Are STEM Workers Overpaid?
spectrum.ieee.org
spectrum.ieee.org
Perhaps, as STEM workers, we should suggest that executive salaries should look a lot more like non-executive salaries?
>> And those [immigrant] workers would compete with high-income people, driving more income equality.
Really, Greenspan? You're going to paint STEM workers the posterboys for income inequality? Not your banking brethren making 5X, 10X, 50X the average STEM salary? It's a cheap, transparent ploy by those at the top to increase corporate profits at the expense of the workers and the middle class.
Compensation is based on supply (which itself is based on many factors, including education and demographics), demand (number of businesses in a market, demand for the products created by those businesses), and risk. Assuming no government meddling, an efficient market will properly price workers wages.
What Greenspan is suggesting makes sense from a macro perspective, but of course on a personal, human level, isn't ideal for many people.
I can't believe anybody can say that with a straight face, not after the bailouts.
Real capitalism would have been letting them fail, but I don't know if Americans would have the stomach for what would have happened afterward...
It's known that students find STEM harder in school and STEM jobs are widely considered more difficult than other jobs, thus earning their wage difference. Like it's been said by others, this will result in less STEM degrees domestically, the exact opposite of how this problem should be solved.
STEM workers create assets from nothing – the best STEM workers create billion dollar (or more) industries from nothing. Bankers just move existing assets around – they're fat that needs to be trimmed.
Saying bankers represent investment isn't exactly non-controversial.[0] Perhaps that's exactly what you're saying?
[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_aftermath_of_the_repeal_of...
Then a crisis happened, where a lot of banker's decisions turned out wrong due to factors that cannot reasonably be said to be the fault of those bankers. A lot of people, who were told beforehand that their money was indeed at risk in trade for that "interest" demanded the government step in and guarantee the deposits (which the government didn't do for them, but implemented for all savings from then on).
This meant that anytime a sizable bank would topple, it would cost the government massive amounts of money, which meant the government became complicit, by necessity more than by bribes, in making banks grow and bailing them out if "risk" strikes.
Which is what you're complaining about.
BTW: the "risking your own capital" demand also meant that only the wealthiest of people and their immediate families could reasonably get jobs at banks, for obvious reasons. And I'm certainly not unhappy that particular tidbit ended.
And I'm positive that today, a vote would turn out the same.
So this whole too much risk followed by bailouts process is exactly what the average voter wants (in the sense that it's what he'll vote for). Sure they'll complain about the bailouts but faced with the prospect of losing their savings (as they will naturally be when a bailout is proposed) ...
There are plenty of other industries too where owning something needs a massive amount of capital, and risks large amounts of capital - factories, airlines, even farms - and yet people get jobs all the time.
The assumption is unnecessary, since an "efficient market" by definition includes no government intervention other than that which increases efficiency (e.g., by effectively internalizing externalities.)
TL;DR Income equality is being redefined as cost cutting through wage suppression. W. T. F.
If you want to define income inequality as the "problem" of different skills demanding different wage premiums based on demand, then sure... If you want to define it, as it has been in almost every report I've seen on the matter, as the widening gap between the rich and everyone else, then that doesn't help at all, it just exacerbates the problem.
STEM work is still a quick, mostly egalitarian way to allow movement from the lower to middle classes. Defining middle to upper-middle class as high-income earners might technically be accurate, especially with a shrinking middle class, but then making decisions based on them being "high-income" when it's so relatively different than it was in the past seems the exact wrong way to go about things.
I believe in the global economy, but I also believe that local markets have their demands and wages should be commensurate. If I were to live in San Francisco working as a full stack developer, I should expect one wage. If I was in Berlin, Stockholm, Singapore, etc. I would expect something commensurate that maintained the similar lifestyle in the community I work.
There are cultural/societal tradeoffs, but personally, I am pretty tired of the "US IT wages are too high, let's open the borders" argument. The opposite side of that argument -- corporate america promised X, but failed to deliver for aged populations, oh well...just moves along doing it's thing.
