Hyperloop Alpha [pdf]
spacex.com
spacex.com
I'm not saying that Hyperloop is an inherently flawed project or that HSR is the perfect solution to the state's long-haul transportation needs. I just think that Musk is oversimplifying the situation.
Yes. After all, the project whitepaper has the word "alpha" in the title, and the authors specifically say they are open to constructive feedback. Have you thought about emailing them about your concerns? I think they are valid.
I'm not an urban planner but it seems to me that accommodating one station in each city's boondocks might actually be easier than accommodating transit to several stations in the most central areas. San Leandro has a lot more room to build than SF and a lot of people will be coming to the SF HSR station if it's built there (even with a San Jose station).
Well, ok, and the nicer road surfaces.
Having said that, the map actually looks like it terminates at the northern tip of the valley, where there are current no mass transit rail lines, so you'd be looking at buses or cars from there.
Understandable as land acquisition costs skyrocket once it hits the valley. Still, it's a little misleading cost-wise for that reason.
Unfortunately, It's not going to get any cheaper, and only becomes more difficult as the state becomes more crowded. If "Governor Moon Beam" had build his trains in the 1970's like he tried, we'd now be planning for a 300mph maglev by 2030, just like Japan.
They did this a lot in Japan as well for the Shinkansen. There are a lot of Shin<City-Name> stations built expressly for the Shinkansen because the city center was too crowded. Once the train line is in, a new city blossoms up in the activity around the station.
It's just fascinating to me that the most expensive thing (in aggregate) is also the "dumbest" part.
For scale, you know those 4' by 4' by 8' blocks of cement you see all over the place, used for erosion control and the like? They're called ecology blocks, they're about $20 each FOB the cement plant. You want them shipped? A lowboy can carry two or four at a time without exceeding load limits. When I looked into buying a couple hundred, having them shipped about sixteen miles, it was going to cost hundreds per block to truck it out plus renting a crane to unload/place them.
Those are tiny blocks with almost no rebar, no engineering, no preload, nothing.
Again, dunno if it's feasible over long distance, but it's certainly done. (Though Texas has a certain affinity to overpasses that borders on the pathological, fun as they are to bike over...)
a 4' x 4' x 8' ecology block is about five yards. So let's picture the pylon having a 4' x 4' base that sits on granite, requiring no foundation. The pylon is going to max out at 16 or 32 feet tall if we're required to stay within the load limits.
furthermore, when you see those ribs moving around, they're moving around on interstates or state roads of solid construction. If there was an interstate running directly from San Francisco to Los Angeles along this route, we wouldn't be having the discussion. Building such a road to deliver precast sections is quite the endeavor.
I stand by my original claim that these would need to be cast-in-place.
That's just brilliant. (for the rest of the world 1,201,202.4m is 3.5m^3 and density of concrete is around 2400 kg/m^3)
Umm, that's kind of the point. It's called I-5.
It's easy to say that something will cost (eg.) $1bn if it's built in 2 years, but when most of that is labour and bureaucracy starts getting involved, the labour gets put on hold for a year or two whilst still getting paid. Suddenly the overall cost of the project has tripled without anything actually changing, except some bureaucrat sticking their oar in.
Maybe I'm just cynical, but the labour costs seem to be one of the least well defined aspects of this proposal. It's easy enough to make it look cost effective compared to existing rail projects when you don't factor that in.
Afterall do you really think that the HSV with two steel rails is costing $80bn+ because of the price of the components? Although I don't really know the specifics, I find it hard to believe that the rights of way cost that much either. It's usually down to contracting an entire company worth of engineers for 10-20 years that ramps up the costs.
Update (since I've been downvoted):
All these buses analogy isn't exactly the same case because they still have the option to stop somewhere, which give the passengers the assurance that if they really can't hold it's not the end of the world. Taking that into consideration, I think it could solve most people's bathroom concern by adding bathroom stops to the loop, in the case of semi-emergency, ideally a pod should be able to make a stop upon request within 5-10 minutes without disrupting other pods. Some financial incentive might be needed for encouraging people to hold longer but I do see legal risks in that approach.
We're largely (70%) talking about commuters here, they're taking this twice a day, most days out of the year. Again, I'm not sure why for 90%+ of people that this would be an issue.
EDIT: a clarification for non-New Yorkers -- people take these daily to get to work, if they work in Manhattan. The alternative is SI railroad-ferry-subway, which allows more bathroom safety but takes quite a bit longer.
However its not such a big flaw, specially to warrant 63billion to alleviate.
Of course on many/most planes "first class" does not get you isolation from children... (certainly not for that low a price) but at least you get unlimited liquor and legroom. I'd be willing to pay more for a flight without children but I would want some unlimited liquor once I go over 200 or so.
