The “middle class” myth: Here’s why wages are really so low today
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He talks about people working in meat processing as being middle class if they get a good wage. WTF? In my mind middle class jobs are doctor, lawyer, professor, politician. Then the aristocracy are upper class. I guess you don't have an aristocracy in the US who I don't know what counts as upper class there.
Highly relative. By default these are considered upper middle class, although in certain cases they can be either middle class or upper class.
Remember, middle class isn't a solidly defined term. It has nuances and ranges.
Anyway, concerning the article: tl;dr Wages are low because labor unions aren't influential enough.
There are 317 million Americans, for example, and the average income is around $50,000. I think these jobs are a small percentage and pay well above average.
If you're making $100,000/year, you're very likely upper class in the U.S. Of course, this doesn't work well in big cities (where the cost of living raises the bar to upper class a bit,) but it's remarkably accurate for most places in the country.
100-200k for households puts you in the top 10%. Individuals, maybe top 5%. How is that not upper class!?
I wish I was even low middle according to your scale...
For reference:
Income in 1999
Households..................................105,539,122 100.0
Less than $10,000............................10,067,027 9.5
$10,000 to $14,999............................6,657,228 6.3
$15,000 to $24,999...........................13,536,965 12.8
$25,000 to $34,999...........................13,519,242 12.8
$35,000 to $49,999...........................17,446,272 16.5
$50,000 to $74,999...........................20,540,604 19.5
$75,000 to $99,999...........................10,799,245 10.2
$100,000 to $149,999..........................8,147,826 7.7
$150,000 to $199,999..........................2,322,038 2.2
$200,000 or more............................. 2,502,675 2.4
Median family income (dollars)..................50,046
Per capita income (dollars).....................21,587
Median earnings (dollars):
Male full-time, year-round workers..............37,057
Female full-time, year-round workers............27,194
http://censtats.census.gov/data/US/01000.pdfMiddle-middle probably kicks in when buying a nice new car every few years isn't a big deal, and your kids all have college funds started.
Upper-middle kicks in when buying a nice german car every few years is assumed, and you plan on paying your kids college tuition without much thought.
Average Salary:
San Francisco, CA: $79,000
Austin, TX: $55,000
Iowa City, IA: $54,000
Average House Price:
San Francisco, CA: $637,100
Austin, TX: $200,500
Iowa City, IA: $169,700
(For house prices, I picked CA and a couple other random states and picked the city with the highest average house price for each state listed on http://www.zillow.com. Then found the average salary for each of those places on http://www.indeed.com. I didn't have time to list them all. This is by no means a complete, dead-solid picture... but you might get the idea.)Also, I don't know if there is a better calculator out there now but I recall this one[1] being passed around back when it was a fairly new trend to hate on the 1%. Currently, $100K puts in at 81% on its scale... or "the top 19%" to use your scale. You would need to make $220K to be in the top 5%.
[1] http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2011/10/19/what-percent-are-y...
It's frustrating that the people making these calculators don't state how many working individuals makes up one household. One of the problems I'm seeing in these comments is that some of us are talking about individual income, and some household/family income.
Pointing people who buy into this idea to >100k workers will get you excuses about college debt, sky-high rent in select US cities, or flat out denial (I cannot count the number of times that Reddit has told me that I do not exist... I should stop going there but reading what some people actually believe can be illuminating.) When they claim that 100k is actually not middle-class but instead the new lower class, then pointing out that it is more than twice the median income in the US will get you objections along the line of "middle class doesn't mean 'less poor than dirt poor'". When asked about people who make two or three times more than 100k, you'll typically get a response along the lines of "people who are self-employed cannot be middle-class, because middle-class is suppose to be something that regular factory workers can obtain."
The "middle class does not exist" idea is not well thought out, and is frequently self-contradictory, but I think there are a few things perpetuating the idea. One aspect is that many people do not want to admit that they are middle class because realizing that they have it pretty good would throw a wrench into their whole "class warfare" thing, which they want to hang onto for fashion reasons. Similarly, it is essential to them that other people are not middle class, and if they self-identify as such then they are necessarily deluding themselves.
I wonder if people are actually answering a different question: whether they personally feel middle class. Where you live will greatly affect this; there's a HUGE difference between $100K in SF vs Pittsburgh.
Assuming that that number is accurate, I do not at all feel guilty about calling my tech salary "middle class" when adjusted for cost of living.
In fact, a lot of people (at least in my family) consider 'middle class' to mean 'can afford a house'. By that measure, I'm lower class. I can barely afford rent aroun dhere.
I've been living in NYC where the neighborhood you live in and the industry you work in can make you lose sight of how others live.
