U.S. Women Are Dying Younger Than Their Mothers, and No One Knows Why
theatlantic.com
theatlantic.com
As Mikeb85 says, the map posted by elwell starts at 13.7%, and that lowest band goes up to nearly a quarter of the population at 23.3%!
NHBLI have a nice chart here. http://www.nhlbi.nih.gov/guidelines/obesity/bmi_tbl.htm
The average American man is 69 inches tall. He'd have to be 203 pounds to have a BMI of 30. The average American woman is 64 inches. She'd weigh 174 pounds.
Fat shaming is bad, and stupid, and shouldn't be tolerated. But there is a problem with people's shifting perceptions of what "fat" and "obese" mean. People who would have been called fat are now called "shapely" or "curvy".
People do not recognise obesity any more.
No, it's not. Obesity is unhealthy and usually the result of bad habits. All the ex-fatties I know think this "fat acceptance" crusade is bad and stupid.
> No, it's not.
Yes it is.
> Obesity is unhealthy and usually the result of bad habits.
Shaming isn't therapy for bad habits, and "usually" wouldn't justify it even if it was.
> All the ex-fatties I know think this "fat acceptance" crusade is bad and stupid.
And...so what?
wrong, usually poor education / bad for profit dietary advice.
Wanna sit around all day and eat while watching TV? Sure go ahead here's a bottomless bag of celery to eat. Or carrots. Or lettuce. Good luck getting fat on that. But if the .com and .gov make a lot of money promoting corn chips, it doesn't matter that corn is terrible for mammals other than fattening up livestock on the farm, there's money to be made, pork those babes up with corn chips. Ditto 2 liters of corn syrup soda, bowls of ice cream, anything with refined sugar added. Get back to me when a disgusting display of gluttony involving grilled chicken ceasars salad results in obesity.
On the other hand if its something that farmers slop their hogs with to fatten them up, like, say, corn products, well, guess what happens if you slop the chicks with corn products?
They're completely and utterly wrong about that. But to get there would involve taking a new approach to getting out of whatever circumstances got them where they are and most will never do so. The few that do will become the next generation's rags to riches stories.
Shame is a powerful thing, one that has it's place. However, most people who deal with removing an emotional or physical crutch will tell you that lots of tough love and harsh words won't do the trick. This is why 'fat shaming' might be fine in the eyes of some, but it's not in the eyes of everyone.
Now, I'm also not for the whole idea of 'fat acceptance', since it's just the opposite extreme of shame. Neither extreme will actually help people become more healthy (in the large and general scale).
As always, the solution is in the middle: lots of love and support, but also unwavering commitment to solving a problem. The carrot and the stick.
I already am in a socialized medicine system where we all share the costs for everyone, its just run by private sector for profit crooks who skim a huge amount off the top, mostly. So every penny spent on fat dude's insulin so he can keep drinking corn syrup soda is a penny that can't be spent on something I directly care about, like glaucoma (yeah yeah I know just get medical weed, whatever...) or celiac disease or other topics.
If you're trying to define a new cultural norm, in this case for eating, you're probably going to roll out a group-think consensus type meme, so not shaming people for being rebels is going to be an issue. This strategy needs a (good) marketing guy. The Apple iDinner, now without love handles. Something like that.
There are better ways to help people become healthy.
>The present research demonstrates that, in addition to poorer mental health outcomes, weight discrimination has implications for obesity. Rather than motivating individuals to lose weight, weight discrimination increases risk for obesity.
Source: http://www.plosone.org/article/info:doi/10.1371/journal.pone...
All in all, it just does not make as much intuitive sense that fat jokes (among other things) encourage people to stay fat and this little study is definitely not enough to override occams razor in my opinion.
