Math and the City
judson.blogs.nytimes.com
judson.blogs.nytimes.com
Smeed's law is one my favorites. It accurately predicts the traffic fatality rate as a function of motor vehicle registrations per capita. It is accurate almost everywhere it has been tested, for over 50 years.
Smeed himself took his law as expressing a truth about group psychology: people would take advantage of improvements in automobiles or infrastructure to drive ever more recklessly in the interests of speed until deaths rose to a socially unacceptable level, at which point safety would become more important and recklessness less tolerated.