Bicycle Helmets and the law: a perfect teaching case for epidemiology
badscience.net
badscience.net
If cycle helmets were made compulsory in the UK, it is calculated that an extra 253 people per year would die from obesity related diseases ( http://www.cyclehelmets.org/1231.html ) . Ironically cycle helmets kill.
What is interesting about this is the identification of two groups of cyclists. The 'speed' group who currently wear helmets (and usually have lycra) and then the slow group (the rest of society) who just want to go from A to B. Helmet laws specifically have a negative impact on the slow group. This is the group of people that we need to encourage.
As mentioned in the BMJ article ( http://www.bmj.com/content/346/bmj.f3817?ijkey=I5vHBog6FhaaL... ) : "For others, this is an explicitly political matter, where an emphasis on helmets reflects a seductively individualistic approach to risk management (or even “victim blaming”) while the real gains lie elsewhere. It is certainly true that in many countries, such as Denmark and the Netherlands, cyclists have low injury rates, even though rates of cycling are high and almost no cyclists wear helmets. This seems to be achieved through interventions such as good infrastructure; stronger legislation to protect cyclists; and a culture of cycling as a popular, routine, non-sporty, non-risky behaviour."
This stuff is important. The UK justice system is permeated with the belief that if you were not wearing a helmet then you were, in some way, partially responsible. It's got so bad that insurance payouts are being affected by this.
Note I personally don't wear a cycle helmet except in winter when I want to have a bigger light to see the trail ahead of me as I commute to work. However if I go out on a club ride then I wear one. I'm pushing the speed of the bike and it could slip out from under me. I do not wear it with the belief it would save me if I had a collision with a car.
http://www.bmj.com/content/343/bmj.d4521
http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2920084/
That said, everyone should have the right to choose which risks they assume (including biking w/o a helmet).
That said, they still die like flies and for reasons totally unrelated to (not) wearing a helmet.
Protective gear goes a long way, a helmet can save your life, leather can save your legs and boots can save your feet.
On the other hand, this might be the consequence of safety in numbers, good infrastructure/cycle paths, availability of quiet roads with wide deserted sidewalks, the fact the average cyclist lived much closer than the average car driver and hence covered fewer miles of road.
I'm sure someone commuting by bicycle in London during the rush hour, or in other countries, might have a very different experience. I'd be interested to hear where you're located, if every bicycle commuter is involved in multiple accidents?
Personally I see motorcycle helmets as quite different to bicycle helmets; motorbikes tend to go a lot faster leading to very different injury patterns in accidents, from what I've read. They're also very different as signals of social status. And many governments want to increase the number of bicycles on the road, and hence don't want to make moves that discourage bicycle riders, while most governments are indifferent to or want to reduce the number of motorbikes, so if legislation reduces the number of motorbike riders they don't particularly care.
So wear a helmet, there is no law whatsoever prohibiting you to wear one.
Me, I am a datum point for the argument that helmets stop you from cycling. I used to ride a bike everywhere before the compulsory helmet laws were introduced. After, cycling became so much less convenient, you had to make sure that you brought your helmet, that you kept it secure, and I plain do not like the way bicycle helmets feel on your head.
I hate the compulsory helmet laws, and I want them gone.
And just be aware that you might subconsciously drive less safely while you are wearing a helmet, and automobile drivers might subconsciously pass closer to you while you're wearing a helmet.
> I hate the compulsory helmet laws, and I want them gone.
This is the heart of the bike helmet debate, not the "evidence". I put that word in quotes because epidemiology is being abused by people who just don't like wearing helmets.
You're going to have to be more specific in your critique if you want to be taken seriously. What in TFA amounted to an "abuse" of epidemiology?
Where do you live where "every single bicycle commuter" has been in at least one accident which is "much worse than an auto accident"?
Can you be more definite about what you're comparing? It seems like you're talking average-case car-car collision with worst-case car-bike collision. The worst-case consequence of an auto accident is, what, the Ibadan tanker truck explosion in Nigeria which killed 100-200 people? And it's not hard to find reports of car crashes which kill 6 or more people.
(For that matter, every walker and runner I know has been involved in accidents, like tripping, falling down stairs, or hitting a low branch.)
There's nothing preventing you from wearing a helmet when you ride. I know people who don't feel safe unless they have lots of reflectors. I don't feel safe when I have to ride on a road with cars, except during the non-rush hours during the day.
