Is a Nest worth the money?
developdaly.com
developdaly.com
For each time period, take the difference from your desired temperature. If you have an acceptable range, take the difference from the near edge of that range.
e.g. with a desired range 65-75, a 40 degree day counts as negative 25 and a 90 degree day counts as positive 15.
Keep track separately of positive and negative.
Now you have a record of how much you needed to cool or heat. Local newspapers -- remember those? -- will usually keep track for you on their weather page.
That's a suitable basis for comparison. Not monthly average temperature, not average high, not average low.
Yahoo! has a great free weather API with historical data, as does NOAA.
Some providers are offering free nights, they have so much fluctuation in demand.
Having a fairly hot, but not record-setting day today (61,340 MW).
http://www.ercot.com/content/cdr/html/loadForecastVsActualCu...
http://www.ercot.com/content/cdr/html/real_time_system_condi...
Note: Our peak capacity is ~68,000 MW. There are some peaking-plants that may be brought online if we exceed that, or we'll begin having rolling-blackouts like last summer.
http://dsireusa.org/incentives/incentive.cfm?Incentive_Code=...
[1] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wind_generation_potential_in_th...
Now I'm wondering what I missed in Houston. I lived there for years, and graduated from high school there. But what do cowboys have to do with it? My experience of it was that it was just a modern American city like anywhere else, with a heavy focus on sprawling suburbs. I didn't feel there was a lot of uniquely "Texan" culture or anything. Life had little to do with cowboys; it revolved around living in suburban houses that cover literally hundreds of square miles (most of the city), and doing things like studying to get into good colleges and trying to get a decent job. Nobody I knew even spoke with a Texan accent, which was something more associated with West Texas or the Panhandle, places like San Angelo or Lubbock.
Now if you had said flying cockroaches, africanized ants, hurricane evacuations, and 6 months of the year where you can't reasonably go outside because it's >90 F and humid as hell, then yes, it's great if you can embrace that part of the lifestyle. ;-) I do like visiting nowadays, but only in December.
It does, however, have very good art museums specifically. And even more specifically, it has good art museums that are well-endowed enough to be cheap to visit. The Museum of Fine Arts Houston has one of the lowest entry fees of major metropolitan art museums, and the Menil Collection is completely free. Definitely a high-culture perk of the city.
Also, if you are willing to drive ~20-50 miles to visit something (and you had better be, if you are in Houston) there is NASA's Johnson Space Center, where you can see lots of rockets and rocket facilities; and Brazos Bend, where you can see lots of alligators.
I lived in Clear Lake when I was young, and I was fortunate enough to get to hang out at JSC, and get really good access to the place. My Little League coach was an Astronaut. I can barely stand to go there anymore. It kills me.
Alligators? Yeah, and mosquitoes. I've seen enough of both.
The Chicago Field Museum is a classic "natural science" museum: a very large, multistory lobby greets you, with a monumental dinosaur reconstruction. The building is also impressive, from some century-ago world's fair. The rest of the exhibits, on the other hand, range from good to being quite obviously 100 years old with no love given in the preceding century (sometimes this is nice and quaint, sometimes annoying). It feels more impressive to me than HMNS, but HMNS might have better exhibits. The latter certainly has a nice gem collection.
But if you want something more sciencey, the Museum of Science and Industry is really nice. There's an entire simulation of a coal mine you can go down into, exhibits on the history of trains, on urban history, and on the history of agriculture, and even a captured German U-505 submarine. It was definitely my favorite museum as a kid, and I didn't find much like it in Houston.
BTW, you left out flooding every other week or two, when we're not in a drought (and once a month when we are!). The running joke around here is that no one feels the heat of the summer for more than a few seconds, as that's how long it takes them to get from their house/office to their car.
To the original point of the post, we haven't been able to find any value in getting a Nest, outside of having a "fun toy." Considering that we are able to regularly negotiate 0.08-0.10/kWh rates for 100% renewable, our highest electricity bill out of the year tends to be in Aug/Sept at about $58 on average. That is for a 1400 sqft. 1940's bungalow that only has a radiant barrier in its efficiency profile, along with large oaks that cover the canopy of the house. Our elec management is a simple process: set the thermostat to 80 when we leave, and back to 77 when we return. It's three clicks of a button that we've ingrained into our daily routine.
The real big bill around here, which I'm sure other states can appreciate, is the water bill. Since the drought and the implementation of drainage fees, our water bill has shot up over 10x in the past three years. Not joking at all - we went from an average of $6/month to and average of $60/month in just three years, with our consumption remaining static. If only water consumption were able to be regulated more effectively, but in this environment, daily showers are a must =)
The dysfunction in government and the general unfriendliness to the upwardly mobile is appalling.
California neither benefits from the good Puritan economic sense seen in New England states nor the thrift of good-governance states like Montana.
