WikiLeaks candidate quits upcoming Australian elections
abc.net.au
abc.net.au
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Instant-runoff_voting
'white-anted' refers to erosion from within, as by termites.
As for the particular events of the story, I am somewhat surprised (eg by the idea of giving preference to right-wing candidates), but also not. Assange's comment that Wikileaks is a party of accountability and not government sounds to me like a desire for power (as a kingmaker) without responsibility. The coalition structures that often emerge in proportional representation systems lend themselves to this sort of politicking.
Compare that to the first-past-the-post systems of the UK and US, where there are essentially no minor parties with any hope of having a say.
Also known as the 'choose between two dictators every couple of years' style of democracy.
That's not even taking into account the influence tiny parties can have merely by virtue of having a seat at the table and engaging in the discussions.
[1] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Party_for_Freedom [2] http://www.powned.tv/nieuws/politiek/2013/08/peiling_coaliti...
Obviously, the mechanics are different (and, IMO, more colourful) in a multi-party system, but at the end of the day, Wilders can only decide to support Rutte as PM or, after applying the full might of his party, not supporting Rutte, who, never the less, remains PM.
They are probably an important factor in shaping public debate, and thus, shaping general policy, but you don't need to be a member of parliament to do that and plenty of non-MPs in FPTP and PR systems alike do just that.
In general, simplifying the situation, PR-systems simply give the population more degrees of freedom in steering the government.
Even though it's still just a handful of options over a single binary choice I'd argue that this difference is not inconsequential.
My usual argument against FPTP is that it's much harder for the population to challenge the two dominant parties in case they choose to collude (or more precisely: impossible to challenge the degree to which they collude) which seems to be the failure mode the US democracy is currently experiencing.
But instead of arguing over the Tea Party: How has Wilders caused the dominant parties in the Netherlands to collude less than the ruling parties in the US and the UK?
Basically, my thesis is that parties are mostly irrelevant. If there are important wishes in the population at large (ie. showing up significantly in polls), those will mostly be accommodated, not because of ideology, but because of self-preservation. For the 99% of stuff that we don't hear and care about in our day-to-day lives, the bureaucracy is in charge in all important aspects, and the iron law of bureaucracy[1] applies supreme.
It is a dangerous distraction that changing the voting system actually changes anything that matters.
1: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jerry_Pournelle#Iron_Law_of_Bur...
As for Wilders, you could say that the dominant parties were all colluding on treating low-wage earning immigrants the same as low-wage earning Dutchmen. As painful as it is, Wilders did result in changing that.
As for the dangerous distraction, that could well be true.
I like IRV in that it gives voters a greater say over who finally gets elected (though it can often lead to the surprise selection of the least unpopular candidate, to the consternation of the electorate - see Oakland, CA) but I am no convinced it makes politics and governance better automatically.
[1] http://www.wikileaksparty.org.au/the-wikileaks-party-announc...
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Proportional_representation
Instant run-off is used for the house of representatives.
Not only did they screw up majorly by preferencing hard-right parties ahead of the progressive Greens. But they betrayed Scott Ludlam in WA who was one of the only people to stand up for Assange.
http://www.crikey.com.au/2013/08/19/wikileaks-partys-adminis...
>He really ought not to have set up a party with internal democracy.
[0] http://danielmathews.info/blog/2013/08/statement-of-resignat...
EDIT:
Excerpt from Wikileaks party response
https://www.wikileaksparty.org.au/the-wikileaks-party-announ...
>If we are unsuccessful in having the AEC adjust the submitted preference nominations to meet the National Council’s directives, we will release a “how to vote below the line” card so all supporters and voters can follow our true preference nominations, or select their own, so any remaining errors on our GVTs will not be passed on to our voters.
If I'm understanding this right, the Australians have the privilege of instant run-off preferential voting, and still prefer to just vote party line? Could an Aussie please explain this phenomenon to me? Coming from the states, I'd be frothing at the mouth to have anything other than our absurd closed (depending on state) primary single-vote elections.