>Participants were drawn from the Health and Retirement Study, a nationally representative longitudinal survey of community-dwelling US residents. A total of 6,157 participants (58.6% female) completed the discrimination measure and had weight and height available from the 2006 and 2010 assessments. Participants who experienced weight discrimination were approximately 2.5 times more likely to become obese by follow-up (OR = 2.54, 95% CI = 1.58–4.08) and participants who were obese at baseline were three times more likely to remain obese at follow up (OR = 3.20, 95% CI = 2.06–4.97) than those who had not experienced such discrimination. These effects held when controlling for demographic factors (age, sex, ethnicity, education) and when baseline BMI was included as a covariate.
http://www.iub.edu/~k536/images/patho/bmimortality.jpg
Edit: this also looks relevant http://protonsforbreakfast.wordpress.com/tag/mortality/
I'm having difficulty elaborating, so an analogy: letting snake venom course through your body after receiving a snakebite is not good. But that doesn't mean cutting off the affected limb is good.
Fat shaming doesn't help fat people lose weight. It just makes them feel bad about themselves. It may well make some people eat more. It polarises the debate, and pushes some people into the fat acceptance camps.
Fat shaming is harmful.
Note that fat shaming is different from being honest about body weight.
Heart disease just can't compete, even though it would benefit a lot more people, simply because it also affects men.
Edited to add you hear a lot about people dying of heart disease when they're 30 because its shockingly unusual, usually heart problems kill bluehairs. But cancer always seems to strike someone like my kids friends mom who's only 30something, that unfortunately seems normal for cancer?
High Fructose corn syrup and subsidizing horrible nutritional choices is at least partially to blame for the obesity epidemic. However, there is an element of personal choice and free will here. Ironically, one side of the political fence here will not acknowledge the former and the other side refuses to acknowledge the latter.
If you choose to squander what little free time you have from your minimum wage job on sitting in front of a TV instead of burning an extra 500-1000 calories per day, you will get fat, and you will most likely die young, and that's the cost of watching TV instead of exercising. For god's sake, at least squander that time on Khan Academy or coursera.
That said, this is a valid choice IMO. It's easy to forget how much life sucks for the bottom 80% when you're earning a salary in the top 5%. I can completely understand why someone with no perceived prospects for life ever getting any better would choose to numb themselves with food, TV, and alcohol. And that is a national disgrace.
But from my perspective, I always had a burning motivation to prove myself and stand out from the people who dismissed me as not worth the effort. Similarly, I am regularly astounded at the different outcomes I see from immigrants who arrive here with nothing, and become millionaires within a generation. The solution IMO (and there may not be one) is to figure out how to instill that kind of passion in a higher proportion of the population (and that may not be what the corporatocracy really wants because then they might start asking some really uncomfortable questions).
I am not trying to defend laziness. I am just drawing to draw your attention to some of the factors you are not considering here.
People often watch TV while doing things like cooking dinner or housework, which aren't compatible with serious exercise.
People often watch TV at hours of the day where outdoor exercise is impractical or at least inconvenient.
The decision of how to spend time isn't binary: TV or exercise. People with many family responsibilities have less free time. People who can't afford to buy time by paying for their oil changes, plumbing, etc. have less free time.
It should be telling that many people who do get regular exercise get up very early to exercise before starting their normal daily activities. Even people who make exercise a priority have a hard time fitting it into a normal schedule.
One datapoint that might help you both is minimum wage jobs are often physically exhausting. While I was a starving student I stacked 80 pound bags of water softener salt on pallets... four hours per day. Even for a big weightlifter dude thats pretty rough. When I went home to do homework I (correctly) felt no need for further exercise. But even a retail clerk drone is at least standing 8 hours per day, even if not lifting much. At another drone job I figured I walked (pretty fast) at 4 mph about half the 8 hour shift, that's 16 miles of walking every day.
There probably are minimum wage jobs where you sit all day, but stereotypically sitting around is a problem for highly paid workers. At this instant the only minimum wage / entry level job I can think of involving sitting all day is call center, and those are organized around churn and burn them to get an annual turnover ratio exceeding 1.0 to keep labor costs low (fire everyone before annual review day, and not only do you get to skip giving reviews, but you never have to pay over starting wage).
