Conan Doyle estate seeks US copyright of Sherlock Holmes's 'complex personality'
theguardian.com
theguardian.com
Locking characters themselves away from public culture forever seems like the exact opposite of the original notion of limited copyright. I cynically expect them to win handily.
All you really need to know about copyright is that Mickey Mouse and The Beetles will never enter the public domain. Extrapolate from there. Its like predicting the future. If it happened a little faster, it'd be a fun party trick.
35-50 years of extra copyright = 30% of revenue. 50-70 years of extra copyright = 65% of revenue. 70-100 years of extra copyright = 90% of revenue. 100+ years of extra copyright = 200% of revenue.
And so on. Just need to administer this scheme, which would be a logistical impossibility. Yay.
Actually, ridiculously easy to administer: The enforcement you get depends on your reporting (and tax paid). If you claim to have made $x in a given year, you cannot sue any one individual for more than $x loss in that year.
So, if Disney properly reports - it is administered.
If Disney under reports - they let infringers off the (full) hook. If they do a Hollywood Accounting and claim loss every year - well, then, they can't sue any infringer for it.
The only thing giving them any standing is copyright law. Just tie it to taxation, and all will be well.
How this scales down to the case of an individual author seems more dubious though.
In essence, wouldn't the character still continue to get more "complex" even after the original author was long dead?
What these people are trying to do is to extend the copyright on the original characters forever.