OK, so there's two elections going on simulateously - one for the House of Representatives and one for the Senate. Just as in the US, each electoral district (there are 150) elects a single member to the HoR, whereas each state elects multiple members to the Senate. In the case of the Senate though, each state is treated as one giant electoral district with proportional representation.
Both the HoR and Senate elections use single-transferable-vote ("instant runoff"), but this obviously plays out very differently in single-member electoral districts versus multi-member proportional districts.
HoR ballots tend to have a reasonably small number of candidates - between 3 and about 15, but usually somewhere nearer to 6. On these ballots, a full preferential ballot is the only option - you must number all candidates in order for your vote to count.
Senate ballots, however, are ballooning somewhat out-of-control. At the upcoming election, the Senate ballot paper in NSW will have 110 candidates. Requiring voters to number all of these squares for their vote to count was causing the informal ballot count to increase substantially, so in the 1980s "above the line" voting was introduced. Under above-the-line voting, you can simply indicate a vote for your preferred party ticket, and your full preferences will be allocated according to the ticket that the party submitted to the electoral commission prior to voting. These preference tickets are publically available, and the current controversy surrounds the party tickets lodged by Wikileaks in some states. "Below the line" voting is still available as an option (and obviously one I personally will be taking up).
There is growing recognition of the perverse results that "above the line" voting can cause, and of course 1-metre-wide ballot papers with over 100 candidates listed are absurd. There is some talk of allowing "optional preferential voting" above the line, so that you can just number the party tickets in your preferred order, rather than having to either number every single candidate individually, or accept your preferred party's direction of preferences in its entireity.
EDIT: Many thanks to coffeecheque, Volpe, BlackAura, and any others that help to explain all of the news I've been reading recently :)
In the Senate, parties lodge Group Voting Tickets (GVTs) with the Australian Electoral Commission. If you vote "above-the-line" (say for the Liberal Party) the GVTs dictate where the preferences should flow.
The AEC did have PDFs of the GVTs, but I can't find them now. The ABC has published them here (in an easier to follow format): http://www.abc.net.au/news/federal-election-2013/guide/gtv/
The reason why the candidate quit was in part because of the NSW Wikileaks preference deal: http://www.abc.net.au/news/federal-election-2013/guide/gtv/n...
You can see at spot 36 and 37 the preference going to Australia First. Its chairman is a former neo-nazi, convicted in the 1980s of organising a gun attack on someone from the African National Congress. The first Greens candidate is down in the 50s.
As for why we have to number all the boxes, I'm not entirely sure. It probably didn't matter so much back where there were only a handful of candidates. It doesn't work so well when there's more than 100.
Senate Preferences for Party A:
1 - PARTY A - John
2 - PARTY A - Jane
3 - PARTY A - Mike
4 - PARTY A - Jennifer
5 - PARTY B - Napoleon
6 - PARTY B - Elizabeth
7 - PARTY B - Bob
7 - PARTY C - Austin
8 - PARTY C - Emily
9 - PARTY B - Patrick <- (For whatever reason, Party A just really doesn't like Patrick at all)
10 - PARTY D - NeoNazi <- (Crazies at the bottom)
And so on and so forth for 100+ candidates. The abc.net.au preference listings seem to show this sort of line up. (And there seem to be a ton of parties: Stop CSG Party, Australian Sex Party, Help End Marijuana Prohibition, Smokers Rights Party, Stable Population Party)
I can certainly see how administrative error could creep in here --and sabotage as well. I still find myself preferring an election system like this however even with the bloat :)
Though you have obviously worked out ways to game the system. It's happening more and more.
For example, in Victoria, a group of five libertarian aligned micro-group parties (headed up by the Liberal Democrats) didn't lodge their GVT, meaning you now can't vote for them above the line.
As most (95%) of people vote above, that's wiped them out in Victoria.
