NSA Collects 'Word for Word' Every Domestic Communication, Says Former Analyst
pbs.org
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[1]: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russ_Tice#Whistleblower [2]: http://www.fas.org/irp/news/2006/04/nsa010906.pdf
It surprises me they'd so blatantly seek specific, arbitrary classifications to prevent _the legislators_ from learning the truth.
What kind of iron do you need to run NLP on a day's worth of content (let's limit "content" to voice transcriptions from phone calls)? Suppose I want to pick out "bomb" in near real-time? How many $billions for total information awareness?
Even the best algo is going to produce false positives. At nation scale, that is going to be a massive QA/QC effort.
And really, because of this I think the idea that they might have some in-house innovation is not so far-fetched. We started hearing a lot about inPhase Technologies and such about DVD-sized discs that could store upwards of 6 terabytes back almost 10 years ago, but it amounted mostly to vapourware. We do now have confirmed information from Seagate that they'll start shipping out laptop-sized 2.5" rotational drives that will be able to store around ~60 TB of data within the next 2-3 years. Perhaps NSA has been secretively working with them, if not just producing the devices for themselves?
Edit: That's only one-way, so double. But compression can eliminate most of that, as there's usually only audio on one side of a call at a time. Anyways, even if I'm right within a factor of 10 or so, it doesn't really seem like a suspiciously high volume of disks.
(Disclaimer: I'm very drowsy just been woken up due to a datacenter coolant failure so maybe I miscalculated it.)
Since you don't have to justify yourself in court, you're never going to have to submit the actual audio to any judge as evidence, so why would you keep it?
6 MB * 300 million = 1716 TB
It's also possible that the compression techniques for long-term storage are vastly superior to realtime codecs. The lowest realtime voice codecs are 300-600 bits per second (they sound like shit), which is 213x compression (so an hour would be under a a meg).
http://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=600bps*1h*300000000
81TB a day. Again, this is assuming one hour of calls for 300 million people.
I did a quick search and found this snippet: "A telephia survey said that Americans average 13 talking hours a month – with the 18-24 age group averaging 22 hours."[1]
So that is under half an hour a day average. So, let's assume 300bps (lowest realtime voice codec I'm aware of), half hour a day, I'll stick to 300M people and we get:
http://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=300bps*30minutes*300000...
20TB.
So maybe I was only an order of magnitude off. Still pretty sloppy of me.
1: http://www.accuconference.com/blog/Cell-Phone-Statistics.asp...
[1] http://www-03.ibm.com/systems/storage/tape/ts3500/I remember during the Boston bombing investigation, Tim Clemente, a former FBI counter-terrorism agent, told Erin Burnett on CNN that they could go back and get access to the content of the calls between the deceased bomber and his wife, Katherine Russell.
After some Googling, I found a partial transcript of the CNN interview...
"Almost immediately Erin Burnett, the host of CNN's Outfront, wanted to know how the government knew. Aren't phone calls supposed to be private? She interviewed Tim Clemente, a former FBI counter-terrorism agent on May 1, asking:"
Is there any way … they [the federal investigators] can
try to get the phone companies to give that up … It’s not
a voice mail. It's just a conversation. There’s no way
they can actually find out what [was said on the call],
right, unless she tells them?
Clemente: There is a way. We certainly have ways in
national security investigations to find out exactly what
was said in that conversation. It's not necessarily
something that the FBI is going to want to present in
court, but it may help lead the investigation … we
certainly can find that out.
Burnett: So they can actually get that? … that is
incredible.
Clemente: Welcome to America. All of that stuff is being
captured as we speak, whether we know it or like it, or
not.
Source: http://www.thenewamerican.com/usnews/crime/item/15340-boston...CNN Interview Clip (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pPHZrVPt4-U)
CNN Follow-Up Interview (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vt9kRLrmrjc)
When I initially saw this on CNN, my first thought was, do they also have access to all photos and videos that are taken and transmitted online?
