Amash’s Amendment To Defund NSA Program Fails 205-217
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I think it's important to keep in mind that the 12 vote margin is comfortable for Amash and supporters of new NSA restrictions and uncomfortable for its defenders.
Here's why: opponents of Amash wielded an argument that "split the vote". Representatives who voted against Amash could have done so for one of two reasons:
(1) They actively support providing the NSA with unchecked access to cell phone metadata under the "business records" provision of PATRIOT, or
(2) They don't support that access, but can't support a broad amendment that potentially de-funds whole NSA programs, and instead need something finer grained to correct NSA with.
Meanwhile, everyone who supported Amash believes strongly --- so strongly that they're willing to do something disruptive to NSA --- that new checks on NSA are needed.
(I think Amash was a good amendment, if only because it would force the House to do its actual job and carefully regulate intelligence collection; if it caused a temporary shitstorm, so much the better --- it'd be a well-deserved comeuppance for a legislature that has been derelict in its duty to oversee these programs. But you should be aware that opponents of Amash had a persuasive-sounding argument for voting it down even if you believed new regulations were needed.)
I think this was a pretty hopeful vote.
There was some great coverage of this on the BBC[1] earlier today, before the result was known:
(Quotation begins)
However, the White House said the measure would deprive the intelligence agencies of a key tool in preventing terror attacks.
"This blunt approach is not the product of an informed, open or deliberative process," said spokesman Jay Carney.
(Quotation ends)
[1] http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-us-canada-23430126 (emphasis added)
Republicans: 94 yea, 134 nay (41% in favor)
Democrats: 111 yea, 83 nay (57% in favor)
Not too surprising, since traditionally "strong on national security" is a core GOP position, and the party establishment tends to see civil-liberties challenges to national security policy as misguided. That might overrule any partisan instinct to vote against Obama.I had looked when I posted my comment so I could link it along with the numbers, but 25 mins ago it wasn't up yet.
Source: knew a couple of people who had worked as aides to congresscritters
"Rotating Villains strike again: Just enough liberals inexplicably voted no on NSA restrictions to make it the way Obama wanted."
Sad that this was my first thought.
> Holt’s bill, the “Surveillance State Repeal Act”, would repeal the PATRIOT Act and the FISA Amendments Act, each of which contains provisions that allowed the dragnet surveillance. The bill would reinstate a uniform probable cause-based warrant standard for surveillance requests, and prohibit the federal government from forcing technology companies from building in hardware or software “back doors” to make it easier for the government to spy on the public. Additional features of the bill include the true legal protections for national security whistleblowers, as well as changes to the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court to give it greater expertise in reviewing and challenging executive branch applications for surveillance operations.
http://ggsidedocs.blogspot.com.br/2013/07/rush-holt-repeal-s...
As an analogy, there is absolutely no political will here to change the status quo regarding unchecked data collection. The two largest political parties would likely be automatically against an equivalent amendment on national security grounds, whipping their members to vote against (and few members would care to break ranks).
As such, no vote would even take place. If it was forced in a full chamber, it would perhaps fall 100-550.
Edited to add: Exemplified by a spending review announced a month ago http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-23060592 "3.4% increase in combined budget for intelligence agencies": meanwhile many other budgets are squeezed by 5-10%
Yes, that was a rather striking discrepancy. Our media seem to be giving the current administration a free ride lately regarding civil liberties generally and trying to control the Internet in particular. Maybe everyone is too busy worrying about getting onto the "Bob watches porn" list this week to worry about getting onto any other lists that may or may not be relevant to this discussion as well.
Republicans have a 33 seat majority, despite losing the popular vote 48.7% - 47.6%, thanks to rampant gerrymandering after the 2010 election.
I did a (meaningless) back of the envelope calculation, and found that if the number of representatives were proportional to the popular vote count, and the same percentage of Democrats voted for this bill, then the bill would have passed.
