Disruptive Innovation vs. Harvard: Who Will Win?
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Delivering education at scale is not in itself hard. Coursera, Udacity, Khan, edX...lots of people are making a very good go at it. Delivering the personal and social development that comes with a college education - that's the hard part. That's I have to disagree with Ferreira when he says:
> Even Harvard could admit five totally different freshman classes every year from the United States alone without compromising its standards
Technically, this is probably true. The majority of people applying to Harvard are more than qualified on paper (I've interviewed enough of them!). But a college education is so, so much more than just taking classes and getting good grades. It is about developing as a person, finding yourself. Doing that online: that's a very, very hard problem.
The funny thing is that Harvard already is making significant progress in the six areas Ferreira has identified (...edX, for example, a self governing body that uses the Harvard brand to further internet learning). The difference is that many faculty at Harvard understand that college is not, in itself, all about the lectures and grades.
[0]:http://harry-lewis.blogspot.com - Harry Lewis also has some excellent thoughts on why Harvard doesn't, as Ferreira suggests, offshoot campuses into rich countries.
The thing is that even at universities like Harvard, Oxford, MIT, etc there's considerable debate over what the university itself should be doing. The Harvard Business School, for example, is culturally (and geographically) a world apart from the undergraduate programme.
Trying to distill what a university should become is hard, because there are so many stakeholders with vastly differing views.
This is spot-on. The university I went to was good in terms of education; I learned a lot while I was there and it's definitely a cornerstone of my intellectual development. However, in terms of personal and social development, it was a dead end.
There are some institutions that manage to build thriving communities which encourage growth beyond the mere knowledge you gain there. That's something which you cannot replicate easily -- and a phenomenon that was long known. The wise men of the Lyceum or the Academia didn't spend their time there just for the lectures.
I don't know if Harvard is such a place, but if it is, that's a great asset for them.
It's true but not true in a way that invalidates the arguments that college will become less important/desired. People spend 1-2 years trying to get into college programs and then 4 years of their life at college. Parents save for decades. Students go into debt for it. Governments give it priority in their budgets. The costs are huge.
The only reason so many people will put so much emphasis on anything is that it eventually impacts their socio-economic status. Some people take a year off to travel. This can be good for character development too. It costs far less in time and money. The reason its not an institution like college is because it doesn't directly impact socio-economic in the same way.
Especially with old, elite schools this is as much about impacting students' social identity & skills as it is about their intellectual and technical skills. Its often best to approach the socio-economic status thing from an angle. All these things can't be decoupled. If college stops becoming the path to getting high paying, high status jobs, it will not be worth the cost.
I think the erosion will start farther down the food chain than Harvard though.
Oh, definitely. The cost is a huge problem. I think elite universities realise this - financial aid is, at universities that can afford it, at record high levels. If you're going to MIT, the Ivy Leagues, etc you're probably not going to be breaking the bank to pay your fees (...and if you are, it's because you were rich enough to start with).
But for the majority of people who want to go to college and don't have access to generous financial aid then at some point the investment clearly outweighs the benefits. So like you say, it seems almost certain any impact is going to be felt at the bottom of the chain, not the top.
== we need a new/different test.
University was a proxy for 'merit', coming on the heels of the Enlightenment during the 18th and 19th centuries.
Yes, and, furthermore, its because of similar intangibles that companies like Goldman like to hire Ivy League graduates. The idea that Goldman hires Harvard MBAs because that's their best proxy for specific technical skills is, well, I guess it's kind of sweet in its naivete. The old boy network that the post mentions in passing isn't an accident, it's the point - a Harvard degree isn't a proxy for technical skills, its a proxy for a particular kind of person with a particular kind of outlook, and that's what gets people hired.
The great thing about Khan et al is that they have "disrupted" the lecture part of the equation. I would like to see this result in more emphasis on research for the professor and less on lecturing. This will also make class time more about rapport building with one's professor and fellow students.
Nevertheless, that is why people DO go to Harvard. For qualifications, connections, and the boost to their reputation. $250,000 (assuming you graduate in 4 years) is an awfully expensive way to become a better person if that is your sole goal.
Even for a family making $100,000/year, Harvard's net price is roughly half that of public school ($12,600 compared to $25,000). At US median wage ($50,000) Harvard is free to parents and $4,600/year to students, which is a reasonable expectation for summer and term-time work.
No one (in the US) pays full price at a high-end Ivy unless their parents can afford it. You can only rack up huge amounts of debt at state schools and less prestigious (and therefore poorly endowed) private schools.
A couple thoughts on this:
- Harvard is the last to worry about on-line disruption. Every other school will be disrupted before then. People will want to send their kids there purely for the elite association. Boston University, Boston College, Brandeis and Tufts will all suffer immense disruption before Harvard feels it.
- Despite this, Harvard does offer on-line degrees.
- Even still, the worth of graduate degrees seem to be going down. To cite his example, Goldman Sachs seems happier to keep around analysts with 2-3 years experience, rather than hire new MBAs. It's not getting rid of the MBAs, but they're devaluing the degree relative to 2-3 years of relevant experience.
Put both words together and you have something worth letting out a nice big SIGH for.
When "elite" businesses like Goldman Sachs filter for these signals they are playing a very safe game and it works for them.
They might be able to afford overlooking other candidates. Other businesses often certainly can't.
I also have to question if this costly signalling game is beneficial for the society both in human and economic terms.
From the major online course providers I haven't seen a lot of effort disrupting the game.
I don't think there is any question. The "elite" university phenomenon is about class, not academics.
As most commonly defined (though there are exceptions, as in the UN geoscheme), Central America is North America south of Mexico, but that's not the only definition around.
In any case I would expect the cost to be similar to the estimate given for Central America, but that oversight should probably be reported to the calculator's developers.
Spoiler: I'm kidding.
http://www.usnews.com/education/best-colleges/the-short-list...
Harvard students? Faculty? huh? Why would $32 Billion USD care about that?
Anyone else confused by this comparison in the opener?
The same with colleges: you could go to Harvard, Yale, Penn, MIT...one of dozens of highly respected colleges and have a fantastic time. Like Coke and Pepsi, it's much of a muchness. But the next tier down - the 'generic colas' of university education, if you will - that's a little different. Not bad, per se - just different.
This leaves out elements of human motivation like tribalism, pure status seeking, creative impulse, absurdism...there is a veritable smorgasbord of human attributes that defy quantification.
While I expect that online universities can make some forward progress since they're hungrier, I don't think they'll be able to quantify outcomes well enough to overcome the brand power of the big educational institutions in the eyes of a skeptical market.
Why? I'd agree it would be difficult, but "impossible?" For instance, I could imagine creating tests to measure a student's competencies in things such as engineering, programming, or foreign languages pretty easily. Then once you measure a student's competence at the beginning and ending of a curriculum, you have your measurement of the educational product. Not that standardized testing is the answer, or easy for any subject... but it's an example.
>teachers keep going back to the same methods that have always been used.
Maybe if they either don't care or if they don't see a reason to change. I'm helping teach a course starting next month, "Technical English" (for non-native speakers), and am always looking for ways to improve on what I did last year. In fact, if anyone out there would like to talk to my class about your job over skype one day, I will integrate that into my curriculum right now. (You could add "guest lecturer" to your resume as a possible incentive).
They are deployed in some schools , and they show a big improvement for student results.
So i'm not so sure measuring is "functionally impossible"