people they actually care about.
http://lab.org.uk/venezuela-violent-demonstrations-and-the-m...
Not claiming these are unbiased sources, because they aren't (especially the second link). But even so, they can provide a good balance regarding what most western media (NY Times, CNN, Guardian, etc) reports (and omits from those reports).
Some more and again, don't claim they are unbiased, but it's good to balance the coverage and these say a lot that isn't said in other places):
"What’s going on in Venezuela?" -- http://venezuelanalysis.com/analysis/10381
"Venezuelan Government Reiterates Calls For Dialogue With Opposition" - http://venezuelanalysis.com/news/10379
http://www.reddit.com/r/socialism/comments/1xt9pf/venezuela_...
And regarding the general situation (not current events necessarily:
"Despite Shortages, Venezuelans Are Eating Better Statistics Say" - http://venezuelanalysis.com/news/7632
"The Pros and Cons of Venezuela's Currency Controls" - http://venezuelanalysis.com/analysis/10317
"Could smuggling be to blame for Venezuela's food shortages?" - http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-latin-america-23885377 (small examples: http://pastebin.com/BFHKHdCG )
Regarding crime, read about the Policia Nacional Bolivariana, who controls the local polices, who is the Governor of the State of Miranda and which force controls most boroughs (Municipios) in Caracas and that in general, they refuse the that the Policia Nacional Bolivariana to act and prefer instead to keep their mostly corrupt police force (understand that they see it as another way for the Government to have more control, but the truth is the PNB reduces crime, you can read more here, but also other places - http://www.csmonitor.com/World/Americas/Latin-America-Monito...)
Also, note that before Chavez, most foreign oil companies were paying 1-17% royalties, after 20-30% (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Energy_policy_of_Venezuela#Deve...) and that most of the oil profits go into housing, social, education, security and infrastructure (power plants - fixed and movable -, roads, ports, railways).
Just another thing, believe that according to Article 72 of the Venezuelan Constitution, after the middle of the Presidential mandate, if 20% of the voters sign a petition, recall elections are scheduled. This has happened in 2004.
Not claiming there aren't any problems, there certainly are. Not claiming I'm a fan of the style the Government adopt, I'm not. However we've all seen in the past what happens to democratically elected Governments when they don't play ball with US companies, and Latin America knows this more than anyone (but also Iran back in the first independence days, before the Shah...).
My thoughts to the innocents that are caught in the crossfire and have their peaceful demonstrations hijacked by extremists. Hopefully Venezuela can overcome all current issues, become a better country and not go back to the almost oligarchic past of poverty (which none of the wealthy opposition ever tried to change) but not become a dictatorship. In summary, a place where people of all political quadrants can live and let others live.