Between my age and that of my parents, there was a shift of "spend your life working for a company, you would get training to your potential, and your efforts would be reciprocated"; to today it is "fend for yourself, the contract you enter in is at will on both sides with no guarantees" with the caveat of "hopefully we are both striving for the same thing for an acceptable duration".
If it weren't for this so-called "greed" there wouldn't have been a middle class at all. And now that unions are shrinking to almost irrelevance, the middle class is vanishing.
The old attitude of companies holding onto workers was created by unions making demands. Now that unions are few, and in many sectors, were never present, the "fend for yourself" at-will contract is the standard.
The unions made those "good old days". The labor strife of the 20s and 30s set the conditions for the middle class of the 50s and 60s.
The unions helped build the middle class in this country. The apprentice/journeyman/master levels within the trades is a great measure of skill and advancement, but regardless of trade (metal working, teaching, programming, etc) your tenure should be one component of your measure, but not the sole measure. Do you continue to learn? Do you teach? Are you advancing the best interests of the group? There is more than "oh, I've been here longer than you".
This is what I mean when I talk greed and seniority.
Yes, unions have faced an offensive, but their insular nature has also harmed them just as much as the outside offensives.
Yeah, until they had to start paying off the rest of their obligations, namely pensions.
This particular trait was often coupled with many municipalities, including most of the state of California, agreeing to pension obligations that made little sense during fat times and were worse when things started tanking.
On a developer salary, you cannot get a decent apartment in the middle of the popular neighborhoods in Frankfurt. Berlin is no different, nor is any other place in Europe I know of. In Frankfurt, it is true that a developer salary is comparable to what a factory worker makes. It is higher, but we're talking 20-30% higher, maybe 50% at the end of your career, no more. Something that irritated me to no end in Europe is that decision power and salary are determined mainly by seniority, number of years worked at the company, not ability and certainly not knowledge.
Stockholm Helsinki London
Yes, I was extrapolating to Berlin. I lived in Frankfurt for awhile with my then girlfriend (now wife) and though she wasn't an engineer (she was a project manager in tech -- an individual contributor, nothing special), the money she brought home allowed her to afford an apartment, travel, and quality of life actually better in some ways (equal in others) than the same position here in the Bay Area would have allowed for.
The reason I mentioned Berlin, it is held up as a startup hotbed with low costs and a dynamic city life. From the couple of times I've visited, it was certainly cheaper than Munich, London, and Stockholm for food/lodging/etc.
My girlfriend worked for a hedge fund, where her co-workers and bosses received bonuses that were multiples of my annual salary. I had a few friends who landed law jobs with lockstep compensation, where, within just a few years, they'd be make more than I could ever hope to make at my research lab. Another friend, an english major from a second-rate college, was hired to manage a team of programmers. She had no STEM skills but great people skills, and was eventually chosen to head up a new west coast division. She's compensated extremely, extremely well. We'd occasionally travel down to DC, where there are many, many people feeding off of government excess who make far more than STEM careers pay.
That's what they don't tell you when picking a college career. You'll get paid relatively nicely out of college, sure, but you'd better not expect to make much more than that if you want to be a "STEM worker" no matter how hard you work or how good you are. The glass ceiling is very low compared to many other careers.
Not only that, a $100,000 salary was, not very long ago, the key to a comfortable upper middle class life. The cost of living, housing, everything has gone up so fast in proportion to income that it just doesn't feel that way anymore. I cannot provide my family with the material comforts my parents enjoyed and provided me (and neither worked in STEM... or had college degrees!).
Yes, there are exceptions at the moment if you're considered a "rockstar programmer". Still, that (and programming in general) represents a tiny slice of the overall STEM pie.
It is nice that you can fairly easily make $85k or higher in some regions as an entry level developer, but it sucks that outside of a few exceptions that prove the rule you're unlikely to ever make more than about $150,000 (and I'm talking Bay Area, CA dollars here) without moving into a pure manager role or playing the lottery ticket of starting your own company.