Thanks for the response.
Rent/mortgage is notably absent from that list, so presumably they do not expect a minimum wage earner to be living on their own. With that assumption, it is reasonable that a minimum wage earner is making enough to keep themselves entertained when not working (though ideally they should of course be saving).
Minimum wage really is not built as an independent living wage (let alone a living wage for people that have children, despite what some people think). Some other form of support is assumed.
This is exactly what I have always thought which is why I am always surprised to hear outrage about minimum wage jobs that do not provide a living wage yet they seem to think they should...or at least that is what I assume when they propose unions as a "solution".
It isn't just memories of the 60s though, there is some strong "the grass was greener on on the other side" biasing going on. The minimum wage in 1968, in today's money, was $10.56. Hardly the "buy the house in the suburbs, two cars, and raise a family of five" type of salary that many people mistakenly remember it as: http://economy.money.cnn.com/2013/02/14/minimum-wage-history...
Often people outraged about the minimum wage will talk about a "living wage". Living wage, as it is talked about today in "minimum wage outrage discussions" is a horrifically poorly defined concept. Nobody ever mentions just what neighborhood a minimum wage should enable you to live in (Malibu? I'd love to get a minimum wage job and afford a home in Malibu...) or just how large of a family this concept of a "livable wage" should support. Is a "living wage" what it takes to afford rent, with a roommate? Is it what it takes to afford rent with a stay-at-home SO? Afford rent with a small child? Afford rent with three small children?
Even if we bought into the idea of "minimum wage should be a livable wage", we'd have to specify a cutoff for our "livable wage" definition. Right now that cutoff is "is a dependent, has no dependents of their own", but people often act offended at that concept.
I seem to recall reading an article several years ago about how video games are becoming the entertainment of choice for poor people, because it is becoming the cheapest option available (again, especially per hour). And good stuff has gotten cheaper since I read that.
If someone is trying to pull statistics, "middle class" is defined by income to usually be either the middle 3 quintiles (60%) of the population, or an income between $25k-ish and $200k-ish. Doctors, Lawyers, etc. are usually on the top end of that range, and called upper-middle class.
(http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Household_income_in_the_United_...)
$200,000 is in the top 5%.
For individuals, $100,000 is in the top 10%.
It's not a precise answer; but as a functional definition it works.
Everything else is middle-class.
Very few people consider themselves "upper class" or "rich" and not for altogether invalid reasons. First, people compare themselves to the people around them, not against the whole population. People who you might expect to self-identify as "rich" have tremendously less occurrence of single-parent households, which drags down the national median household income of $50k/year. The national median household incomd for a married couple with kids is much higher, at $80k. In a major metro area, say DuPage County in the Chicago suburbs, the median household income for a married couple is over $100k/year. Second, it's difficult for people to consider themselves rich when even with a $200k/year income, their kids might have to take out student loans (top-notch American schools can cost over $50k/year). At the extremes, this phenomenon leads to some people working on Wall Street in New York self-identifying as upper middle class. The median price for a two-bedroom apartment in Manhattan is $1.35 million. It's hard to call yourself "rich" even making $250k/year HHI when you can't even afford a modest home near your work!
Donald Trump and Paris Hilton.
While by no means do I disagree with the article as a whole, this seems obviously false. Why would you not expect a higher wage for a more dangerous job, even if otherwise it doesn't have a higher skill or knowledge barrier to entry? I know I'd certainly want to make more money shoveling taconite into a blast furnace compared to taking fast-food orders. Given two such jobs at the same wage, I'd take the second one.
I did disagree with the article as a whole though- it was union wages and government enforced monopolies on union labor supply that pushed many jobs to countries with lower costs. What this purely nationalistic view fails to account for is how much wages worldwide have risen over the past 50 years.
http://www.aei-ideas.org/2013/12/chart-of-the-greatest-and-m...
A response could be summarized as: "Times, they are a' changin'"
* There are 50% more people in the US than there were in 1965, the year used as an example in the article. Up to 316MM from 194MM [1]. This means more people competing for jobs, which weakens the power of unions. Many of those people are immigrants from countries where the US dollar goes a long way. It's hard to bargain when there are dozens of applicants lined up, many of which have at least a two year degree.
* Market consolidation happened. This means that workers can't easily move to another job if they don't like their wages. Consolidation also means more competition with big enemies and fiercer battles for margins. Small companies have room to negotiate. Big companies live and die by quarterly earnings reports, and lowering wages is always a convenient go to.
