Thank you for your armchair analysis, but I will wait for the NTSB's report.
I love speculating about everything from government policy to interpersonal relationships. (It helps me validate my mental model of the world.) But, in this case, I know the NTSB currently has a better picture of the situation than anyone on the internet.
Even though I'm a former pilot, I've not made any posts prior to this one, because I didn't want to speculate.