Granted, $150,000 is a lot of money relative to the average income globally, even when you factor in cost of living adjustments, but to have bankers(!) and politicians(!) saying it is too much is a fucking slap in the face.
SHORTAGE: Below market rent-controls. If more people want housing than there are apartments, and the price can't adjust, that's a shortage.
SHORTAGE: An oil supply shock as in the 1970s, and gas stations choose to ration fuel rather than profiteering by jacking up prices. More people want gas at that price point than there is gas. That's a shortage.
NOT A SHORTAGE: The lack of first-class flights from London to Chicago for $1,000. That ain't a shortage, it's a market-clearing price I don't want to pay.
I like the BCG quote: "Trying to hire high-skilled workers at rock-bottom rates is not a skills gap."
In Germany this is called "Fachkräftemangel", which translates to "Shortage of Specialists". But it can also translate to "Mangle for Specialists".
1) An exodus of developers. Devs will be likely be leaving either as the result of fat getting trimmed or by transitioning into management and analysis roles that offer better career prospects.
2) Less "young blood". A big reason why everyone is pumped these days to learn to code is due to the career opportunities it provides: the great salary, the job perks, and working for companies that are perceived cool. Most aren't looking to become entrepreneurs. If software shops lose their charm and gains a reputation for long hours with mediocre pay, people will seek opportunity elsewhere.
I saw the same thing happen in the early '00s after the dotcom crash and the outsourcing craze. Startups became a punchline instead of an aspiration and everyone thought most of the world's code would be written in Bangalore. CS enrollment tanked. People lost their appetite for learning programming. But by '05 we were back into a "shortage" again after believing the first-world programmer had gone extinct.
But I'm not surprised business and political leaders think STEM workers are overpaid. The general attitude is that exceptional salaries should only be doled out to exceptional individuals - if you're just a mere mortal that's in demand, well, that's clearly just an inefficiency in the market.
Anyone who knows anything about the H1B rules knows it's all a bunch of hogwash that there is a "skills gap". The corporations simply want higher profits. It's just simply a known fact. Better profits for the promise of a green card.
Let's see the companies prove that there truly is a skills gap. Instead of paying the 'prevailing wage', H1B workers should get the _top_ pay for non H1B engineers in the company + 20% or at that the 90% mark of engineers + 20%, which ever one is greater. Then I say, please open up as many H1Bs as possible. I'll tell you one thing, H1Bs applied for will go towards near zero...
WordPress alone probably killed a good portion of formerly gigantic market of HTML programmer, CMS companies and consulting companies installing and configuring the CMSes. Potential income from building simple HTML Web sites nowadays is roughly zero, so people with those skills don't stay in the industry (and get counted in surveys) - they either upgrade their skills or move into other careers.
I feel like this is a few steps away from some sort of revolutionary political speech. Did Greenspan really say that shit while representing the country I'm supposed to love?
Are bankers, lawyers, and doctors overpaid?
Well, it depends on what you want to pay people for -- what if we argued for the value they added to society on average? What about the banking industry during the financial crisis? What about the price of lawyers in California staying stable even though the supply has increased multi-fold in the past few decades? What about the people who design, validate, and erect the buildings in which these guys work? The people who created the private jets in which the questionably wealthy have always flown? The internet through which information became significantly more accessible (aka affordable)?
The people who truly enable the good parts of modern life? I know where my vote is going.
The backwater pre-industrial, post-war torn nation that beat the US to space? No, I don't think that was why they couldn't compete.
As far as I recall, pay is a pretty poor motivator -- while low pay is a pretty strong "de-motivator". So if you give people interesting challenges and make sure they can meet their basic needs, people are likely to preform.
But, even if competing for exceptional wages was a great motivator, no-one is saying that you couldn't do that in such a system -- you might have to limit it to fewer "exceptional" people, and there might be a higher risk of being demoted -- but I can't see why it wouldn't be possible. I don't think it would be a good idea, however.
All that aside, a household income of 80.000 USD sounds pretty good for most of the US (never mind 120.000) ?
Pretty amazing what you can do when you're willing to spend your country into insolvency and collapse.