* Unions cause obvious financial problems. Most unions do far more good than harm. But there are multiple examples of cutting open the golden goose. Many unions have collectively bargained too well, nearly bankrupting their employers with poorly calculated pensions and benefits. Once a union fights hard to earn a concession they can almost never give it back, no matter how damaging it becomes.
Unions are not bad things. Corporations have a fiduciary responsibility to get as much work out of employees for as little compensation as is practical. It's good to have that balanced by organizations who have a responsibility to their members to get as much from the corporation as is practical.
The lack of unions and organized labor isn't what's ailing the middle class of this country. Capitalism is a greedy optimization function. At the extremes it doesn't do "middle". Not to discuss a different topic, but ideas like basic income combined with increased automation could be like a collective bargaining for every citizen. By making work effectively optional, employers will lose some of their leverage and employees won't have to be on the defensive.
It also means more jobs, which lowers competition for jobs.
This is a myth. Under the prevailing (Delaware) law, corporations actually have a lot of leeway in this regard. If corporate executives wanted to pay more, they would be totally entitled to do so, and lawsuits wouldn't be able to stop the practice. What they would have to worry about is the private equity companies. An otherwise functioning business paying higher salaries than absolutely necessary could be a ripe takeover target.
A world in which this strong notion of fiduciary responsibility actually exists is not a world where Google pays their devs minimum wage. They would still pay them more than is "naively necessary" despite this hypothetical fiduciary responsibility.
Only in the current backwards mindset that your employees are an expense.
Properly managed people are capable of amazing things, and can be turned into an asset easily.
In theory the prevalence of white collar work should make this easier, but the stock market has turned everyone into thinking of just the next quarter. And honestly you will never get a raise out of an employee in the first quarter.
Otherwise, that won't work. It's a matter of time (decades, probably, but limited) until IT work turns into that as well. There was a time when helpdesk work was a well-paid satisfying job. Unions were merely a consequence of effectively 100% employment, and a pretty horrible one at that.
We're returning to the middle ages, it's as simple as that. I don't mean technologically (the middle ages weren't all that primitive, they had knowledge, they just didn't have any economic application for it in a lot of places. But look at the cathedrals and trading houses they built : the problem was not that know-how had disappeared entirely, it just wasn't useful in 99% of places). I mean the employment situation : 95%+ unemployment (if you don't count subsistence farmers, and you shouldn't).
You are taking a very naive viewpoint of work. If you abstract everything away, of course it is impossible to find value in your employees.
Lets take a simple example, say a Walmart employee who stocks shelves. Walmart will figure out how efficient they think a person should be, lets say they determine it should take 20 minutes to stack a shelf.
Now lets take Bob, Bob can do a shelf in 15 minutes without too much effort. Unless Walmart finds a way to encourage Bob to go above and beyond, Bob will never do 15 minute averages, why would he?
By treating Bob as an expense you have thrown away 33% of your capacity. The difficulty becomes finding the Bobs and deducing how to encourage them properly.
What "laws of the free market" are those?
|According to the laws of the free market, though, none of that is supposed to matter. I'm surprised this statement made it through editing. There is a lower supply of workers for dangerous jobs hence they are paid better (see any number of dangerous jobs).
For starters - Unions are great, I mean, just ask Detroit how awesome they are. The unions absolutely buried that city in unfunded pensions:
http://www.freep.com/interactive/article/20130915/NEWS01/130...
"Even in recent years, when no one questioned that the health care tab had been ballooning, city leaders failed to cut costs because of intense pressure from unions. Adverse court and arbitration rulings also stymied the city’s best efforts to cut. The city’s spending on retiree health care soared 46% from 2000 to 2012, even as general fund revenue fell by 20%."
From the article: "The anti-labor movement’s greatest victory has been in preventing the unionization of the jobs that have replaced well-paying industrial work."
This is such a myth. Right now there's a HUGE shortage of skilled labor in this country - most in non-unionized fields:
http://www.scdigest.com/ontarget/13-11-06-3.php?cid=7555
"Companies that make tangible products are struggling to find candidates for about 237,000 job openings. To put that figure in perspective, it's 89,000 more than the entire U.S. economy created in September."
"But worse, the under 30 crowd simply does not see manufacturing work as an attractive option. That may be due to some misconceptions about new age manufacturing jobs, says Paul Gerbino, head of ThomasNet News.
Many young workers don't even think about manufacturing as a career "because they don't realize that factory jobs are not what they were in the old days," says Gerbino. "Many of these jobs involve sophisticated technology" he told Fortune, and with that comes improved pay. Salaries can start at $50,000 or more, and climb to well over $100,000 a year for skilled, experienced engineers and technicians.
