Russian Proton Rocket crashes Seconds after Launch
spaceflight101.com
spaceflight101.com
I just cannot understand how they choose these anchors. If I wanted to listen to my 13yo cousin's inane commentary on videos, then .. well I have no idea actually, because I would never want to. And I never want to listen to this idiot. Who hires them? Why!?
This is serious news, a hundred million dollar crash, and the best he can do is "crazy right?". I just don't know what to say.
Imagine if this dipshit was commenting on 9/11. "and those there planes just up and flown into them buildings right there! Crazy right?" Yeah bro! Totes crazy LOL! ROFL
(And FWIW as much as we love to complain about the newspapers I find TV news, even on the BBC, is the worst form of news reporting out there)
I'd argue that the "smart" portion of the population is even less than you figure. It depends on what you interpret to be smart. With my own personal judgment, intelligence, true intelligence, is derived from skepticism, curiosity, and a thirst for knowledge, not by success financially.
If we use those criteria, I'd say that most people in that list would be about 1/8th down on the bell curve. People just don't care, I've seen it with my own family.
Its a mix of HN elitism combined with gross over estimation of cultural impact WRT a cultural icon that doesn't matter anymore.
They do not broadcast to the mainstream, they try to steal away fractions of a percent of weirdo daytime news network junkies from other networks, not boost viewership from the 99% of "normal" people who don't watch that kind of thing.
Its like top40 music or hollywood movies in that way.
It can actually be that the average CNN viewer is exactly like the average person in United States. I don't think that's true, but I don't think the typical viewer is that far from the average.
The appeal level is extremely low (99% of the population would rather do anything else) and the barrier to entry is extremely low (its marginal cost is "free" if you have cable and a tv, and how hard is it to turn on a TV?) and the marketing is extensive (who in the USA has never heard of CNN before?) The content is highly formulaic and repetitive, typical characteristics of things that only appeal to a small minority.
There are numerous business scenarios I can think of where a perfectly mainstream biz model fails because of problems with at least one of the above, but CNN and daytime news networks in general have no such excuse, they're just not mainstream anymore than sy fy channel or tennis channel is mainstream.
I'm really hoping that Al Jazeera's US campaign is at least a moderate success, but I'm not holding my breath. It'll give some much needed variation in reporting, or so I hope. Likely it will be viewed about as widely as BBC America, or less.
What all the good news programs have in common is that their natures are dictated by an authority, not by the free market.
Make of that what you will.
On the Israel/Palestine topic, both sides claim the BBC unfairly represents the other. That's pretty good going if you ask me!
We clearly need a Ministry of Truth.
What have we got now?
LOL wide viewership LOL!
google for CNN ratings and the first link I found is a press release from exactly one week ago "proudly" reporting that CNN's "New Day" program from 6 to 9 am (presumably EDT?) had a whopping 302,000 viewers.
google "united states population" claims 313.9 million, but thats not counting illegals so we'll call it a cool third of a billion.
WAY over 99% of the population is doing something other than watching CNN.
You're getting pretty far down in the weeds, getting comparable to if you asked a random person on the street, the odds of them having the same birthday as you, or they watched CNN this morning, are vaguely similar to more than a sig fig.
By comparison, the mighty GOOG combined with some basic arithmetic gives the result that "about" 125 times more people watched the superbowl than watched CNN this morning. Still only about 1/3 of the population, but getting closer to broadcasting and "wide viewership".
Its a great example of extreme narrowcasting, not broadcasting and certainly not "wide viewership". Nobody watches that stuff, they just don't culturally matter anymore. Only rare and unusual oddballs (nothing personal intended) watch TV news networks.
It's a business and the average viewer just wants to be entertained at home. They are on 24/7. You can't compare CNN to BBC or Al-Jazeera because both are subsidized. If they lived or died by their Nielsen score, it'd be another story.
Edit: I'm not condoning CNN's execution as of late. They've taken a decided turn for the worst since former NBC head Jeff Zucker took over. He ruined NBC and somehow got the CNN gig and he's rapidly destroyed what little quality remained at CNN. I really wonder how the corporate world works sometimes.
> I really wonder how the corporate world works sometimes.
Well I do. What the corporate world wants is growth. Growth at the expense of anything and everything else. And if that 3% boost is going to come at the expense of turning the entire network into light entertainment and celebrities, then well - bonus time!
I am not a communist. But I have recently begun to perceive large swathes of the free market as being a mere race to best pander to the worst aspects of the human condition; fast food and celebrity news. And you might say, the market is giving people what they want - I say, not what I want, and not what they need.
Ask a child what they want for dinner and it might be milkshakes. Milkshakes for breakfast lunch and dinner. That is our news and that is what the free market delivers us. Tell me that adults are different and I invite you to examine the diabetes rates. Tell me that at least an elite intellectual class clings on somehow and I will tell you their votes count the same as someone who cannot even spell democracy and they outnumber us 10 to 1 if not more.
I don't know what the solution is but I think we have come too far. And I think governments should provide news channels. Television is 50% education.
