I am not sure how to tell if it targeting the site. I will look into creating another captcha to see if that will help
Of course, this is not a long term perfect solution against motivated adversaries, but it's a way to see how the current spammers work.
Another: Add a keydown handler to your message-textarea and log (to a hidden form field) how many key presses are being used per post. If the spam software is setting the content field programmatically, you then know how to detect them.