Yes, Montana ! :
For six years it has been one of the only states in America with a budget surplus: this year it is a record $433 million, proportionally equivalent to a federal surplus of $858 billion. Thus we’ve been able to cut taxes, invest in education and infrastructure and keep essential services intact. We recently got our first bond rating upgrade in 26 years.
And we’re not simply riding the Western energy boom. The recession has driven unemployment to 7.5 percent, and while we’ve had a great run with oil, coal and gas, royalties from these commodities account for only 9 percent of our budget surplus.
How do we accomplish what most states and the federal government cannot? I like to say we run government like a ranch. In ranching — my old job — you either pinch pennies or go belly-up. We do the same in government. Perhaps Washington can try it.
For one thing, we challenge every expense. If it isn’t absolutely necessary, we eliminate it. When the recession came we found $80 million in savings, which helped us avert a budget crisis. Little things added up: we renegotiated state contracts, cut our energy consumption by 20 percent, auctioned off state vehicles and canceled building projects and computer upgrades.
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/08/19/opinion/cutting-costs-the-...
California is not just a weird cesspool of the quixotic and the inept.
It is quixotic and inept for solely the sake of being so.
(If you didn't notice, someone already down-voted your entry. I expect the same of mine.)
Another state with a hefty surplus? Why Texas of course. It went from budget shortfall to a surplus in a few years:
http://www.nytimes.com/2013/01/09/us/texas-budget-surplus-pr...
"A boom in revenues from sales taxes as well as taxes from oil and natural gas production have given Texas a budget surplus that the state comptroller has estimated at $8.8 billion."
And of course California is bleeding companies and jobs. No wonder its on the verge of bankruptcy:
http://www.kcra.com/news/Two-dozen-companies-commit-to-leavi...
"I tracked for 2011, that 254 companies of all sizes and shapes and kinds left the state for primarily other states,” said Vranich, the president of Spectrum Location Services in Irvine."
The reality is California doesn't really make an especially strong showing.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wind_power_in_the_United_States...
A nest could just as easily be mandated like all of the other energy codes we have in a regulated market.
Frankly, profiting off of something that society has an interest in NOT consuming (energy) is anti-thetical to conservation.
Give the consumer incentive to reduce energy usage and then allow them to decide how that's done. If gov't forces a specific thermostat, chances are the process will be corrupt and inefficient.
In a oil burning boiler property with 8 baseboard zones and 8 Nest units, it saved me a thousand dollars a month all winter. Paid for itself the first winter.
Previous thermostats were programmable "eco" models that I kept programmed and used away/vacation modes on.
Savings was from being able to see on/off cycles for all 8 zones to better balance them, so boiler was on less overall.
I've recommended them to others and use one in a loft as well. Every installation is saving at least 10%.
I'm in the market for 3 new thermostats and was hoping this article would help me with my decision. Presently, I'm leaning toward an Ecobees (https://www.ecobee.com/) thermostat which has a lot more features than the Nest and even has an API. It seems to be the Android of the thermostat world where Nest is the iPhone. Features vs polish.
I need to know everything about the conditions prior to installing a Nest. In particular, I need to know about the thermostat and, if programmable, how it was programmed. I also need to know about living patterns. Did anything change? Was the programmed temperature higher in the summer and lower in the winter with Nest or was it set to about the same conditions?
In terms of energy efficiency. How is the house insulated? Can you add insulation to the walls or attic? Are the windows double-insulated? Do you use a whole house fan in the summer to cool the house at night? Do you have a multiple zone system so you don't have to heat or cool the entire house when you spend all day in, let's say, an office or the kitchen? Is it a two story home? Do you push hot air down in the winter in order to equalize the temperature? Do you have attic ventilators?
I see Nest as more of a neat gizmo with lots of marketing behind it than a real solution to a real problem. To be sure, the real solution requires a lot more work than bolting a piece of slick looking electronics to a wall. The payoff from a real solution would almost certainly be far greater and it doesn't have to cost a lot of money. For example, I use a $200 fan to cool my home at night (taking advantage of my local conditions). We have probably used the air conditioner a grand total of four weeks in the last three years. The savings in three years are already in the thousands and the investment was $200.
But given that the average contract developer is charging themselves out at $100/hour investing the time to "program a thermostat" will rarely result in a ROI.
It took me like 10 minutes to program my schedule into my cheap honeywell programmable thermostat. A leisurely 10 minutes. I can't speak to my ROI on the endeavor, but since the thermostat was ~$25 I can only assume I'm rocketing toward breaking even.
The Nest is not about ideal efficiency -- it's about a system that works with the way people already behave.
I don't know if it's saving us money because I have no baseline to compare it to (other than the previous year's electrical usage comparison on our electric bill), but the device is a breeze to use. The app is nice as well when you are laying in bed and it's too hot or cold in the house - just grab your phone and change the temperature.
