A Magical Time to Start a Movement
dennybritz.com
dennybritz.com
I thought the sharing economy was bittorrent and Free Software. Aren't AirBnB, Uber, and Lyft part of the home piecework subcontractor temp-for-life economy?
Right below this quote from your blog, in the "From around the web" section: "Obamacare could soon cause massive layoffs."
I think it's a magical time to get people wasting time on their phones, maybe solve some minor efficiency problems around the edges of Obamacare but SV is the worst possible choice to solve the big problems we're facing.
Layoffs are not necessarily a bad thing. Building a world with technology in mind means that the role of humans will shift away from traditional positions to something different. In the long run, this may create more jobs that it makes go away.
Though I can't disagree with you on the mobile phone thing ;)
Unfortunately, as John Maynard Keynes famously observed, "in the long run we are all dead." (http://en.wikiquote.org/wiki/John_Maynard_Keynes)
Dealing with the short term is really appealing, but it typically has the worst long term affects.
The consequences of the means have to be justified by the benefits of the ends.
At the same time, focussing only on the theoretically-projected long-term effects while neglecting the near-term effects is really appealing, but then we keep getting changes motivated by long-term (=infinite horizon) effects that never are acheived because what we are always dealing with the short-term results of the most recent change that come from real-world friction on the way to the theoretical infinite horizon effects.
To deal with the real world, we need to concern ourselves both with the long-term effects and the path to them.
For example we just launched Prime, an iPhone app that allows you to download your medical record from any doctor and share health activity with friends and family. http://stayinyourprime.com. We're not the only ones in healthcare. There's also Practice Fusion, drchrono, DoctorBase, and countless others.
And on the education side there's Inkling, for example. And on the banking side there's Simple (though they're actually based in Portland). And of course YC famously backed Watsi. Maybe you have different examples in mind of what big problems are but it does seem to me that as we are seeing more startups overall that means we're seeing more startups addressing bigger/more meaningful problems.
I mean no offense to you personally, but I fail to understand how this problem fits in a world in which 2.5 billion people lack basic sanitation.
some of the people making big on some app will become the next Musk (though unfortunately some will become the next Thiel) and will work on the big problems our civilization faces. That is is the beauty of SV - it allows people doing business here (or even merely employed) to generate resources to try to tackle something bigger. It is like springboard.
- 2.5 billion people worldwide lack basic sanitation. This is a fundamental human right and can cause harm by opening the door to disease which can sometimes lead to death.
- 130 million people in the US suffer from chronic illnesses and lack basic access to their medical records. This is a fundamental human right and can cause harm by opening the door to incorrect assessments and treatments which can sometimes lead to death.
SV is solving problems for who can pay.. and that crowd already has too many people with their brains working all day to solve their problems..
The problems that are let unsolved, are the ones from marginalized people.. people smashed and invisible to the society.. the ones called the "loosers"..
Even if not targeting social issues.. the big problems and really cool innovations come from passionate human beings.. and not form short-circuit ideas; or money-traps companies.. this is just noise..
The passionate ideas may find a way to be profitable latter.. but it hardly start that way..
I agree with people that say that its hard to believe that really "disruptive" stuff will come from SV now.. because the culture that created the good things for start its constantly getting killed by the people who lend the money for the projects..
it need a long-term thinking, it needs to take a real risk.. the sort of thing banks and angels dont like to invest.. these are traditionally things that the state has invested in.. and the capital folks only get to the party later, when theres no risk..
So unless SV try to get back to its roots, and achieve that.. it wont be that magical place anymore..
Silicon Valley has yet to solve any of the big problems in the world; poverty, healthcare, climate change.
The idea that there's no war going on the world, or that you don't need universities is complete nonsense.
For sure some things are changing, but that's always been the case. This blog post, and the bizarre idea that everything must be "disrupted" (nobody knows exactly what that means) is a perfect example of the insular, ignorant, and shallow attitudes that pervade Silicon Valley.
...
> the insular, ignorant, and shallow attitudes that pervade Silicon Valley
these ideas and attitudes pervade only very young or very rich heads. It is also natural that such heads are the most vocal ones, especially when they are both - very young and very rich - at the same time.
How the status quo would fight the status quo?
Paraphrasing what a wise man once said:
How can a kingdom divided against itself survive?
The people behind all these cool new projects are the same people from the old industries, if thats not the reality in the beginning that soon will change as long its a profitable business.. the status quo may not be in the seed phase, or even in the initial funding, but definetly will be a part of it on the IPO.. and thats how even the cool projects end to serve the status quo..
The only way to really fight the status quo, the establishment is decentralizing profits and power.. otherwise, its always the same story, since the beginning of the civilization
I am not convinced of this. I think MOOCs are great and certainly a game changer for domains like computer science. But there's lots of domains that I know nothing about that I am not convinced I could master via an online course (e.g., biotech or anything else that requires expensive equipment).
Even where MOOCs are the best answer, isn't the best provider of a MOOC going to be a university? Maybe just what we think of as a university will change.
That being said, MOOCs can help alleviate a lot of the cost of a University degree.
By "every individual wields great power" you probably mean those with access to technology, relative peace, and education. War hasn't gone away we just don't fight them at home anymore.
Also, it's not a "sharing economy" when people are selling things.
The myth that "...a single person can build something on his or her laptop, instantly reach billions of people, and create a movement if he can convince others to believe in the idea." just helps concentrate power into the entities with the most processing power. Who's networks are needed to reach all those people?
Jaron Lanier puts it a bit more eloquently than I do: http://www.nytimes.com/2013/06/09/opinion/sunday/fixing-the-...