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I see you edited to link to Asymco.

His estimate puts it at 57% to 43%, but with the same trend. Could easily crossover by his method this quarter too, may have already happened.

It really all hinges on what kind of jump 10 days of sales of the new devices (in limited countries) can achieve.

That chart puts Apple's profit share at above 60%. So you are flat out wrong.

The AMP is an average of several metrics including units shipped, both smart and non-smart, and revenue where we know Samsung surpasses apple.

You realise all these estimates are for two months ago, right? What's happened in the last 8 weeks to change this trend?

edit: look at the dots, the line is a trailing average over the last 12 months.

What's changed is Samsung not doing as well as their PR would have you believe: