The rise of Dogecoin, the internet's hottest cryptocurrency
theage.com.au
theage.com.au
Early on, the opportunity of bitcoin was huge. You mine a little, the value of your coins just keeps on rising. Now you can't mine any meaningful level of currency yourself, so the entry level has raised dramatically.
So why not move onto a different currency? Get in early. Get a stack of currency. Then that'll become too difficult to mine and newcomers will move onto the next. And the next.
This is the fundamental problem with all non-fiat currencies and is why the world moved off the gold standard
The utility of the currency will depend on how many vendors ultimately accept it. And during the growth phase the number of vendors also increases exponentially. For the very same reason it doesn't make any sense to spend the currency during this time it makes a lot of sense to accept the currency during this time.
The reason a lot of us have invested in BitCoins at this stage is that we believe the growth phase will be followed by a stable phase, where adoption has reached an equilibrium or a saturation point. It is during this phase that the coin becomes a currency which makes sense to spend, and its utility as a currency can be realized.
We may be wrong; we may be right. Currencies have always been issued by governments before now, and up-start currencies have only really been possible since the advent of the Internet. Economists have never really had a chance to study a currency growing from $0 value in real time as they have had with BitCoin.
Recent counterexample: The Euro started off at about $0.80. From the moment it came online, it had some intrinsic value because of its status as legal tender in the eurozone. That meant that it was essentially guaranteed that from moment zero, there was some non-zero rate at which people with dollars were willing to trade them for euros.
The only currencies that one should expect to start off at $0 are completely un-backed ones such as cryptocurriences.
If you create a currency from scratch, and you are not a representative of some country or corporation, it's only ever going to be worth $0 at the beginning. But in both cases it's the people who buy it who decide what it's worth.
I suppose this is just quibbling about minor details, but what the hey. The euro is, by definition, the official currency and legal tender of the eurozone. If we're going to count the essential characteristics of what something is as extrinsics, then we've wandered off into some epistemological bizarro-world where you can probably get away with whatever you want about anything.
Its officialness gives it two extrinsic qualities: 1) It can be used to pay taxes in some countries and 2) It is unlikely to be outlawed.
To me 1) is not special. In my view this just means there will always be at least one vendor that accepts the US Dollar (the US government) and while that's a nice guarantee, it makes the dollar different only in degree, but not kind, from BitCoin.
2) is slightly more interesting because it means that while Bitoin may be outlawed, the dollar will most likely never be outlawed, and the current regulatory framework governing money transfers, financial reporting, etc. is likely to stay consistent.
I believe BitCoin will be regulated more heavily, but not altogether more heavily than the dollar, but it will be not outlawed. Thus I think BitCoin in the end will not be meaningfully different from other fiat money, but it will offer things that fiat money can't offer, like unlimited electronic transfers over the Internet at small cost.
Of course, like anything I don't know the future. Here's to hoping.
Bull. At this moment, I'm issuing an AqueousCoin to your pessimizer-account. In order to spend it, all you have to do is prove your identity by logging into HN in front of me or in front of a notary public, and I will send you $1 (minus postage.)
Done?
Sometimes (or possibly always by definition) the vendor comes before the currency.
I suppose that's kind of an epistemic question. But to me, since how much someone buys something for is the central determinant of its price, it's not worth that price until someone buys it for it. So, perhaps it isn't even $0. The price of my AqueousCoin is (undefined)
That's far from guaranteed.
Gold started off as a commodity, worth much more than nothing. It ended up being a means of exchange because its properties are suitable: it's highly valuable, easily divisible and durable, and other stuff I forget now. But those are the reasons it started being used as money.
In fact, it's possible that nothing that will be widely used as a currency in the future will start off at zero value.
Cryptsy, for example, makes a market in more than 70 crypto-currencies [0]. If there's a low barrier to creating new currencies, then is the supply really limited?
And it's not too hard to picture intermediaries, like bitpay and coinbase, to support many of the alternative currencies... helping adoption immediately.