And if so, couldn't they stitch together a multi-angle montage from all the photos and videos taken at the scene of the Boston bombing (like http://photosynth.net), rather than asking everyone to manually scour through their personal footage?
Did they want these events to happen?
Fear is the oldest and cheapest manipulation strategy. Religions such as the Catholic Church have successfully used it for thousands of years:
"It's going to be hell, if you don't do as we say."
Having everyone in the world know that someone is watching will have significant sociological effects. It is akin to the idea that "God is watching".
Thousands of years ago the fear of God and promise of reward was the carrot and stick that resulted in people working together for the greater good rather than pursuing self interest. It was the invisible hand. Those that united and cooperated survived and evolved, and those that refused to unite died off.
Jonathan Haidt has been talking (http://www.ted.com/speakers/jonathan_haidt.html) and writing (http://www.amazon.com/Jonathan-Haidt/e/B001H6GAXW) about how this was key to and accelerated civilization's evolution -- "it put everyone in the same boat."
This same phenomenon happens at the cellular level -- bacteria group to form mitochondria, and mitochondria to form cells, and so on, each time forming a superorganism (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Self-organization).
E pluribus unum (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/E_pluribus_unum) -- "out of many, one."
Ants, wasps, and bees are the canonical example of this, and the beehive is often used to symbolize this concept (https://www.google.com/search?q=beehive+symbolism&newwindow=...). The PRISM name even reflects the symbology -- a honeycomb is made up of prisms (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Honeycomb, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Hexagonal_prismatic_honeycomb).
For the last few hundred years, market forces have been the invible hand (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Invisible_hand), and the corporation emerged as the superorganism. But overtime entropy increases and order erodes. Maybe PRISM is an attempt to reestablish order.
The NSA may see other benefits from PRISM leaking. For example, mining the world's communication data may or may not be practical today, but observing a system changes a system.
How will people's behavior change now that they know they're being watched? It would be easier to detect deltas than to mine the entire system. Turn on the lights. Roaches scatter. Targets reveal.
So far he's been presented as a lone wolf with assistance now from groups like Wikileaks but acquiring data on his own and initiating things up himself. But that may not be the case.
But it seems more likely that they would have preferred to have this leak and its accompanying chilling effect happen at a later date, when they can be sure that everybody is under their control and their power structure could not be brought down anymore.
General Michael Hayden, former head of NSA, said essentially that on Face the Nation a few weeks ago:
One of the results of the Snowden leaks is that it
launched a national debate about the balance between
privacy and security.
I'm convinced the more the American people know exactly
what it is we are doing in this balance between privacy
and security -- the more they know -- the more comfortable
they will feel.
So frankly I think we ought to be doing a bit more to
explain what it is we're doing, why, and the very tight
safeguards under which we are operating.
...
Here's how I do the math. In an ideal world, I would
keep all of this secret because any of it that I make
public slices some of my operational advantage away from
me.
But here's what I've learned heading up both NSA and CIA.
You may be able to do one thing one-off based upon narrow
legalness and the President's authorization, but in
democracies like ours don't get to do something over a
long period of time without national consensus.
So I'm willing to shave points off of my operational
effectiveness in order to make the American people a bit
more comfortable about what it is we're doing; otherwise,
the American people won't let us do it in the first place.
CBS: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KpfwjI9Eqy4Perhaps they have been taking notes from Jeremy Bentham.
"PANOPTICON; OR THE INSPECTION-HOUSE: CONTAINING THE IDEA OF A NEW PRINCIPLE OF CONSTRUCTION APPLICABLE TO ANY SORT OF ESTABLISHMENT, IN WHICH PERSONS OF ANY DESCRIPTION ARE TO BE KEPT UNDER INSPECTION"
...
"To say all in one word, it will be found applicable, I think, without exception, to all establishments whatsoever, in which, within a space not too large to be covered or commanded by buildings, a number of persons are meant to be kept under inspection.