The problem about scenarios is they exclude the cost/benefit discussion. I can easily think of a scenario where wearing motorcycle body armor would help. For that matter, I can think of a scenario where wearing a wet suit while cycling would useful - what if you fall into a cold river while crossing it? I could probably come up with a good reason for bringing an air tank - if a tanker car crashes and releases toxic fumes in the air, then you can still breath and get away.
The point of the article was that the cost/benefit calculations for a bike helmet are complicated. There's no clear signal that they are useful. There are scenarios where they are useful, yes, and scenarios where a helmet requirement is a net negative. Both are mentioned.
You say the risks are "downplayed." Did you not read the article, much less its references?
You ask "Should we encourage motorcyclists not to wear helmets?" That's a very different topic. As the article points out: "a recent study identified two broad subpopulations of cyclist: “one speed-happy group that cycle fast and have lots of cycle equipment including helmets, and one traditional kind of cyclist without much equipment, cycling slowly.” The study concluded that compulsory cycle helmet legislation may selectively reduce cycling in the second group."
I am a member of that second, slow group. I bike at about 18 kph. This is slower than the fastest marathon runners. I believe there's an evolutionary argument that running speeds and slower are generally safe for the human body. (Either that, or we need to start putting safety gear on Usain Bolt!)
But motorcyclists and moped riders, downhill skiers and Tour de France riders, all go at a faster rate. The energy in a collision goes as the velocity squared, so there's 6x more energy in someone going 45 kph than at 18. This translates to a lot more possible damage, so more of a need for protective gear.
Hinrik: the BMJ paper we're talking about also gives the actual citation, not the commentary that you point to.
BTW, looking at the citations to that paper, there's a re-analysis of the same data, at http://www.plosone.org/article/info%3Adoi%2F10.1371%2Fjourna... . It broadly agrees with Walker's conclusion, but notes a diminished effect of wearing a helmet:
> Risk compensation theory for helmet wearing while cycling has generated increased interest in the peer-reviewed literature, although there is little to no evidence to support the theory. Walker's [2] argument that helmet wearing affects the behaviour of motor vehicle drivers does not support risk compensation theory upon re-analysis. Helmet wearing is associated with a small difference in passing distance and is not associated with close passing. The evidence from this study does not justify recommendations around helmet wearing, but rather highlights the more important factors of kerb distance, road characteristics and traffic type which may inform more effective cycling safety improvements.
It too says "This study has several limitations with regards to the data. Ian Walker was the only cyclist observed and therefore his cycling behaviour may not be representative of cyclists in general", then lists other limitations.
It seems you'd need work upstream a bit to prove your point. The conventional wisdom is that bicycle helmets are a "good thing".
Ok so 253 extra people will die from obesity. What about the ones that will not die but be disabled. What about those that don't die from falling of the bicycle but get disabled permanently or temporarily.
> They enforce the perception that cycling is dangerous.
Is that so controversial though. Cycling, absent dedicated bike lines, separate bike paths, and very well organized intersections is dangerous. Heck, driving is dangerous, riding a bike among cars is even more dangerous from what I understand. Now, I don't have the data, you seem to have some, so I can't point to any studies right of the bat here.
> Finally, as the study showed, they are designed to only be involved in an accident between you and the road. Not another vehicle.
Well ok, the helmet protects the head. Hitting the road because a car hit the cyclist or a deer or someone put a stick in the spokes, I can see having a helmet, even one not designed for automobile accident protection as a better idea than not having one.
One thing I can see is the false sense of security. I buy that argument. Someone before talked (sorry, can't remember who or where or if it was study or not) how when they were riding alongside cars and if they had a helmet, cars actually drove closer to them, and if they didn't, cars gave them more room. That's interesting I think.
You mean disabled by obesity, right? I am sure there would be LOTS.
> Is that so controversial though. Cycling, absent dedicated bike lines, separate bike paths, and very well organized intersections is dangerous.
The more cyclists there are, the less dangerous cycling is. Things that discourage cycling thus make it more dangerous for all other cyclists (and vice versa).
From the paper:
"Modelling studies have generally concluded that regular cyclists live longer because the health effects of cycling far outweigh the risk of crashes"
The case is quite clear: Most people who die in cars have not had their heads protected by a helmet at the time of the fatal collision. While they might very well be dead regardless, so might the occasional cyclist that got run over by a lorry while not wearing her helmet, so this doesn't really enter the argument.
When helmets are mandatory for car occupants, I shall laugh at their faces and ask them if they feel any safer crossing the railroad tracks. I'm also certain my ill manners will improve road safety by a measurable margin.
