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People are foaming at the mouth, waiting for and wanting Facebook to fail.

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It already has in my book.

There is absolutely nothing visionary about it except that its a really nice cash cow.

I don't expect it to last through 2015. 2017 is way to long

Why does it need to be visionary to survive?

In order to make sure that their stocks stay as high as possible for as long as possible.

I would invest for sure if there was such a thing as Facebook X labs.

But nope lets go with timeline

They have an AI lab.

Just like e-mail failed back in 2001, or the time the telephone the the deadpool in 1985.

The better analogy to those would be if someone had said social networks in general were going to die off.

The land-line has been effectively killed off (the last X million accounts will be slow to go, much like the last X million AOL accounts have been). Facebook would be the land-line approach, social networking voice telephony in general.

Vastly more people now get their email through a web browser - "webmail" - than via dedicated desktop email software (eg Outlook). Facebook is Outlook, social networks are email in general.

I'm not saying Facebook will die like that of course, rather your comparison is all wrong.

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