No matter how different, or even opposite the purpose: whether it be that of punishing the incorrigible, guarding the insane, reforming the vicious, confining the suspected, employing the idle, maintaining the helpless, curing the sick, instructing the willing in any branch of industry, or training the rising race in the path of education: in a word, whether it be applied to the purposes of perpetual prisons in the room of death, or prisons for confinement before trial, or penitentiary-houses, or houses of correction, or work-houses, or manufactories, or mad-houses, or hospitals, or schools.
It is obvious that, in all these instances, the more constantly the persons to be inspected are under the eyes of the persons who should inspect them, the more perfectly will the purpose X of the establishment have been attained.
Ideal perfection, if that were the object, would require that each person should actually be in that predicament, during every instant of time.
This being impossible, the next thing to be wished for is, that, at every instant, seeing reason to believe as much, and not being able to satisfy himself to the contrary, he should conceive himself to be so."
Here's one possibility.
The really dangerous people - those few actual, professional-grade, funded and organized terrorists - may contract black-market hackers to flood the internet and cell networks with red-herring terror-signature traffic, rendering the entire surveillance system useless for its original purpose. For just a tiny fraction of its cost.
In order to justify the construction and continued funding of the system, its mission will have to creep, and we'll all soon have the police knocking on our doors because of our internet searches.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eusociality
^ Not what we're dealing with here. Nowhere near.
The NSA's endless budget expansion is now at risk, while almost half of the House of Reps voted to nearly shut the program down last week.
No doubt, the next mid-term cycle will be dominated by people on the left and right, campaigning on the promise to shut down these insane programs. The next campaign for President will likely turn out the same.
From Obama's perspective, this is a complete nightmare. His legacy as President will be tarnished, with even the true believers now deeply disillusioned.
The concepts of entropy and order don't really apply in a social system. In many industries the only stable equilibrium is a monopoly [2], which is arguably the least entropic "market state" possible. The "optimal" market according to capitalism is perfect competition among a large number of small independent firms, which is arguably the maximum-entropy state. So it seems that increased entropy should be a good thing.
The word "prism" has a mathematical meaning and a physical meaning, and I think it's pretty clear that when the NSA called their spying program PRISM, they were invoking the physical meaning of a tool that separates light into its components rather than the mathematical meaning of a solid formed by two identical polygons whose sides are connected by parallelograms.
This might seem like nitpicking. If it was just a few examples in your post that were slightly inaccurate, I wouldn't have cared. But your post is clearly trying to give a bunch of examples in order to establish a pattern, and when nearly all of your examples are wrong in significant ways or based on controversial theories, I feel it undermines your the point you were trying to make.
Finally, suggesting that the purpose of a vast surveillance program is anything other than surveillance is going against Occam's razor, and doesn't seem to make sense to me.
Many in today's foreign policy circles agree with Haidt's analogies -- see Foreign Policy's "Top 100 Global Thinkers in 2012" (http://www.foreignpolicy.com/2012globalthinkers?wp_login_red...).
Controversial or not, if policy makers hold the idea, it may be sufficient to justify/sell the strategy. And since when has universal buy-in been prerequisite to a course of action?
> Bacteria do not group to form mitochondria;
"The Evolution of the Cell" (http://learn.genetics.utah.edu/content/begin/cells/organelle...)
"Cells within cells: An extraordinary claim with extraordinary evidence" (http://undsci.berkeley.edu/lessons/pdfs/endosymbiosis.pdf)
Mitochondrion Origin (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mitochondrion#Origin)
Endosymbiotic Theory (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Endosymbiotic_theory)
> mitochondria do not group to form cells.
Eukaroyte (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Eukaryote) vs. Prokaryote (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Prokaryote)
> Mitochondra don't even cooperate "willingly" with their host cells, but rather the host cell must incentivize them by withholding essential nutrients from the "slackers" until they shape up.
Haidt uses the term "freeloaders" instead of "slackers", but incentivizing the freeloaders to "shape up" is exactly the point of the analogy.
