It is going to be the same patttern with all forms of electronic communication. The spectre of weapons of mass destruction (anything that can kill more than one person at a time) is the justification/motivation for government and law enforcement to monitor everything online. Whether it has merit is kind of besides the point. It is an advantage, perceived or otherwise, that is not going to be given up, under any circumstances.
Another part to this is whether conspiring online actually constitutes a crime. People can chat all day about terrorist plots but until someone actually goes out and starts building a bomb or procuring weapons has a crime really taken place? Only when a society can decide on the answer to this question will it be possible to address online surveillance.