So if you give people interesting challenges and make sure they can meet their basic needs, people are likely to preform.
It's not like 50% of workers in the USSR admitted to drinking on the job, or 40% held second jobs to make more money, right? I guess if you're not motivated by a strong aense of community and bullshit pay, the gulags and purges might help.
Generally though, yes, I'd assume most people would end up working ~20 hours a week. I'd assume most employers would prefer this, and would also optimize the use of their employees' time.
I think your understanding of Soviet economic policy is probably a bit naive, but for a high level overview of my philosophy, I'd recommend Russell's In Praise of Idleness[1].
[0] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_GDP_(nomi...
I am absolutely not advocating for a minimum wage higher than the median wage. There is no universal law that 40 hours a week is productive. Given an average 20 hour work week, there are still trillions of dollars available to those who want to work harder or smarter. There is still plenty of room for winners and losers.
At what cost? How many Ukrainians did they starve to death in the process, how many "political opponents" were purged, how many people died in the gulags because they didn't tow the line?
Unfortunately, what you want has been tried, and it didn't work very well. What you'll end up with is many people not working at all because its not worth paying them, and a bunch of others forced to work at gunpoint to make up for the people that can't produce. It's pretty shitty to be in either group.
http://moneymorning.com/2013/04/19/ceo-pay-now-7000-an-hour-...
"STEM workers" can be the base of the new "over-middle" class - educated, well-off and with good social mobility plus political mobility and geographical mobility (this is fucking dangerous for governments and elites!).
You wouldn't want the class underneath you to have "well rested minds" and time to think about the world and their proper place in it (at the very top that is, because same as in old military societies warriors were the "natural rulers", in the new info-tech society techies will be the new "natural rulers"). Let's overwork them and stress them with unemployment so they don't get any funny ideas in their heads...
Though to be honest, all this sounds good for us STEM workers outside US in lots of indirect ways... I'll bet US will have a nice civil war / revolution soon, and more immigrants moving in any directions will only mean that the enlightening ideas from such a conflict will be easily exported worldwide.
I feel like many times the argument is that preventing high-skilled workers from staying in the US will help US citizens. This assumes that there's a fixed pie of jobs and that basically bringing talent from outside will burden the US economy. I definitely don't think that's true.
It also assumes that top tech companies have no option but to hire people in the US. I have many friends who had trouble with getting a visa and instead went to work in Canada for Google. This basically means the US lost one job, plus the taxes and economic stimulus that a high paid worker would bring in.
Why do these 100 executives who wrote an open letter to Obama care so much? Obviously they don't want to pay the prices they're paying, but would they be campaigning so hard if the work wasn't important? Ok, so the work is important; they also can't just hire someone off the street, because the skill requirement is high. Sounds like a normal market to me - your demand is high relative to the supply, so the cost rises.
Again, being in this field, I'm wildly partial...but I have very little sympathy for an executive who wants to pay below-market rate for business-critical work. Why not cut your own salary if you are so concerned with profitability? OH, that's different; you _deserve_ it.
'cause they do.
Look around, everything is driven by computers now. EVERTHING. Even bloody banks. And we are still not sure are we underpaid or not. En masse IT person is shy, ready to accept lower pay, and easy to accept more hours.
The simple fact is the MBA dude hates you.
Most tech companies understand that the best engineers are 10x better than the average, but you rarely have to pay them 10x the salary. Most are happy to pay the higher wages if it means they are winning the 10x guys.
If the argument is all about the average -> poor engineer, I don't know that I entirely disagree
Either get lean, or seize the means of production.
Which, mirabile dictu, is yourself.
Either there is a shortage, in which case STEM workers' salaries need to go up to attract more people into the field, or STEM workers are overpaid, which can happen if and only if there is an oversupply.
It can't work both ways. You can't have a shortage of overpaid, useless employees.
Unless, of course, you're a capitalist begging the government to let you manipulate the labor market to deliberately suppress wages below the natural market-clearing level set by supply and demand.
Capital, capital uber alles! Fuck the markets and fuck the workers! /s