How David Beats Goliath
newyorker.com
newyorker.com
But aside from that point.. I find this article to be too light on hard statistical evidence of the points being made. There's like one % thrown out near the beginning, but the rest is anecdotes, historical one-shots, etc. Very similar to the hand-wavy strategies used by Gladwell et al.
Clearly, the other team could easily have beaten the full-court press team, had it put a similar amount of preparatory effort into running. But generally, the other team did not. In this way effort trumped skill.
I realize the article was largely anecdotal, except for the study of wars fought over the last 200 years. This makes its conclusions suspect, but not necessarily invalid. Perhaps a full-court press only works when the weaker team has put in a huge amount of endurance practice in preparation, and the stronger team has not.
It isn’t surprising that the tournament directors found Eurisko’s strategies beyond the pale. It’s wrong to sink your own ships, they believed. And they were right. But let’s remember who made that rule: Goliath. And let’s remember why Goliath made that rule: when the world has to play on Goliath’s terms, Goliath wins."
There is a lesson to be learned here, but it's about outthinking your opponent, not that NBA coaches are all idiots.
Out of curiosity, since I don't know anything about basketball, how do you beat a full-court press, and why isn't it a good idea to at least try to stop people from getting down the court?
That said, a team of good ball-handlers can beat a strong press if they stay calm and pass well. Patience and poise.
(Which is probably why the press is so effective in younger leagues: players at that age get frantic under pressure and just don't have the dexterity/skill to keep the ball under control)
One way to think of a full-court press is as a way of spreading resources thinly. You can beat it by handling and passing the ball well. On a thinly defended court, this leads to a lot of easy baskets because there's so much open space.
Are there any statistics on the effectiveness of a full-game full-court press done by a team that has conditioned itself to press for the entire game? I'd love to see some actual data on this.
The key here is that the data must be only from those (few) teams that have conditioned themselves appropriately. Otherwise, it's measuring the wrong thing.
Find some way to get the whole New Yorker issue, if you can. It's the annual "Innovators" issue, so this is the right audience, and all the full-length articles are at least as good as this one.
At that age and league, however, a press should be illegal.
The problem is the physical limitation of how far the girl can throw a ball. If you tell NBA players they can't pass more than seven feet, the press would be a dominant strategy.