The fact that the mining is tapering off for bitcoin isn't a problem. It's actually a feature that is designed to mitigate uncontrolled inflation.
The TRUE problem with bitcoin is that the nature of the coins themselves are changed by the way people perceive the coins. If people treat the coins as currency then thats what it becomes, but if people treat it as a speculative investment asset similar to a stock share then that's what bitcoin will become as well.
Right now nobody buys bitcoins to use as a currency. I can assure you 99% of bitcoin transactions occur because people are gambling on the fact that the price will go up and not because you want to use the coins as you use a dollar bill. Currently, bitcoin is much more a speculative investment asset then it is a currency. It is exactly like the stock market: A market where people bid on worthless paper for the sole purpose of selling the paper for profit.
In short the main problem with bitcoin is YOU and ME. As users of bitcoin the way we perceive and use the currency will change what it will become.
The counterpart to mining coins would be to invest dollars and "mine" interests.
But that doesn't create money, so much as temporarily creates an illusion of more money existing, hoping that there will not be a bank run to withdraw all of it. With non-reserve banking, when gold is passed around as money (possibly with seignorage), it is mined by digging in dirt.
http://marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2013/12/how...
I found it relevant.
One of the potential benefits of the scrypt algorithm used by Litecoin and Dogecoin (and others) is that even with scrypt ASICs being developed, the memory-intensive nature of the algorithm has so far prohibited a massive disparity in hashing ability. You can still buy a sub-$2000 mining rig that will basically pay for itself in a couple months.
No you absolutely can't. About 6 or 8 or so weeks ago I was making about $4 a day mining scrypt coins. Now I'm making $1.50. I don't think it is going to be profitable 6 weeks from now. When Dogecoin first exploded I had several $15-$24 days. Right after I first started there was actually a graphics card shortage(!) because of the interest in mining.
My graphics cards haven't been paid off yet with just mining, and I don't think they will be. That's not a problem for me, because I can sell one of them, and keep the other, which will pay them off.
If you don't already have the PSU, CPU, MOBO, etc, you are wasting your money building a mining rig, especially now the profits are so low. Only buy a graphics card if you want the card for other reasons. Those mining profit calculators way way way overestimate.
EDIT: My system has 600 kH/s hashrate.
EDIT EDIT: Even 6 or 8 or so some people on the litecoin mining subreddit were very confused about people who were building expensive mining rigs and pointing out how those rigs will never pay for themselves.
altcoins cannot be forever profitable as basic economics tells us this.
Pretty simple economics but kind of scary for a system which is based around mining.
The answer would be "because bitcoin is legitimate and dogecoin isn't" - but I'd argue that bitcoin hasn't gotten there yet. So it's a race, and one that any cryptocurrency is likely to lose.
For a single novice user this would be the cost of hardware (substantial), opportunity cost from delays in delivery of hardware, decaying returns with exponential increase in difficulty, cost of electricity and opportunity cost.
Then it needs to be ascertained if they are mining a commodity or an investment. That is mining to sell (similar to farming and mining minerals, metals etc.) or are they looking to hold it for long periods expecting an appreciation. The later has other practical implications.
For the majority of prospective miners, these costs are huge and have little to no chance of breaking even.
Arguments could be made for or against the profitability from speculation/long term holding, but that is beyond the scope of most people's definition of meaningful.
I worked out that if 1 million coins were allocated to all 3 chain for their total coin target, $1000 would buy about 0.06 bitcoins, 0.59 litecoins and 5.55 doge. Or 1 million divided into each chains' coins already in existence: 0.10 vs 1.97 vs 15.83 respectively.
So with doge, you get more bang for your buck, a larger slice of the pie for each $ spent. And a huge sub-reddit to launch into, and a clean piece of cyberspace to work with.
That's pretty compelling to me just on its own. And the coin I feel is sovereign to bitcoin. Also, when you see kids drawing pictures of shibes, and women stripping naked for them (there's a subreddit for it,) you know you're onto something unique.