Of course, it probably wouldn't have made it through the senate, since the non-talking filibuster allows any single member to effectively veto any bill brought up.
However, particularly for Republicans at the present time, there is always a looming threat of a primary challenge if ideological purity is not maintained.
The biggest direct difference is that in many parliamentary systems the party has control over who will run under their banner in the next election. In the US, the only power they have is indirect via fundraising.
Really the difference is one of expectation: in the parliamentary system party discipline is just a ground rule that's understood by everybody. If your MP votes for something you don't like they can say "Yeah I didn't like that bill either and I brought up my concerns during our caucus meeting. Ultimately the party decided to support it though" and you don't really think less of them.
That expectation cuts the other way too. If a US Representative got kicked out of caucus over a controversial vote it would be considered shockingly petty. It'd be the major political story for weeks and would tarnish the whole party. In parliament that's just what happens and nobody would expect any different. A semi-recent Canadian that comes to mind: http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/nova-scotia/story/2007/06/05/b...
As you mention, they can (and do) withhold committee assignments. Usually this is done more on the sly though rather than as an obvious retaliation. Members that have a reputation for toeing the party line get the nice assignments, the pork project for their district, etc. The "guy none of us can stand but keeps getting elected without our help" just gets to posture for the cameras.
And yes, I'm aware that every system has flaws and people's votes aren't always sane - but given the alternatives...
Online voting tools could definitely change the cost as well as the legitimacy of running a superpower scale direct democracy. In Switzerland we largely handle it through voting by letter and every commune handles the counting - technically it's certainly possible to have fraud at that point, however at least I'm not aware of any case where a people's vote would have been faked that way.
Anyway, for larger scale voting I'd have a look at this TED talk: http://www.ted.com/talks/david_bismark_e_voting_without_frau.... E-voting combined with tokens on paper seems to be the winner for me.
But don't forget, the stability of the Swiss system doesn't only come from its direct democratic nature, I'd say the principle of proportionality applied to the government, as I mentioned above, is at least as important. In Switzerland this ensures both checks and balances as well as a government that represents the current political views of the parliament. Also, it lead to a multi-party system with 5 larger players and dynamic coalitions depending on the actual issue. Together with the constant fear of the people's vote this handles most issues quite neatly - even if the process tends to be a bit slower, the output of 'bullshit' is much lower than the things I read from abroad if you will.
The main argument against, as I see it, is the lack of accountability, the prime example being California demanding more spending and lower taxes at the same time. Of course, indirect democracy has done very little to prevent that either.
When Switzerland doesn't pass laws similar to California's, I think it's because they have a much more homogenous society where there is simply a large degree of agreement on how things should be done - and so, the remaining bits lend themselves well to be decided by direct democracy.
That's also my response to the GP: no, no amount of interwebs and technology can turn a large and diverse population that disagrees fundamentally on many important issues into a small and homogenous one that agrees on most things.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Minaret_controversy_in_Switzer...
e.g. the June 2013 referendum also has an astounding result, on Asylum law changes: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Swiss_referendum%2C_2013#Asylu...
On one hand, indirect democracies allow the ruling few to impose their will rather than the will of the people. On the other hand, many people are ignorant of the facts and could be persuaded to vote poorly (eg against the best interests of the majority) in a direct democracy.
It's easy to vote 'yea' on something that you know will never become law. Even if the House would have approved it AND the Senate it would just get vetoed by Obama.
I remain hopeful. And I hope this at least signals to the executive branch that maybe, just maybe the legislative branch has balls. We just need to keep the pressure on them and just keep pushing for it. Call your congress critter today.
This would be extremely important. At the moment Obama's principle seems to avoid the subject as much as possible. And if it is addressed just blaming the "system". By vetoing it he would take personal responsibility for this scandal, something he will try to avoid at all costs.