And, of course, I wear a helmet most of the time.
Properly worn bike helmets are invisible to the person wearing it (except for the head visor extension if you use one, and that's above you so doesn't really get in the way).
>it's probably not gonna do much in a car crash anyway
Bike helmets aren't designed to protect you from a crash with a car, so yes, it's probably not going to do much, even if it was in your peripheral vision.
And that message is part of the whole complex of ideas keeping otherwise healthy people in their cars. It's been documented (and backed up by my and others anecdotal experience) that motorists are more respectful of riders without helmets.
There are plenty of resources here's one http://cyclehelmets.org/
I would imagine most people would qualify what you are doing as dangerous. There maybe nothing technically wrong you do while riding, but if you are sharing the road with cars it takes one tired, drunk, texting or senile or otherwise inattentive driver to squash both you and your daughter. They don't even need to go that fast.
I have seen it myself -- dad hauls his kid in one of those trail-behind carriers, it is nighttime already. Rush hour traffic. Flag barely seen, not big or high enough. People coming home tired and overworked, I've seen a close call once. Very scary stuff. Honestly I was thinking "what a dumbass" about that particular parent. And I can't see how it would be otherwise in that one case.
Most bicyclists I know have had serious falls. Some been hit by cars on rural roads. Out of my acquaintances that are motorcyclists, many are now ex-acquaintances and that is not because we fell apart but because they are dead now. It is often not their fault, it is a drunk driver, or other drivers' fault, it just they are exposed and vulnerable around large heavy SUV sized cars moving around.
> that motorists are more respectful of riders without helmets.
Use of "respectful" here is a bit funny? It would seem they are not thinking exactly "respectful" thoughts, probably thinking "What is this crazy guy doing here? He is going to get himself killed!". Well ok maybe it doesn't matter as long as cars stay away, but that doesn't' help promote the idea of safety, it promotes the negative idea -- people who bike are crazy unsafe and need to be protected from themselves.
I don't think it represents a disincentive to people exercising or kids riding to school. It might have when introduced but I suspect other lifestyle changes have more impact. When I was a kid I had to ride a couple of km just to see a computer. I had two television stations and my only electronic game was pong so riding my bike was the only way to stay sane.
Where it is a problem is you don't carry a helmet around with you so you can't just hop on a mates bike or hire a bike without putting someone else's helmet on which isn't attractive. I have considered hiring a bike when interstate but the helmet thing has always put me off.
Let's make helmets mandatory after we outlaw being a fat fuck and eating like shit.
Bicycle related injuries are not what any insurance company is worried about, while obesity, diabetes, cardiovascular diseases and motor vehicle related injuries actually really are the issues that keep raising the cost of your insurance - you just don't see it that way, because you don't want to take responsibility for the costs your lifestyle imposes on the society.
I'm dreadfully sorry if this has come out as addressed to an individual - speaking epidemiologically, this is absolutely about all of us, collectively. I would never recommend anyone to not wear a helmet, but I would rather see their choice of transport be the bicycle as often as possible, and mandatory wearing of helmet will not help that.
Besides, cyclists are pretty healthy overall, as compared to the motorized-barcalounger operators. If one gets run over, it doesn't cost "your" insurance near as much as the 1500 matching sedentary automobilists with diabetes and heart disease.
And its pretty silly to blame a helmet law for keeping people off of bicycles and making them fat. Say they want to ride: they still have to buy the bike, and appropriate clothing, and probably a rack to take the bike someplace safe to ride. The helmet has always been the cheapest, simplest part of my ride to manage.
So, people are fat because they are lazy. Stop blaming helmets of all things.
Those 'do gooders' are also the ones that advocate changes to traffic laws to accommodate cyclists, and sponsor cycling lanes, to make the environment safer for your pursuit.
Do you want them to cease that, too?
I'd wear two damned helmets if it ever saved me being in that position.
I can only see people who think helmets should not be mandatory, because the data shows this will reduce the number of people using their bicycles for casual transport, which in turn increases their risk for a wide range of health problems and simultaneously makes cycling more dangerous for everyone else, because fewer cyclists on the road means fewer drivers will take enough care to notice them and give them their space.
Steven Levitt: Surprising stats about child carseats http://www.ted.com/talks/steven_levitt_on_child_carseats.htm...
Given that skills training, traffic engineering and other key components of real (i.e., statistically defensible) bicycle safety are not profitable how would you go about fixing this dysfunctional aspect of our automobile-centric cultures?