On this note, what would be the booze situation on hyperloops? There isn't an aisle on those things as far as I can tell, which means no stewardesses... Maybe per-seat minibars could be installed on them? Strictly speaking it wouldn't be necessary for 30 minute rides, but I see no reason this idea shouldn't be scaled up past 30 minute trips (Musk points out that supersonic airliners are better at longer distances, but since we don't have those either I'd settle for a 30+ minute hyperloop. Both a hyperloop and a return of Concord/Tu-144 would be great of course.)
What is your thesis here, I shouldn't be annoyed by children because one day I will be old? Not sure I understand that logic. "Being annoyed" isn't even a proper choice; if I could turn it off, I certainly would. In fact, I would say that the ability to turn if off for a few hours at a time is worth about $50-100 to me......
Your post was about as useful as telling someone in a wheelchair to see a doctor to get their legs fixed (hey, it may be an indication of a serious medical problem!)
There's no new problem here.
> "If not using the bathroom for an hour is an issue "
"An hour". It's right there in his post. I didn't say there was any new problem. I didn't say I objected in any way to the Hyperloop. I specifically addressed his post which said "an hour". OK?
Even on a commuter bus or plane, if someone has a medical emergency and needs to get off right now, the bus will pull over or the plane will land. In this design you'd have to just sit there, helpless, until the vehicle reaches its destination. Heck, even if you're a doctor in the next seat you wouldn't be able to get up and help your fellow passenger.
The problem with emergencies at major airports is that between EMTs and fire services inspecting the jet, that runway is out of service for at least 30 minutes.
On a normal flight a 737 flies an approach at under 180kts but the approach limit is a lot faster. In a cardiac arrest type situation, the pilot may decide to fly a faster approach into an airport with medical services available. They would still touch down at the normal speed.
Looking at California: http://bit.ly/1eFevxA And Japan: http://bit.ly/19ZXwbJ I don't see any roads in Japan that are nearly as straight as I-5.
The places where this would make sense have destinations fairly far apart, but not too far apart, with somewhat amenable landscape between them. The Midwest would work, Australia, Russia. Probably Brazil, Argentina? Probably a bunch of connections in Africa or maybe the Mideast... but that wouldn't work for other reasons. East coast seems a bit cramped.
It is around 900km though, almost a straight line along the Hume highway and the busiest city-pair in Australia by a long way.
Sydney<->Melbourne is the third busiest air route in the world with 8 million passengers in 2012[1]. I'm sure there's more than enough "potential" passengers.
[1] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World's_busiest_passenger_air_r...
Yes, 630+ km Hyperloop between Moscow and Saint-Petersburg would be a great project. Problems:
1. Winter. Would solar panels give enough energy during winter?
2. Highly-inflated cost due to corruption. I would speculate corruption is a big problem for California HSR too, given its cost.
3. "Russian Railways" company monopoly for all intercity railways in the country.
Because right now what people and the press are going to focus on is how small the cabins are, why there are no toilets, etc. On the other hand if you can imagine putting a car in there the claustrophobia argument disappears and you can think straight again...
If you want to take your car, drive it IMO. When you fly, there is no expectation of taking your car along with you and this should be similar - focus on what we will need rather than on what a minority could fancy.
What I tried to say was more about the psychological impact of imagining a car fit in the capsule, even if the same space is just taken by larger seats.
The intent of this document has been to create a new open source form of
transportation that could revolutionize travel. The authors welcome feedback
and will incorporate it into future revisions of the Hyperloop project,
following other open source models such as Linux.I'd say all these concerns warrant putting the damn thing underground.
It should be largely self-correcting.
So, the tube is lying loose on the pylons, and he assumes it will keep its shape while expanding.
I think that is highly optimistic for a tube that is a straight line, even more so for one that is curved.
If he manages to accomplish that, the end stations will move over 300 meters, in total. Hopefully, when the tube contracts again, the motion will be reversed perfectly. Otherwise, that end station in LA could slowly move north or south over the years.
Where are you getting this idea from? That seems like an insane implementation compared to using accordian-like flexible section[s].
I guess that's because accordion-like flexible sections and carriages moving at 1000 km/h on a tiny air cushion don't go well together, or because such sections, being a lot leakier then welds, would let too much air in.
Nowadays with welded rail, careful compliance with construction standards is required. Slow orders are issued during heat waves and frequent track inspections are conducted to look for potential or actual sun kinks.
A good summary of the issue can be found in the Heat Orders FAQ from Virginia Railway Express. [1]
[1] http://www.vre.org/feedback/frequently_asked_questions/faq_h...
Musk just posted a innovative, open-source, thorough, alpha design study which addresses a real problem.
Personally I think it's great, and I hope it gets taken seriously by the right people.
In other words, this has been proposed several times before. However, there are some key innovations here - namely the compressor/nozzle pair and the air suspension system - which may indeed change the game and make this viable.
I think our children might enjoy using it ;-)
When you get very low friction, high speed and no tracks, you're going to start having attitude problems without the right control surfaces available. Don't want to be spinning passengers around the roof of that tunnel!