But here's the realpolitik: they had organized a straight preference swap deal nationally with the Australian Sex Party, which had a chance of making quota (aka winning a spot) with the help of the preferences in Victoria. It's less likely now in that state.
But the Sex Party has lodged its preferences in Victoria and other states with flows to the Lib-Dems. It means the Lib-Dems can avoid helping the Sex Party win a Victorian spot (and possibly balance of power in the Senate) but maybe win its own spot in other states (and also, balance of power).
It is complicated and strategy matters big time.
Well, actually, the Sex party also had preferences nationally with the Liberal Democrats (whether the Lib-Dems were above or below the Libertarian bloc in those preferences is irrelevant, as we'll soon see). And it just so happens that the Libertarian bloc --that the Sex party is counting on to get their seat in Victoria-- had substantial backing from the Lib-Dems. By hook or by crook (hint: crook), the Lib-Dems utilize their influence over that libertarian bloc and stop the GVT from getting lodged. Now they get to keep the Sex party's preferences flowing to them, while not having to worry about the Sex party actually gaining a seat at all! Even the threat of the remaining libertarian preferences to them in other states is minimal; they've likely got better backing from other parties anyway.
As things are, you always have to choose between the two right wing parties that dominate the system, even if you put them at last choice and second last. So you vote from 1 according to your preferences, give the big numbers to your least preferred, and /then/ blindly count between them.
With optional preferential voting, people who don't want either of the big two could avoid choosing between them. This doesn't happen because (what they taught us at school) there might be a tie, or you could get elected with a small number of votes, but really because (what they didn't teach us at school) the big two and their symbiotes know that it would encourage a civilised multi-party democracy in which coalitions could be negotiated and altruism might sneak in. The big two would rather take turns at being Her Majesty's Loyal Opposition than see green, liberal or socialist options get a voice. They hate it when small parties get enough power to hold them accountable, or have legislation discussed before it is passed.
First-past-the-post is bad for minor parties, and would cement the two-party system. At the last election, the Greens only won the seat of Melbourne by using Liberal voter preferences to overtake the ALP candidate, and similarly Andrew Wilkie relied on the preferences of Liberal, Green and Socialist party voters to eventually win from third position. Under OPV, it is highly likely that both of those seats would have gone to the ALP.
OPV might be defensible on the grounds of reducing informality, but it would push our system closer towards FPTP and be bad for minor parties.
http://www.abc.net.au/news/federal-election-2013/guide/gtv/
Only the summaries get reported, for obvious reasons.
They preference all 100+ rankings, but do it by groups (generally). i.e. Party A will preference Party B candidates, then Party C. Though some smaller parties do very individual preferences.
We have two separate elections - one for the house of representatives, and one for the senate. In both cases, we do preferential voting.
For the house of representatives, you have maybe five or six parties running in your electorate, each with one candidate. Filling out preferences for this is feisable, and plenty of people do. It takes about ten seconds.
For the senate... not so much.
This year, the senate election in New South Wales has 110 candidates. You can either provide a single vote for one party (your preferences will be distributed according to whatever deals that part has made), or you can individually rank all 110 senate candidates. The ballot paper is a meter wide. Oh, and the desks you use are typically wide enough to fit an A4 sheet of paper.
Nobody bothers. It's just way too much hassle.
As far as the Australian preference system goes, you have a choice when voting in the lower house: You can pick one box above the line, in which case your preferences will get distributed by the party that you voted for, or you can vote "below the line", in which case you get to vote however you like.
It seems odd to me too - I put it down to Australian laziness, ie. why number 60-odd boxes when you could back to the BBQ sucking back a few cold ones? :)
Actually it's going to be an uphill battle for them in the senate. It is pretty hard to take outright control of the senate, especially with the good showing by Labor/Greens last election (since only half of the senate is up for reelection).
I don't follow the actual makeup too much but labor have 31, the coalition 34 and the crossbench 11 with momentum swinging away from labor (and greens?) it seems like it's an uphill battle for labor to hold on to the current numbers.