The Thomas.Net study found that 59% of small and medium-size manufacturers are planning to hire skilled trade workers - that is, if they can find them."
Not exactly a ringing endorsement for the author's assertion we need more unions to protect the "working wages".
Maybe if they paid more than unskilled labour, they'd fill those posts.
www.nytimes.com/2012/11/25/magazine/skills-dont-pay-the-bills.html
From what I know and what I've read, you have to be at least an assistant manager before you'll see the same wages you can make as a skilled worker. Most asst. managers make around $40K a year plus benefits. Just like my article pointed out, most skilled laborers START at $50K and go up from there. If I was 23 and making $50K with a car payment and no kids and no family, I'd be living the high life!
"At GenMet, the starting pay is $10 an hour. Those with an associate degree can make $15, which can rise to $18 an hour after several years of good performance."
40 hours a week for 52 weeks a year on 10 an hour comes out to 20888 dollars. That's a lot less than 50000.
Got a degree and been there for several years? 40 hours a week for 52 weeks a year on 18 an hour comes to 37440. That's a lot less than 50000.
http://www.bls.gov/oes/current/oes472031.htm
Residential Building Construction: $41,910 Performing Arts Companies: $57.710
Already much of the seafood is from Thailand and Chinese sources (check the label at your local supermarket).
(And how often is such food tested for antibiotics that are legal there, but banned here? Is a question I would like the answer to...)
If just the "companies that can bear it" bear it, you'll get less of those stores, as the expected profit yield per store decreases. Less stores is less competition, which will yield higher prices.
It's even considered suspect in China, which is among the reasons Smithfield Foods, an American pork processor, was bought by a Chinese company last year:
http://www.pigprogress.net/Pork-Processing/Meat-Companies/20...
This statement about the "laws of the free market" is an erroneous claim. Look up "compensating differential."
He also uses the year 1965. Just a few years later in the 1970's the steel industry in this country started to take a huge dive. Why? They priced themselves out of the market. Steel was cheaper everywhere else.
One look at this graph tells a grim story. Imagine if it went back to the 1900's instead of just 1980.
http://www.marketsize.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2011/05/Ir...
Can you imagine what the air quality, or lack of was like back then?
Now, just multiply the loss of the steel industry with all of the others that we've lost over the years, like the auto industry. It's easy to see where the jobs went. The rest of the world simply caught up.
It's easier in some counties. For example, while in London, I was able to buy a very good percentage of local food, even bio stuff. As I travelled through Europe last year, I was able to do the same in every country I went to. I was driving around and that certainly helped getting to the big supermarkets but I also went to smallers shops and, while not perfect, it was still possible to choose products based on its origin.
Now, I went on to check what's the closest source of bananas for Australia and, well, Australia does produce around 200k tonnes of bananas every year[1]: https://www.dropbox.com/s/iomsvbzcaizcfh7/FAOSTAT_2014-01-02...
Sources: [1] http://faostat3.fao.org/faostat-gateway/go/to/download/Q/QC/...
Edward McClelland claims that "the laws of the free market", differing compensation for different types of work, and for work of differing degrees of unpleasantness and risk, should be compensated equally. While there are some within present economic circles who'd argue that, if you go back to Adam Smith (insufficiently read by either economists or their critics), you'll find he actually expands at some length on this in Chapters VIII and X of Book I of The Wealth of Nations. Edited for length (the 18th century was a time of considerably more leisurely writing...).
The precis: general wage levels should cover the basic needs of survival, and are established by whether or not general employment is growing, steady, or declining, with the favorability to labor being best in the first and worst in the last case. Compensation for specific types of works varies according to five factors identified by Smith: agreeableness of the work (which reduces pay), cost of acquiring a skill (which increases it), regularity of employment (decreases), trust required of the worker (increases), and the probability of success (less risk: lower reward).
Incidentally, this answers the question of why college professors are relatively poorly paid ("If you're so smart, why aren't you rich?"): while the job requires considerable education, it's agreeable, highly regular, relatively low on the trust metric, and (for tenured positions) carries very low risk. And hence: the pay is adequate, but generally modest. Back to Smith....
First, Chapter VIII notes that it's the increase or decrease in the economic output of a country, not its total size, which sets the prevailing wage rate. A smaller economy growing faster than a larger one will pay better yet have lower prevailing prices. Smith also notes that pay must always be sufficient to cover living expenses, a point somewhat lost on WalMart and McDonalds of late:
A man must always live by his work, and his wages must at least be sufficient to maintain him. They must even upon most occasions be somewhat more, otherwise it would be impossible for him to bring up a family, and the race of such workmen could not last beyond the first generation....