The larger population need and want cryptos to work. Doge answers that need better than anything else right now. That's very important and should not be overlooked.
So what difference does that make... I can still spend 0.0001 bitcoins or 0.01583 dogecoins which would each equal a $1 in value. There's no difference in "cost-of-stake" at all.
Why do people have such trouble understanding fractions?
(that's according to a cake composed of the current # of coins in existence for each cake, not the target amount)
So each piece of your cake costs $1000, but each piece takes out a different proportion from the whole cake (ie a certain number of slices per piece.)
The thing to think about is that buying coins, building an app and launching into a reddit, would likely be better than buying a mining rig to mine. Even a single app will inspire other developers to do the same and both will increase the value of one's coins (ie the size of your piece grows, as does the cake.) It's like IPO'ing your app on release, it's your coin value that goes up. And that's hot.
The cake value is determined by the richness of apps that are its ingredients - and the number of people that are circling it wanting a slice. At the moment, doge has few apps but many people circling it wanting the cake to grow. If you build an app that's any good, you've got immediate traction, and if you hold doge, that value will grow too.
(just my theory anyway)
At the end of the day, the currency will hold some amount of economic value. For bitcoin at the moment, it's about $10 Billion USD. The total gross world product (GWP) is currently the equivalent of about $70 Trillion USD. So lets imagine a single crypto currency holding the entire GWP.
For bitcoin, that's $70 Trillion / 21 Million bitcoins = $3,333,333 per bitcoin. For dogecoin that's $70 Trillion / 100,000,000,000 dogecoin = $700 per dogecoin.
Both Bitcoin and Dogecoin are divisible to at least 8 decimal places (and the algorithms can change to permit greater divisibility), so your unit of currency is basically arbitrary. You can still spend $1 worth of a $3,333,333 bitcoin just as you can with dogecoin.
Dogecoin is just shifiting the decimal places around. It doesn't give you any different stake versus Bitcoin.
But working out what you will build into, there are different things to think about, such as potential users and their desires, and what exists currently to meet those desires. Steve Jobs was about building things people didn't know they even wanted, and that'd be something to think about with a doge app. Even messaging.. all these tips going through, they are all potential relationships and followups. How can you track who you've sent to? How easy is it for reddit users to interact with each other outside of reddit?
Can a social network be built around tipping? Maybe a user might want to bookmark someone for a tip, rather than doing it instantly, or do it off public record. So basically attaching a username to a set of addresses, which can be generated on demand. Collecting feedback and ratings between users. It should be semi-anonymous.
Yup, I agree with you there. The problem is that there's nothing inherently different about Dogecoin that ensures a faster growth rate than Bitcoin. Bitcoin also has a subreddit, and I would argue a more mature community, even though it may not be the new hotness.
What is different about Dogecoin, it's faster block confirmation, it's faster difficulty retargeting, and it's larger reward payout, actually make it inherently less secure than Bitcoin (Litecoin shares these traits, to a lesser degree). The reason it's seeing faster growth compared to Bitcoin at the moment is that mining is still somewhat reasonable with regular hardware, but this will change fairly soon and slow it's growth rate as miners jump on the next currency that offers faster payouts.
So why not build your social network for tipping around Bitcoin? Personally I'd prefer a Bitcoin tip of 0.002 rather than 1000 Dogecoin.
[same with youtube, that is also a huge area of tipping. Who wouldn't leave a single url in all their tracks and videos if they receive tips from it, especially if the giver is recorded and the initiating media identified?]
Point-of-sale is also underdeveloped.