I wear a fitbit and I can burn ~3,000 calories a day just walking around the office and doing household chores. If I exercise on top of that, it's 3,500 to 4,500 calories.
And who needs to exercise outdoors? You can frickin' walk up and down stairs if you have to. It's a question of priorities.
I work exercise into my daily routine and if anyone gets in the way of that, I streamroll through them or work around their existence. I have often suggested the 5 mph scrum - everyone walks at 5 mph and if they're out of breath, the meeting is over.
Finally, before it gets mentioned, having kids is a choice. If you're making minimum wage in your 20s or earlier, it's probably a bad one, but even then, it doesn't seem to stop immigrant families who simply pool together their resources and collaborate better than Agile, Kanban, Extreme Programing or any other MBA-induced methodology of the month(tm).
Is that squandering? I know when I worked minimum wage, I would get home from work completely drained. These jobs tend to be draining either mentally or physically (dealing with bad customers, on your feet all day, yelled at by managers, etc). Watching TV is a way to turn off your brain when it has been overworked. Studying and learning new things just taxes your brain further.
Learning any skill is not "squandering", and the suggestion completely misses the point of watching TV. It's really hard to better yourself, even harder when you're out of energy. That puts you at risk for a major breakdown or other stress-related injuries. Watching TV while eating fast food has its dangers, but it's easy and it's comforting. Exercising or learning when your brain has already shut down is a waste of time as best and just as dangerous as obesity at worst.
Don't underestimate yourself.
I'm not saying that exercise isn't the cause of shorter life-spans, and there is certainly data to support it, but comparing maps alone is kind of silly. There are a lot of maps that look like that.
And indeed, I suspect the resemblance between your map and mine is not a coincidence either.
High school graduation rates are up substantially over that time period, especially for women, so the category of "high school dropouts" probably represents a narrower pool of women today than 18 years ago.
Recent findings showed that obesity can be an side-effect of stress. [There is a genetic component to it, such that people who can compensate detrimental effects of stress to the brain, become obese as a side-effect. People who can't, don't become obese but have detrimental effects to their brain. They're fucked both ways. :-( But this is merely a second hand recitation of what I heard a scientist say. Grain of salt, blah blah.]
Nevertheless, the biggest source of stress is socio-economic stress. It's way more stressful than any "direct" stress.
Trying to find some of the relevant resources:
* http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/databriefs/db50.htm shows correlation between socio-economic status and obesity
* http://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC2831158/
Linkage between obesity and some dopamine pathways are also known since 2001.
My own speculation: The location where mortality of women is highest produce the highest socio-economic stress to women.
Additional speculation: This ought to happen in high or in low income areas and may be linked with income inequality within the community.
(Aside -- the stark contrast in obesity between Colorado and Kansas is surprising.)
But you're right, it's certainly possible that all of the women in those states are of normal weight and it's only the men who are obese. I'm being a little glib though, it's hard to know without seeing the data.
I was working on a theory of grain related herbicides pesticides but I know for a fact coal mining via mtn top removal makes quite an ecological mess.
Another not entirely far fetched idea I'm working on is livestock contamination of drinking water resulting in high constant antibiotic levels leading to more resistant infections in general. Looking at where I know there are poultry plants and dairy farms its not looking good.
Its entirely possible coal tailing contamination of water kills em in Appalachia, factory livestock contamination of drinking water gets em in some rural areas, and pesticide / herbicide contamination of drinking water gets em in some areas. In that case we should in theory be able to track increased death rate by river water flow directions. For whatever reason "some contaminants" are apparently not in the Colorado river basin, but the Mississippi isn't looking good.
Ladies now smoke as much as men do. In my country young women smoke now more than men. You don't smoke to be a man anymore(stupid male reason), now you smoke for getting slim, or looking "sophisticated" or any other stupid female reason.