Glenn Greenwald says that he has hundreds (if not thousands) of documents, including NSA training manuals, that prove Snowden's claims about NSA analysts having the technical ability to listen to and read the contents of "billions" of phone, email, and chat conversations. See his response starting at 19:51 in this interview:
http://www.democracynow.org/2013/7/18/glenn_greenwald_growin...
Senator Wyden's recent comments support the idea that there is much more coming in this story.
http://www.americanprogressaction.org/events/2013/07/16/6975...
It is incredibly hopeful that there is this much support for an amendment like this before the full story has been told. I hope the Senate is forced to take up a similar vote (less likely for sure) before the full details are published because it would be very valuable to get the position of every Senator on record before November 2014.
Compromise arguments are often persuasive, but the vast majority of legislation succumbs to the fallacy of middle ground (or "argument to moderation"), assuming that the compromise is always right.
See also https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Overton_window , for which this seems like a textbook example. Claim way too much ground, give up part of it, repeat.
This is not a case for a compromise: the program is entirely wrong and needs to entirely die.
A 'no' is always a 'no', don't look much into the fact that it was a fairly close 'no'.
It seems like such a process would automatically bias votes against the will of the people and in favor of the lobbyists, since at the end of the day it is the lobbyists that are actually paying attention to your voting record on issues and are likely to withhold campaign donations during the next election.
The House majority has 33 more seats than the minority, despite losing the popular vote by over a million votes. To me, this is the epitome of how broken Washington is. Pennsylvania has 13 Republican representatives and 5 Democrat reps, even though Democrats won the popular vote, 50.28% to 48.77%.
If the difference between the two tallies is off by more than 33%, then there is something fundamentally broken. It allows candidates to spew extremist views, because they won't be challenged in their home district.
I don't see how that would help unless they were somehow prevented from conspiring (i.e., discussing their votes ahead of time).
When a candidate makes a big deal during a campaign about how they voted against the grain on a particularity thorny issue that pleased a lot of voters in their district, take it with a huge grain of salt and a hard look at their broader voting record.
Find your Representative - http://www.house.gov/representatives/find/
Amash vote - http://clerk.house.gov/evs/2013/roll412.xml
Splendid. At least we may get a few good HPC and IR publications out of it.
Actually, it will probably be outsourced to contractors who will squander it away without producing anything.
Unless, that is, the next 9/11 gets planned using twitter hashtags. Actually, since the Sandy Hook shooter openly talked about his plans on 4chan, I'm guessing that even a twitter campaign would still "pass under the radar".
I bet the only real consequence is that someone will lose a laptop with like, everybody's social security number and financial history on it. It's going to be so awesome.
Hoax?
http://www.ibtimes.co.uk/articles/415935/20121217/sandy-hook...
And for people like Colleen LaRose or the Underwear bomber, just a web browser and plain-old internet led to the apprehension. With Michael Reynolds, traditional "law enforcement officers posing as honeypots" style did the trick.
These classical methods seem to be working quite alright.
What is the use-case here? Some dastardly secret terrorist conspiracy where they collaboratively make detailed plans, over the internet, in clear text, like this:
-----
From: evilbomber@yahoo.com
Subject: Re: RE: re: re: Re: Secret plans
To: confidant@not-the-fbi.com
CC: coconspirator@gmail.com, evildoer2213@excite.com, bombmaker@msn.com
Attachments: annotated-map.pdf
----
Hey all,
After reviewing the bombing plans of the terrorist attack next Tuesday, set for Washington DC, when the Secretary of State, Jon Carey, is set to arrive by motorcade at 4:15 PM, I've decided that our assassination attempt (where we plan to Kill Jon Carey) would be best suited for a different intersection.
As you can see here, there is a better place to bomb the motorcade.
Also, I've gotten all the parts for the IED. This includes the incendiary, a timer, and all the wiring necessary. I carefully asked a bunch of questions on various open forums and posted pictures to confirm I made everything right. I also disclosed my intended use of the bombs along with my radical political leanings.