High speed and low friction could mean a lot of potential lateral movement that needs to be controlled somehow. Maybe releasing some of the stored compressed gas in controlled bursts like used in various space endeavours. That would have the added benefit of off-loading some of the potentially dangerous steam.
In the absence of any controls, we would expect the train to climb the side of the tube on a corner, without ever reaching a "horizontal" orientation. When exiting a corner, perhaps there would be a pendulum situation, but I'm thinking that a train that wasn't round in cross-section would damp that pretty quickly. If not, the system generates compressed air. That can be released through nozzles that are oriented and controlled to dampen the rolling.
But you're right, of course. A bottom-heavy train is just a more effective pendulum.
EDIT: There's a bit of minimally technical details, but this is neither highly polished (public-perception-focused) nor highly technical (engineer-focused). Is it a good balance or would one of the extremes have been better?
"Risk of derailment is also not to be taken lightly, as demonstrated by several recent fatal train accidents."
The $1 billion budget for land and rights of way also seems wildly optimistic for razing a path through multiple heavily populated metropolitan areas with astronomical real estate prices. And let's not underestimate the tenacity and ingenuity of a determined opposition [6,7].
[1] The 3.2 mile, mostly elevated [1a] BART/OAK connector with dinky little cable cars will cost $361mm for the capital construction alone[1b].
[1a] http://bart.gov/docs/oac/OAC%20Project%20Alignment%20Map%20S...
[1b] (slide 36) http://bart.gov/docs/oac/Microsoft%20PowerPoint%20-%20OAC%20...
[2] http://www.nationalaffairs.com/doclib/20080528_197905505cost...
[3] http://www-pam.usc.edu/volume2/v2i1a3s2.html
[4] http://www.youtube.com/watch?feature=player_detailpage&v=DkZ...
[5] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Embarcadero_Freeway
[6] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Highway_revolts#California
[7] http://dc.streetsblog.org/2012/06/25/indianas-big-dig-raises... (this one is hilarious)
In 1905, they built 128 miles of railroad connecting the Florida keys. Since then, engineering has advanced significantly. Overland is still easier than overseas.
Also, travel time to the station has to be taken into account, even more so if we compare it to driving.
My initial thought was they would have switches on the track like a normal train and capsules would veer off. But I bet they would come to a stop on there own and then get lifted vertically off the train and into a decompression area where they'd cue up.
Yeah, that's a little bit more claustrophobic than your average underground train.
Remember there are two passenger compartment mockups, this is the smaller one we are referring to: http://i.space.com/images/i/000/031/716/i02/hyperloop-passen...
Unscientifically I'd bet less than 25% of people would be willing to ride in that for more than 10 minutes, much less 30-40.
I think this would be great for journeys of _under_ 30 minutes. And it wouldn't be for everyone, for sure -- so starting off as a niche transportation mode is not a great start.
On the other, more important hand, at firt view, this looks feasible to me (taking into account who published it)
I do wonder about the "little noise" claim, though. That fan a few meters in front of you that compresses air so that you can float on it will not be noise-free. I also think those tubes could start resonating at times.
Finally: only about a thousand passengers per hour or, alternatively, going at close to the speed of sound, on guaranteed collision course, with 30s intervals?
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See also: http://www.core77.com/blog/transportation/flotspotting_u_of_...
That truly is a toy for boys (as in "looks cool and dangerous") unlike the Hyperloop ("it may or may not be dangerous, but you can't see that, so who cares?")
Find a way to remove the cargo (trucks) from the commuter transportation system (roads & highways) and you'll improve the lives of many more people.
Moving cargo is a lot easier than moving people because it doesn't complain or need to go to the bathroom. It also won't be missed by most people if it's destroyed.
Legally, whoever tried this would be forced to give over the land for "fair market value", and if they were difficult about it they'd probably receive much less.
http://www.thecomicking.net/2012/06/25/the-core/
The (terrible) movie "The Core" has a vehicle -- the Virgil.
With that said, it's not hard in this case to C&P to something more suitable for GitHub and really get things kicked off, but LaTeX would be more suitable.
Again, we have open source tools that will generate, mangle, introspect, disassemble, etc. to both ELF and PE binaries.
What PDF is not is the "preferred format for development", no matter how good the open-source tooling is.
No one here is saying that an open-source project to assist with Hyperloop could not be launched. Nor that the ability to edit the whitepaper that was released has anything to do with this proposed open-source project. Nor even that people typically release whitepapers only in LaTeX format.
However if an open source project will be launched with Hyperloop then its success will be at least somewhat dependent on the ability of participants to meaningfully contribute.
If "contribute" just means discussing key points then a simple Wiki might suffice. However if "contribute" means technical designs, then the actual drawings and data will be what's needed, not glorified screenshots of AutoCAD and MATLAB.