There are certain circumstances, however, which sometimes give the labourers an advantage, and enable them to raise their wages considerably above this rate, evidently the lowest which is consistent with common humanity.
When in any country the demand for those who live by wages, labourers, journeymen, servants of every kind, is continually increasing; when every year furnishes employment for a greater number than had been employed the year before, the workmen have no occasion to combine in order to raise their wages. The scarcity of hands occasions a competition among masters, who bid against one another in order to get workmen, and thus voluntarily break through the natural combination of masters not to raise wages....
It is not the actual greatness of national wealth, but its continual increase, which occasions a rise in the wages of labour. It is not, accordingly, in the richest countries, but in the most thriving, or in those which are growing rich the fastest, that the wages of labour are highest.
In Chapter X, wage differentials by type of work:
The five following are the principal circumstances which, so far as I have been able to observe, make up for a small pecuniary gain in some employments, and counterbalance a great one in others. First, the agreeableness or disagreeableness of the employments themselves; secondly, the easiness and cheapness, or the difficulty and expense of learning them; thirdly, the constancy or inconstancy of employment in them; fourthly, the small or great trust which must be reposed in those who exercise them; and, fifthly, the probability or improbability of success in them.
First, the wages of labour vary with the ease or hardship, the cleanliness or dirtiness, the honourableness or dishonourableness, of the employment. Thus in most places, take the year round, a journeyman tailor earns less than a journeyman weaver. His work is much easier. A journeyman weaver earns less than a journeyman smith. His work is not always easier, but it is much cleanlier....
Hunting and fishing, the most important employments of mankind in the rude state of society, become, in its advanced state, their most agreeable amusements....
Secondly, the wages of labour vary with the easiness and cheapness, or the difficulty and expense, of learning the business.
When any expensive machine is erected, the extraordinary work to be performed by it before it is worn out, it must be expected, will replace the capital laid out upon it, with at least the ordinary profits. A man educated at the expense of much labour and time to any of those employments which require extraordinary dexterity and skill, may be compared to one of those expensive machines....
The difference between the wages of skilled labour and those of common labour, is founded upon this principle....
[I]n order to qualify any person for exercising the one species of labour, ... [custom imposes] the necessity of an apprenticeship.... During the continuance of the apprenticeship, the whole labour of the apprentice belongs to his master. In the meantime he must ... be maintained by his parents or relations... Some money, too, is commonly given to the master..... [O]n the contrary, the labourer, while he is employed about the easier, learns the more difficult parts of his business... It is reasonable ... [that] the wages of mechanics, artificers, and manufacturers, should be somewhat higher than those of common labourers.... This superiority, however, is generally very small: the daily or weekly earnings of journeymen in the more common sorts of manufactures ... are, in most places, very little more than the day-wages of common labourers. Their employment, indeed, is more steady and uniform, and the superiority of their earnings, taking the whole year together, may be somewhat greater.... Education in the ingenious arts, and in the liberal professions, is still more tedious and expensive. The pecuniary recompence, therefore, of painters and sculptors, of lawyers and physicians, ought to be much more liberal; and it is so accordingly.
Thirdly, the wages of labour in different occupations vary with the constancy or inconstancy of employment....
A mason or bricklayer ... can work neither in hard frost nor in foul weather... What he earns, therefore, while he is employed, must not only maintain him while he is idle, but make him some compensation for those anxious and desponding moments [he awaits employment]...
[Any contractor should be familiar with this circumstance ... Ed]
When the inconstancy of employment is combined with the hardship, disagreeableness, and dirtiness of the work, it sometimes raises the wages of the most common labour above those of the most skilful artificers. A collier working by the piece is supposed, at Newcastle, to earn commonly about double [or more] ... the wages of common labour ... [arising] altogether from the hardship, disagreeableness, and dirtiness of his work....
Fourthly, the wages of labour vary according to the small or great trust which must be reposed in the workmen.
The wages of goldsmiths and jewellers are everywhere superior to those of many other workmen ... on account of the precious materials with which they are entrusted.... Such confidence could not safely be reposed in people of a very mean or low condition....
[Entrepreneurs pay attention to the next .. Ed]
Fifthly, the wages of labour in different employments vary according to the probability or improbability of success in them.
*The probability that any particular person shall ever be qualified for the employments to which he is educated, is very different in different occupations.... In a perfectly fair lottery, those who draw the prizes ought to gain all that is lost by those who draw the blanks. In a profession, where twenty fail for one that succeeds, that one ought to gain all that should have been gained by the unsuccessful twenty.
Why this sh*t is posted on hacker news?????
Why????????????????????????????????????????