I wouldn't hesitate buying one again.
* August 2011 vs. August 2012: 809 cooling degree days vs. 594 (1.36x). 2100 KW vs. 1500 (1.4x)
* January 2012 vs. January 2013: 544 heating degree days vs. 595 (0.91). 3000 KW vs. 2000 (1.5x)
So accounting for the weather with "degree days", with A/C it looks like there was no savings, but with heat it made a massive difference.
http://www.ebay.com/sch/i.html?_trksid=p2050601.m570.l1311.R...
As others have pointed out, you can achieve a lot of that with other (cheaper) products. But to be honest, I think Nest's main strength is making the features easy and fun to use rather than having totally revolutionary new features. But that's the Android and Iphone claim to fame in the smartphone world, and they did OK ;)
My power bill is a lot less than it was pre-Nest, and it requires no effort. Accessing the Nest when I'm about to head home is a nice benefit, too, to get the house cool before my iPhone is detected again.
(I have a sporadic schedule so the auto-away feature wouldn't work for me).
But, over the 1.5 years I had it I saved about 3% from previous years with a dumb thermostat. This doesn't recoup the cost at all.
One reason the savings was so low was that the firmware on the Nest was very inadequate during the 1st year. It didn't even do automatic heating/cooling on a schedule. All that was resolved last year.
The other reason is that the Home/Away detection is worthless for me (and I suspect many folks) because the thermostat location isn't in the traffic pattern of the house. I've pleaded with them to do a remote sensor but so far they don't care. Most of the new modern wireless system have the ability to add remote sensors so they're being left behind quickly.
Even so I'm not disappointed in the Nest. It's cool and I am very pleased to have wireless access via my smartphone to the temperature settings.
But they need to do a lot a work to get back to the level of companies like Honeywell and their distributed system.
So I would only use one of these paired with a conventional thermostat serving as a safety net, in case the Nest fails. But then I resent having to compensate for a manufacturer that cannot be bothered to build the failsafe into their own product in the first place.
The self-learning scheduler is nice, but I could easily program a manual one in a few minutes.
I feel strongly a few of these Internet enabled devices will pave the way for a new industry. Imagine Nest being purchased by every household (like the iPod) and then moving on to other products.
At some point it feels like they could charge a subscription. Would you take a free device and pay them 10$ of your 30$/month savings?
is this just a symptom of their chosen marketing strategy (saves you money!)?
Outside of savings that grossly exceed even the best expectations, when questioned whether they used a programmable thermostat already (the absolute bog standard $20 variety automatically dropping the temperature in a manner that is close to optimal for about 95% of people), the author gave a very wishy-washy answer that didn't actually answer the question.
The graph doesn't make sense.
I should probably write a blog post with all the details, but here's my take:
* I have a south-facing apartment with about 110-square feet of window glass. It heats up like a sonofa in the morning. I was able to counter this by setting a warmer limit for cooling in the summer. The blinds were always correctly set every evening to minimize summer cooling and winter heating.
* The leaf stuck out at me. I always wondered "why can't I get the leaf with my setting -- what do I have to adjust it to to get the leaf to appear?" This resulted in behavioral changes such as wearing different clothes, and taking better advantage of the windows to make getting the leaf to appear achievable.
* Once I hit the leaf, I then looked into other ways to maintain comfort, particularly in the summer. I've since invested in a fan to eliminate the envelope of heat that surrounds my body. Running the fan 20 hours a day is equivalent to running the A/C for 20-25 minutes, which is a big savings if I can eliminate 2.5 to 3 hours of A/C usage a day (at 18.5 cents/kWh).
With the addition of the fan, and finally finding some LED light bulbs with the right lens type and color temp (to replace some halogens in the track lighting), my electric bill was $42 for July, despite the ridiculous northeast heat wave. Despite constant 90+ degree temperatures and high humidity, I was able to get by with about 1 hour and 15 minutes of A/C a day, and didn't feel bad about it.
It's easy to say you could achieve the same thing without it, but facts show most people don't.
Yet I suspect that very few of the people who bought the Nest actually care about energy usage, or reducing it. It is a lifestyle product and is a talking point, and while there are some who really desire it for that, many more set it to a static temperature and forget it. I hugely doubt that the total set of Nest users have seen any measurable decline in usage.
You should consider solar screens. They cost about the same as regular window screens and are remarkably effective at keeping the heat out because they are on the outside, so the heat never enters the living space. Take them down in the fall when you start to want the heat.
Compared to buying a fan and a Nest, way too much effort.
TL;DR: Too much effort and sacrifice for negligible return.
Pre-Nest: http://www.wunderground.com/history/airport/KDTO/2011/7/1/Cu...
Nest: http://www.wunderground.com/history/airport/KDTO/2012/7/1/Cu...