> I'm not familiar with Jonathan Haidt's work, so I can't comment directly on that
All of his writings and talks touch on it, but here's a good overview:
"Jonathan Haidt: Religion, evolution, and the ecstasy of self-transcendence" (http://www.ted.com/talks/jonathan_haidt_humanity_s_stairway_...)
Papers & Citatations (http://scholar.google.com/citations?user=VafYYacAAAAJ&hl=en)
Google Tech Talk: "Hive Psychology and the Moral Life of Organizations" (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2APK3tlPL_0)
> The concepts of entropy and order don't really apply in a social system.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Social_entropy
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economic_entropy
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Entropy_and_life
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Entropy_(disambiguation)
> In many industries the only stable equilibrium is a monopoly [2], which is arguably the least entropic "market state" possible. The "optimal" market according to capitalism is perfect competition among a large number of small independent firms, which is arguably the maximum-entropy state. So it seems that increased entropy should be a good thing.
It's about balance. Unrestrained corporate growth in its current form is unsustainable to the biosphere. We have limited natural resources. What's good for one group may be detrimental to the whole.
> The word "prism" has a mathematical meaning and a physical meaning, and I think it's pretty clear that when the NSA called their spying program PRISM, they were invoking the physical meaning of a tool.
I don't know how you can argue anything the NSA does is "pretty clear." Look up doctrinal meaning vs literal meaning, or double entendre (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Double_entendre).
Stenographically-encoded messages in high-def porn. It's secure communications with a built-in subscription model!
Porn accounts for a huge chunk of internet traffic today, and video doesn't compress too well. Get enough people exchanging messages in porn videos and all of a sudden, those listening in have a whole hell of a lot more bytes to sift through.
(I'm only half joking.)
But in the same half-joking vein, some other problems:
1. I recall reading that such stegonagraphically watermarked videos were pretty easy to detect using simple statistical analysis of the noise in the frames. With dedicated hardware for multimedia decoding cheaply and ubiquitously available, frames can be efficiently extracted and the additional number of bytes does little to slow them down. If the hidden data is encrypted, well, you could just do that without the porn.
2. Unless you make it as easy as tapping a key to start communicating, it still does not remove a main barrier to widespread adoption of encryption, which is inconvenience.
3. The problem with porn is, people will just end up paying more attention to the medium rather than the message.
I think the idea is that it's something people naturally keep hidden, so it doesn't look suspicious to have handed to someone n a USB drive or sent privately. There's not really much suspicious about people hiding porn.
So it is interesting if in reality there is a stego detection tool.
www.cs.umn.edu/~hopper/tc-stego.pdf
Btw one of the authors is Luis von ahn, the founder of duelingo, the language teaching/translation app.
That's a pretty big if though. I mean, if you miss one nuance the NSA didn't, then your scheme could be toast. At least in the high data limit.
Also, most of the research in the field has been done on black and white image, so it not directly usefull.
And come to think on it, if we're talking about image stego, what prevents the NSA from controlling the statistical distributions of output of cameras in such a way that stego will be noticed(even after some image transforms) ?
It would be easy enough to make a one-click batch process, and would help provide cover noise for real communication channels.
Are you sure you looked hard enough? Most of them include it as very faint morse code somewhere in the icon.
I mean before we cure cancer, figure out how the brain works and solve inequality all the alien eggs must be found.
That a whistleblower had to reveal the programs, that Congress was largely unaware that any such programs existed, and that NSA personnel are content with lying to Congress about the programs pretty well contradicts that claim. Still, glass half full, I suppose it's somewhat encouraging that PBS is reporting on this.
RUSSELL TICE: ...The NSA were targeting individuals. In that case, they were judges like the Supreme Court. I held in my hand Judge Alito's targeting information for his phones and his staff and his family.
If true, that's... mind boggling. What possible valid reason could the NSA have to secretly monitor the calls of a US Supreme Court justice? And his staff, AND family?
I really hope this allegation is false.
Has anyone done the math? How much could that facility store. If they were indeed recording word-for-word content, how many days/months/years could they store?
