Another Scott Adams business idea: Home servers
dilbert.com
dilbert.com
As an aside, the system would only need to back up a database of what movies, music, and video games you own, and not the actual content. If you ever needed to do a recovery, your record of ownership would allow you to download the content again for free...
...Obviously all the technology to make this happen already exists. It's a matter of getting the cost down, negotiating all of the various licenses, and building an interface that is easy to use.
Actually, on second thought, the lunar X-Prize is a much easier task.
It's an insight that pretty much everyone who knows anything about computers has had in the past and even the most basic scrutiny turns up a major flaw in his idea, namely that media companies make a huge chunk of their income from buyers who lost their original copies and are forced to buy new ones.
That's new to me - is there a reference somewhere for how big a chunk this is?
The 'dream' of a wired + automated house is oddly far away for people outside of the 'wealthy' and 'do it yourself' categories. In many ways the entire consumer electronics industry is so _not_ focused on the 'end customer experience' to the point of just being downright insulting to their customer base.
What does it mean to treat your customers badly? Try not trusting them at all. Treat them like thieves. Put in artificial rules for using your products that make it confusing for even us geeky folks. Refuse to agree on anything except methods for screwing over your customers.
The last straw for me was HDMI. It is crippling the high end of the industry as it is impossible to distribute throughout a home. It is fraught with basic incompatibilities from one manufacturer to another. It's entire existence is to phase out analog output of high definition audio and video. The 'marketing' approach to the public is 'see, we put everything on one cable' but in all reality, it's just DVI with digital audio that's encrypted so you can't make legal, analog recordings for your personal use.
So the good news is there is a lot of room, even beyond the Apple effect, for small companies to make an impact. The existing state of the old school Consumer Electronics industry is pathetic and will likely not be able to churn out anything but louder amplifiers and better resolution displays.
My issue is that the goal of HDMI wasn't moving audio and video to one cable. The goal was to add encryption so that it becomes illegal to try to record off it. (whereas it's perfectly legal to record unencrypted analog + digital signals for personal use)
The selling point to the public is a single, pretty cable to make everyone's lives better. We won't know the trap we've fallen into until years from now when we can't even buy a display _without_ an encrypted input. To make a device display anything I need to conform to an industry group to get a key to encrypt my data.
But what if the industry group doesn't like my product and denies me a key? What if it has large 'fees' to keep out small companies? So much for a small company building the next pong, atari 2600 or apple I.
So the 'single cable' is the perfect trap. It's true that today's LCD's are measured on how many HDMI ports they have. Later in life we'll be bidding for older LCD screens and projectors with analog inputs on ebay. (hopefully an exaggeration)
Also DRM outlaws a lot of cool technology like that. It is stunning that the media conglomerates have successfully legislated their own deeply flaws business plans.
If they had successful done that with the VCR, we still wouldn't have DVDs. Ah, but back then Sony didn't own a movie studio.
I thought about using the iPhone as a universal remote control since it doesn't have an IR emitter, there would need to be something in between, most likely a computer. The SDK3.0, the way I understand the third-party accessory part at least, could open up many possibilities on that side.
Home servers can already do all of that using home automation devices (X10). You can hook them up to your home media center and access your homes lights/security/heat anywhere via a web interface.
I haven't done this in practice but I've read quite a bit on it. It's still not consumer friendly yet though, but it sounds like a great geek project.