Anyway, Down with the USA, and I hope to meet all of you to make this death of a US diplomat a reality, next Tuesday, at 4:15 PM.
Patiently Awaiting Martyrdom,
evilbomber.
P.S.: What's encryption?
Not exactly.
http://www.azcentral.com/news/articles/2011/01/08/20110108ar...
>What is the use-case here? Some dastardly secret terrorist conspiracy where they collaboratively make detailed plans, over the internet, in cleartext?
Well of course.
http://www.theregister.co.uk/2011/03/22/ba_jihadist_trial_se...
I highly doubt that the NSA's current surveillance program is worth it's potential collateral damage.
I think people can do their own crypto as long as they are exceptionally prudent in doing their own homework.[1] He clearly wasn't.
el oh el.
----
[1] The authors of RSA and AES aren't demigods that descended from mount Olympus; they are people that did their own crypto, but with the right amount of focus and caution. It's clearly possible for a competent person to invent their own. Just like someone could invent their own operating system or programming language. It's just rarely appropriate to do so for a single task.
The underwear bomber was apprehended because a passenger on the plane tackled the bomber and put out the fire he'd started. The incident was acknowledged by the government (eventually) as a failure of the security apparatus to catch the guy ahead of time.
This vote has demonstrated a really serious intent to change things, and there's a good chance they will be in due course.
As someone running businesses in Europe, I am genuinely concerned about whether the Safe Harbor scheme still protects us legally if we allow US-based services to use personal data about our customers.
As I understand it, the point of Safe Harbor is to recognise that some US-based companies have data protection measures sufficient to meet the stronger European standards, and therefore to permit the export of such personal data outside the EEA to those trusted partners where this would otherwise be against the law.
Given that the protection that any US-based partner can offer is now known to be limited, and that no-one running a business here could credibly claim not to be aware of that, I don't know where we'd stand legally if a politically active customer decided to make a point. Even if we openly disclose which US-based partners are involved as part of the relevant privacy policy, it still leaves a bad taste in the mouth.
"According to Assange, Switzerland and Iceland are the only countries where WikiLeaks would be safe to operate."
I wouldn't be too sure about Germany at all. Switzerland because of it's historic neutrality and rule of law makes sense.
So sadly, there isn't truly any "safe" country out there for hosting your data... Sweden's military tends to track all border-crossing network connections, the BND seems to be listening at DE-CIX... Also, I'm sure that Switzerland routes their data through some internet exchange node that some NSA-friendly intelligence agency listens at.
In terms of data protection laws & how much access to your actual servers the authorities get, I believe that German & Swiss laws are quite good though.
[1] http://translate.google.com/translate?sl=auto&tl=en&js=n&pre...
I am very glad the vote was close, it would have been utterly terrible if it was not close. The executive branch is well out of step with the House. One really wonders if the president's pre-election rhetoric was naivety or lies. I suspect a bit of both. I believe that it points to the fact that the executive branch has been partly captured by the military, let's not forget that a general heads what should be essentially a civilian organ.
The issue still remains though that even if miraculously provisions are put into place for US citizens we still have the mass surveillance of every other nation's citizens by numerous nations just because net traffic is routed through their geographic location. Never mind tapping into trans-oceanic cables - if that's true, I can't believe that could be true, how horrific. We need a Geneva convention on mass surveillance / privacy. It's going to take years and years. Also, what do all the spooks do with all that hardware?
Wait until they find out the NSA is raking in the call contents too [1]
[1] http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/06/29/glenn-greenwald-nsa...
Pretty close and party lines didn't seem all that important.
Given that the majority of Dems in the house voted for it - in fact more than Republicans - I think that is a MAJOR, MAJOR rebuke to Obama.
I am sure he will notice that.
For this particular amendment and vote, go to the lower right corner where there's "All Congressional Actions with Amendments".
SF HNers: Rep. Pelosi was against the ammendment.