Now somebody here claims it's around 1e7 B compressed for an hour of phone talk (not transcribed only compressed). That gives 2e10 hours stored. Storing it for 2e8 Americans there's space for 100 hours per person. But they also want the world, not only Americans.
Even if, as you say, the estimate is 100hours per person. How much time does the average person spend on the phone? My current cell plan has 200 minutes per month, and I never go over. Say the average person spends 1000 minutes (16.7 hours), that means you could store a month of rolling phone conversations, and be only at 16.7% capacity. That leaves a fair bit of extra room for persons of interest internationally.
Regarding my estimates, somebody here on HN also sent a link to the highest capacity automated tape libraries, and using them instead of hard disks the estimation of capacity still fits in the same order of magnitude. I still assume hard disks are more convenient than tapes for anything that needs to be accessed "when needed" (who would accept to say "will get the data bout the terrorists regarding the attack tomorrow, but it will take two days." So I can even bet that the main storage there are hard disks.
Not saying it wouldn't be the right thing to do, but I am saying it would definitely come at a cost to them and their friends.
But he won't, and I suspect that the reason is that his claim is fanciful.
Without hard evidence it's hard to believe him, you're right. But not naming his source doesn't effect his credibility negatively in my eyes. It's equally likely he's not naming his source because he's a nice person, as it is because there is no source.
Do you find this more probable than the fact that by giving out a name he'd set up his friend between a rock and a hard place?
Because they can see what's happening to Snowden and Manning?
From my outside perspective, it seems Obama's "whistle blower" rhetoric was pure electioneering lies…
[1] http://www.dailyfinance.com/2013/06/14/news-saic-wins-95-mil...
That would explain why Obama seems to have become the best sheep ever:
1. Spy on them
2. Collect everything that's somehow "embarrassing" for them
3. Regularly remind them of what happens if they don't do what would want them to do
By that logic, they have probably "vetted" Obama thoroughly, before deciding to not discredit/destroy him completely in front of the public.
See, I cant believe that you get to politician age and have a perfect record. I cant believe that the security services would be interested in politicians back grounds. And now we see the mechanism to get all the information they need to comprehensively check them out. So, I almost cant understand why a security service would not raise such issues with prospective politicians, high ranking business men, media, etc. It would be negligent not to. Well, with out saying opr threatening anything, such people know that the security services have something damaging on them which could be leaked. They don't need to be told, do they? Such people are fairly bright. The implications are obvious. Tow the line, don't dump on the security services. And if asked to support some evil new power, well........
To my mind the blackmail circle and potential to select politicians, and others is too obvious.
The main issue is that our information is being stored - INDEFINITELY. You've got to be naive to think this data won't be abused eventually. It will be sold, or it will be used to control. Reading between the lines in some of these news stories, I have to believe that all the walls between the civil and law enforcement agencies are coming down, and it's all one big data mart FTW.
We must bar them from generally capturing and storing information about us. A crime needs to be under investigation about an individual or group before the data capture can begin.
That's right. Probably every one of us wishes for this capability. And then there's the federal budget deficit, no? I propose to kill two birds with one stone here. NSA can offer to "remember it for you wholesale" as Philip K. Dick put it! Maybe $0.10 per byte (or $0.25/minute for audio) to search and provide on CD virtually anything you have said or done since 1992.
It's actually rather comforting to think that, although they're not very good at their primary mission of stopping terrorism, they have this great ancillary benefit that we can all take advantage of!
Even if this promise holds, though, people may dislike this policy, to put it mildly. If a robot takes a naked picture of me, it's an invasion of privacy even if no human ever looks at it.
You send five messages that are not true and one which is, and have some way to know the truth.
You spend something like 25% of your work life (taxes) to pay for something that works against you (mass surveillance). Then you start trowing stones at it while continuing to work for it.
We also need to start getting rid of the root of the problem, not only try to fight some symptoms (patching holes is OK for the short term).