There are more than 200 alt coins [1] and the vast majority of these don't contribute anything new to the field of crypto currencies but many succeed to win followers just because people keep calling the process that should be called "policing with a small compensation" "mining for profit". Read Satoshi's whitepaper[2]. Mining is meant to not be profitable for the masses and yet it is profitable in so many cases. Why is this? Because people are confused about the value of the minable goods. Mining is always connected with an up-front investment and the bigger the industry the more professional you have to be to do it profitably. Therefore loosers/scammers/lunatics/pump-and-dumpers (sorry) gravitate towards unprofessional coins where there is no professionalism celebrating the next big thing since bitcoin and once their coin of choice turns more mature they abandon ship as the very property they seek – easy minability – got lost.
Disclaimer: I own bitcoins and was sent 100 reddit-dogetipbot-dogecoins.
[1] https://bitcointalk.org/index.php?topic=134179.msg4701768 [2] http://bitcoin.org/bitcoin.pdf
I think you're neglecting the value of the community. Dogecoin is, from a technical standpoint, just Bitcoin with some cosmetic changes, but the users make it much easier to get help and get involved. They're also more willing to give people dogecoin tips, which encourages spread.
At least not yet. Hopefully not ever.
> This week, transactions worth a total of $US14 million were made, including one Chinese investor who bought $US5 million worth of the virtual currency
It's very funny to me how dogecoin has taken off. :-) I got tipped on reddit and now I'm hooked.
I think the seamless nature of tipping on reddit (all you have to do is reply to a comment with +/u/dogecoinbot n and it will send coins) has really spurred its use.
Btw, now that I have a dogecoin wallet (DRVMiXCneJhFVBy4r4T2zpw9j5f4Tp1KzH), anyone want to send me some...? :-D
there you go.
edited to add (and bring back on topic): this might look spammy, and in fact it is -- some subreddits don't like all the tipping noise at all, but on /r/dogecoin it's the big thing that differentiates it from the other altcoins.
So is that "I've been grossing $60+ per day mining it."?
Also, you've converted that value from doge to bitcoin? Any idea what your costs are (hardware + running)?
I go DOGE -> BTC -> USD.
How do you use Cryptsy and multipool at the same time? multipool converts to BTC automatically and only pays out in BTC. multipool also doesn't mine Dogecoin all the time, just the most profitable coin, and keeps which coin it is mining a secret from the user.
Your story doesn't add up.
EDIT: Hashcows is similar to multipool except it tells the user what it mines, has a slightly lower fee, and allows users to keep the alt coins or auto convert directly to BTC. It hasn't mined DOGE lately, here's what it is mining.
It seems like that would open up a ton of new opportunities but for the life of me, I can't think of any good uses for micropayments (beyond paying for content). Any ideas, HN?
Doing this via a global blockchain might not be viable, of course.
(✓) Public reluctance to accept weird new forms of money
(✓) Huge existing software investment in SMTP
:) (✓) Sending email should be freeActually, if the amount is a flat or mostly-flat rate then most e-mail exchanges would be effectively free (send message, get response, net cost = 0). I'm not sure how it would work with mailing lists/groups though...
Further, that physical spam is really, really well targeted compared to email spam. You may not care about most of it, but at least it has something to do with your real life (mostly coupons and advertisements for local businesses, if yours is like mine).
It's probably as simple as repurposing the reddit tip bot. I think it's open source, no?
So a user tips a dev for a project, and leaves a comment and/or feature request. Weeks later, the dev can see who has left the most tips, and/or when a person tips they can select from a bunch of feature requests or make a comment.
So expanding on a comment I left in another part of this thread, the site would be called "follow up tip" and users connect their soundcloud, youtube, github and other accounts. They leave a tip url on tracks, videos or projects: http://followuptip.com/tipme/myusername
On that page, the site determines who the giver is (they're signed in,) what the tip is about (the site connects the referring url to an underlying project or media.. or the user will manually select it from those imported upon signup (and updated/synced regularly)) and an address is generated on-the-fly, which is tracked for some payment (and can be auto-forwarded.)