"Near the end of his active service, the U.S. invasion of Iraq began. [Casey] Sheehan reenlisted, knowing that his unit would be sent there.[5] Sheehan's division, the First Cavalry Division, was sent to Iraq. On March 19, 2004, Sheehan's Battery C, 1st Battalion, 82nd Field Artillery Regiment, arrived at FOB Camp War Eagle in Sadr City. On April 4, 2004, Sheehan was killed in action after volunteering to be part of a Quick Reaction Force to rescue American troops."
She then goes on to become a vocal critic of the previous and current admin. She becomes an antiwar activist.
Seriously, though, Swalwell proved that it can be done. Get somebody serious to run against her. I know I always relished voting against her when I lived in SF even though I had to hold my nose and vote Republican.
Which is mind-boggling, considering that the Congress' approval rating is 12% ! Thing about it: only 12% of the people think that the Congress is doing a good job, and these people STILL get re-elected! Is it any wonder that we're in this mess?
http://www.usatoday.com/story/theoval/2013/07/24/obama-congr...
[1] http://www.gallup.com/poll/162362/americans-down-congress-ow...
Surprising no one.
CA-2: Huffman (D), yes
CA-3: Garamendi (D), yes
CA-5: Thompson (D), no
CA-11: Miller (D), yes
CA-12: Pelosi (D), no
CA-13: Lee (D), yes
CA-14: Speier (D), yes
CA-15: Swalwell (D), yes
CA-17: Honda (D), yes
CA-18: Eshoo (D), yes
CA-19: Lofgren (D), yes
CA-20: Farr (D), yes
So 10/12 of the Bay Area voted yes, rather disproportionately in favor compared to the nationwide vote. Until putting together this list, I hadn't actually realized there are no Republicans in the entire extended Bay Area, incidentally. You have to go all the way to Modesto to find a GOP Congressman (in CA-10, where Denham voted "no").I refuse to vote for her. I'll vote for the Republican challenger every time.
I don't mean this as a defense of Pelosi though. I'm also in CA-12; I usually just abstain from voting for US Rep.
http://politics.nytimes.com/congress/votes/113/house/1/412
Not only did the vote fail to break along party lines, it didn't break along geographic lines either. Outside of the Bay Area, I don't see any obvious patterns, like an urban / rural split. Does anyone see anything else?
If you take the party line (Dems favored the amendment, Reps disfavored) as a baseline, you have to explain two things: solid red (R's who voted Yes) and striped blue (D's who voted No).
So, the regional delta's on that baseline: (1) the Western states (Montana down to New Mexico) had plenty of Republican votes for (solid red); (2) the DC-NY area had more Dem votes against (striped blue). The standard explanation of (1) would be libertarian Westerners, and for (2) would be, that was where 9/11 was, plus that's where much of the intelligence community lives. If you're in the government, you may trust the government more.
I don't know how to explain the consistent voting of Tennessee and South Carolina.
The president is democrat and is for it - democrat congressmen would have to notice that. But they didn't.
I think this issue simply has no party division, it.s each person with their own opinion. (If only all politics could be like that.)
As others have said, one crude characterization of D/R split is that R is generally more supportive of spending for national security. I think this provides the ideological basis for the D/R split.
The interests of the President are not aligned with those of Congress in this case: the President is a consumer of the intel. This is why the D's in Congress did not follow him.
Additionally, I suspect that Congresspersons have noticed that their constituents are getting restless about intel collection. Obama doesn't have to run for election again, but they do.
As an observer of politics, I too find this vote very interesting.
The split clearly doesn't work in this case.
I think the reason is that R is more concerned with privacy than D. Also R likes looking strong to other countries - this means spending on the military, they are not interesting in spending for the sake of spending. But the NSA fiasco does not make the US look strong in front of other countries.
D is more concerned with looking good in front of other countries (as opposed to strong), and the NSA situation doesn't do that either.
I suspect the ones that voted for it believe that the increase in security is worth the loss of face.