Females now work as hard as men. In the past they had to raise the family only, now they raise the family and work with all the crap of working(stress), they eat the same fast food shit that males do(obesity), they sleep as bad as men do.
Females now use hormones for not getting pregnant, breast and ovary's cancer incidence has gone up.(they survive more years through).
It seems that hormonal birth control slightly elevates the risk of breast cancer, but reduces the risk of ovarian cancer by a larger percentage (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hormonal_contraception#Effects...).
1) Eat relative to your activity level. If you're sedentary, eat less. If you're active or an athlete, eat more.
2) Eat good food. If you don't recognize it as something that comes out of the ground or directly from an animal, don't eat it. There are a few exceptions (oils, vinegar, fermented products). Either way, you should know where it's coming from and how it's handled.
If you do these two things, you should be alright. And IMO, the only things you should be drinking are: water (lots), beer (slightly less), wine (even less), milk (a little), juice (a little less).
Any time I see people drinking pop as a 'beverage' and not a treat I just shake my head...
Health is a mess, and we're further advanced than ever in history. Education is a mess, and every person has all the knowledge of the world literally in their pocket.
Personal responsibility.
Just a very casual observation, may be completely wrong.
I wonder how well it corresponds to grain related pesticide and insecticide use per county. This seems to work, Los Vegas is not exactly a legendary wheatfield. CA has a lot of agribusiness but not as much grain as Iowa or Montana. Ahh the waving cornfields of Manhattan Island NYC. It seems to match up...
Everything from construction to tech.
You may be right. That's actually pretty depressing... it means there may be no improvement... just a general worsening being masked by female immigrants.
I wonder if female immigrants were excluded from the populations used in these two studies?
Obesity is up. As we move away from a labor economy fewer people work on farms and factory, we eat the same number of calories, or more, and do less.
More women are in the work place, and that's stressful... Job related stress shortens lives. Sure in the old nuclear family where mom stayed home and raised the kids that was stressful too, but with nannies and day care we still have people in that role, and now you have more single moms doing work and home on their own.
Ethnic diversity due to an increase in the number of immigrants from developing nations. We have a lot more people from countries that had much shorter life spans than the US. Enough to move the numbers. Like it or not while Asia has people who live the longest the average is much shorter than those from Europe, and Mexico and Central America are much shorter still.
There's also a numerical hole where at peak we're talking about 10 million or so american farm workers leaving the farm over the 1900s, but 1/3 or so of 400 million aka over 100 million getting fat. If 10 million changed jobs and 10 million got fat, even if we don't have data to prove its the same 10 mil my spidey sense would tingle, but you're off by a factor of ten.
Also the point of the article graph is rural Montana is not the place to be if you're a woman aspiring to be old, but rural Montana never had quite the same industrial production as NYC or the WWII aircraft plants in WA. So thats a geographic issue.
The problem with your theory about short lived Mexicans is my general lifetime knowledge about where you'll find illegals living maps pretty decently with where people are actually living longer. Its as though immigrants were not exposed to certain industrial or agricultural toxins in the 3rd world that we expose our own kids to. For example no one in New Mexico (well, there's an accurate name) can speak English anymore, but the article map show's they're ridiculously healthy compared to, say, pasty white rural northern Wisconsin where I'm pretty sure they have a hunting season for illegals. Which is interesting.
(edited to add, I liked your post a lot, because it used logical thinking to come up with apparently reasonable falsifiable hypothesis, which is awesome, keep on doing it. Problems need theoreticians and experimentalists to solve them, just one isn't going to do it alone. Theoreticians do need thick skin since 90% of their theories aren't going to work and its nothing personal)
I didn't say illegals, but people of Indo and Asian descent have shorter lives for the most part compared to Caucasians.
I'm not saying my presentation of facts was perfect, but I can dig around there are plenty of studies (and I hate studies as opposed to experiments) that these observations were pulled from.
My point was really that there are lots of reasons, and likely it isn't "just one", but they aren't "unknown".