On the other hand, a person may not tip at all to that address (it's optional), but leave some message instead for a feature request or idea and then some bounty amount. The artist or developer then uses these requests to determine what to create/develop next, and they follow it up to all relevant tippers or requesters upon release/creation. "I've just released that feature" to which a tip can then be made against. Or, an artist (or video producer) can offer special release tracks first or the highest-quality downloads to their largest tippers who they message on a new track release. Or t-shirts or some exclusive merchandise can be provided for those who give over a certain amount.
The problem with blockchain addresses is there is no identity or username attached, and that's one thing the reddit tipbot overcomes and has thus made it popular (it's also publically visible too); and there's no efficient way to do followup (which this idea aims to solve.) A tipper may be happy to tip again, as well as buy some product (ie become a customer,) or send some link to friends when released. (if these friends also make tips, then the send user can earn referral points)
Perhaps there could be a way to create a specific tip page with a certain yt, soundcloud, or github song/vid/project embedded that can be tweeted out or sent to people, and if a person wants to leave a tip, a blockchain address is generated on-the-fly for them. There could be browser plugin that generates a short-url for any page on aforementioned sites: a page with the song/vid/project already embedded for tipping.
Any tip received can have a commission taken by followuptip before depositing into site account or else forwarding.
I suspect serious (TM) business people would less like to associate with a currency based on an internet meme. At least, until its origins are inevitably buried from the public consciousness.
I guess it remains to be seen which happens first: there is sufficient infrastructure to deal in realty with cryptocurrencies, or we've forgotten that its foundation is people captioning dog pictures.
You sure? http://www.forbes.com/sites/dalebuss/2014/01/21/how-many-spo...
I don't think business people care whatsoever--if they think it will make money they will try and make that money.
They are slow as hell, but free and very easy.
Transfer BTC to CoinedUp wallet -> convert BTC to DOGE -> Transfer DOGE to personal wallet.
I'm also slightly torn on whether each upvote should just be equivalent to like $.01 in doge or let people tip whatever they want.
I have a good idea of how to make it happen just not sure it is worth spending time on.
I used it for a bit. It was actually fairly nice, but it never picked up much traction and was shut down years ago.
It could be that only those who have installed the extension would see how much others are tipping (via discrete text appended somewhere near username).
the other way to do it is to make it so you can only tip other users who have the plugin installed. but this kills off the network effects and i'd guess the thing would be DOA after it drops off the front page.
(yeah, I thought of this too a while ago but abandoned the idea :))
PS: By the way, to viach, mrfussion, and gfodor: I've already got a backend system built using Tornado and ZeroMQ for a Bitcoin POS that could be adapted to this scenario fairly easily, and it would scale well. But how to notify new users without pissing everyone else off....
If people want the money let them come to you. If it's unclaimed after a year the policy could be that you'd donate it to charity. Which would keep with the spirit of tipping. (Or unclaimed funds could be divided between existing users each year, or returned.)
There are lots of things you could do.
Another interesting idea is to have a finders fee. So If an existing user helps track down the owner of an unclaimed account, they get a fee like 10%.
Completely agree with that. It is enough to reply with "dogetip+1" for example, where "dogetip" is the bots website name.
>> easy way to send the coins to new users that doesn't require a sign-up
HN has "about me" field, right? What if user puts his wallet id there? We don't need him to sign up then.
It's as easy as clicking "install" i think. The extension itself is not complex to implement at all and it could be done in a week or so. The backend is a different story.
In the Bitcoin community, scams are rampant and those that are scammed never get their money back. In the Dogecoin community, there is exactly the opposite. I ran a website called EasyDoge (http://easydoge.com) that was designed as an online wallet service.
Unfortunately, it was hacked and quite a bit of money was stolen. I compensated everyone out of my own pocket for the losses. This isn’t a rare occurrence: the victims of two major hacks are being compensated by the SaveDogemas effort.
Those people probably said the same thing about a website called Mt. Gox: Magic The Gathering Online which went on to be the leader in BitCoin exchange.
http://coinmarketcap.com/mineable.html
(I personally think it's a bubble but hey, it's growing while others falter)