Republicans: 94 yea, 134 nay (41% in favor)
Democrats: 111 yea, 83 nay (57% in favor)
It's not as party-line as many high-profile votes, but it's a significant difference.Off the top of my head, it appears that the leadership on both sides was against it (Pelosi, Cantor, Boehner)
If I had more time on my hands, I'd go check to see if tea party/progressive caucus/cbc/freshmen/intelligence committee went one way or another.
They get to split quite a few incentives here: Dems have the incentive to vote no to side with their president, R's have the opposite (and it's a republican amendment). The stereotypical platform of the two sides is the reverse of this, but both parties are generically pro-surveillance.
I really do commend everyone involved in this effort. This is how the system is supposed to work, citizens making their voices know, and the legislature acting upon the will of the people.
Honestly you guys got far closer to your goal than I would have anticipated. The bipartison support was almost unprecedented in recent years.
From a practical matter, even if the House bill passed it was dead on arrival in the Senate. But nevertheless it is a significant symbolic blow to blank surveillance against American citizens.
All I've tried to communicate, perhaps with less than appropriate tact, is that this is going to be a long slog.
If you're going to reign in the surveillance state, you'll need to start thinking like Washington insiders. Pick one incumbent that vocally supported these programs, and take him or her down. That will instantly catapult this issue to the top of the concerns in DC.
It only costs a few million to get that done. Considering the wealth of the tech industry, and the threat this poses to overseas expansion of the US internet services, donations shouldn't be overly difficult to drum up. We could really make a large dent in getting the legislature to help roll back these programs to sane levels. Add to that an anit-SOPA style social media campaign, and you could accomplish real and lasting change.
This will need at least two election cycles to be successful. Everyone in the house is up for re-election every two years but the senate requires six for everyone to go through the re-election process. I think with some luck, the third senate election cycle might not be needed if enough momentum can be attained. But I think to really succeed it will have to survive a filibuster and possibly a presidential veto.
We can do this if we are willing to put aside our political differences, work together and think long term.
Democracy has been completely subverted at this point. We need impeachments and new anti-secrecy laws.
Either the system can possibly work or it can't, you can't say the process is a sham then suggest a legislative solution.
i.e. those in higher authority would have voted it down (Boehner, Pelosi, etc.) and those with less authority supported it. So the powerful preserving their power, with the less powerful challenging it.
That alone can speak volumes about the potential for their power crumbling. Boehner has been on the ropes recently with his caucus warning him to tread carefully.
If that turns out to be the case, then the leadership has big problems. Both in the House and the Whitehouse.
That could be good for the issue over the long-term....which is encouraging to me as a "foreigner".
Otherwise you're just making an assumption, and drawing conclusions from it without knowing if your assumption is right.
That virtually never happens. You have to do the work yourself.
They rarely hold themselves to the same standards which they set forth for the proletariat.
By party, that was among Democrats 2 yes, 8 no, and among Republicans 0 yes, 13 no.
http://www.langerresearch.com/uploads/1150a3SnowdenandSecuri...
A majority of those surveyed now think Snowden should be criminally charged for his leaking and don't view the surveillance as an unjustified intrusion into people's privacy; interestingly, more people thought it wasn't an unjustified intrusion into their own privacy vs. the privacy of others.
It's just one poll, yeah, but don't assume you know the will of the people.
17. Do you think that the National Security Agency's surveillance of telephone
call records and internet traffic does or does not intrude on some Americans'
privacy rights?
Does Intrude: 74%
Does Not Intrude: 22%
No Opinion: 4%If you look further down, you'll see that there's a breakdown by people who feel the intrusion is justified or not. Further, when you look at responses for how people view the surveillance as an intrusion into their own privacy vs. that of others, you find people are either less likely to view it as an intrusion into their privacy or more likely to view it as a justified intrusion.
However, he's been vocally supporting spying, so it's assumed he would have voted No on this bill.