"When you're young, you look at television and think, There's a conspiracy. The networks have conspired to dumb us down. But when you get a little older, you realize that's not true. The networks are in business to give people exactly what they want. That's a far more depressing thought. Conspiracy is optimistic! You can shoot the bastards! We can have a revolution! But the networks are really in business to give people what they want. It's the truth."
The problem is not the system per se, but the participants. We have a market system where most people are driven by the market, instead of driving the market. Meaning, most people/companies look to the market to see what 'works' and just do that, instead of contributing something new to the marketplace and creating real progress.
Whether someone can afford the premiums and abide by the term and conditions presented is another matter.
We don't know what the failure rate of the Falcon will be, whereas we do know what the failure rate of a Proton is (~10%). Satellites are expensive and delivery is not guaranteed, so every launch provider always gives a discount to early customers who put their payload on one of the first few launches of a new system.
Pvarangot's point was that the price for booking a launch today is almost certainly less than, say, booking a launch after Falcon has had ten successful launches on its first ten attempts. If Falcon has Delta's failure rate, then SpaceX can charge a premium. If Falcon's failure rate is closer to Proton, they will have to underbid the Russians to get customers. We won't know until Falcon has a few launches under its belt. Saying they are booking launches at guaranteed prices today is true, but only gives a hint to what it will cost customers five years from now.
Soyuz is almost certainly more expensive per seat than a F9/Dragon Crewed version. 2 "passengers"(+ 1 pilot/commander) vs 5-7 passengers (+ "pilot"/commander).
What a sad outcome, hope they manage to figure out what went wrong.
The RBTH has some more footage: http://rbth.ru/news/2013/07/02/proton-m_rocket_with_glonass_...
Hopefully these folks were on the road and miles away before those fumes drifted their way.
One of the interesting questions for the Falcon9 system is whether or not the return to pad recovery system could work in an abort scenario (unlikely but you never know). I once asked a NASA engineer why they didn't put a spare parachute in to recover the payload in case of failure like this and their response was that it was cheaper to insure it than build such a system (in crewed systems the opposite is true since replacing the crew is so much more expensive). Weird to think about it that way but at least for me it made sense.
With a proper launch escape system, most failure scenarios of a liquid fuel rocket should be quite survivable. You can build working launch escape systems for solid fuel rockets too, but that is a worse situation.
IANARS
There are indeed safety reasons to prefer liquid fuel, but I don't see that this events provides any new evidence.
Consider a bucket of kerosene. Gasoline doesn't have it's own oxidizer, it uses the air for that. If you light the bucket on fire then it will burn slowly for quite a while, but if you then grab the bucket and fling it into the air then the fuel and oxidizer will mix and you'll have a rather decent fireball on your hands.
If you mix the fuel with an oxidizer first (say, ammonium nitrate....^), then you are going to have a bad situation the moment it catches; no need to shake it up.
The other major sort of engine, a hybrid engine, is even safer than either solid or liquid rockets. This is because the fuel and the oxidizer are separated and unmixed like in liquid fuel rockets but additionally the fuel is not going to be able to rapidly mix with the oxidizer if it hits the ground or something (since it is a giant chunk of basically rubber or paraffin or whatever.)
^ ...and now I'm on a watchlist.
In either case, in this situation, the crew would be long gone. The real problem comes when the failure of the launch vehicle comes with less notice. When you start designing solid fuel manned rockets you end up making mistakes like this: http://articles.orlandosentinel.com/2009-07-18/news/new_1_na...
Lets face it, any large structural breakup that breeches the tanks of a hypergolic fuel is going to cause a huge explosion regardless.
Lots of KSP references in the youtube comments: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Zl12dXYcUTo&hd=1
Spaceflight Now is one of the best sources for news concerning space launches.
Hope there aren't any cities in the rockets path.
Wait, what?
(FWIW Baikonur is still quite a way north of the Equator. AIUI a joint ESA-Russia Soyuz launch pad is now being built at the ESA launch site in French Guiana, which should save them a chunk of fuel).
In other words, launches from Canaveral need systems to ensure that a wild rocket doesn't land in downtown Orlando, while presumably launches from Baikonur don't have this problem on the same level.
Also, it's very cool that India:s launching its own GPS alternatives. The article mentions that it uses the same L5 and S bands as GPS and Galileo: isn't there any potential of interference, and will existing receivers work as-is?
Is the specific impulse much higher?
Edit: It's not, it's actually lower than kerosene. It's simply easier to ignite - that seems like a really bad reason to use it.
Same logic for the US Titan 2 (which also lead to a long-lived family of space launchers -- the last Titan IV flew in 2005), and many other smaller missiles, although recent missile designed have now mostly switched to solid propulsion.
Ignition! is a great book on the history of rocket propellants: http://www.sciencemadness.org/library/books/ignition.pdf
Thanks for the link :-)
I think this is "relatively safe" compared to hypergolics =)
You could just stop right there.
It was pretty effective at convincing me to go into chemistry for my first year at university. I understand this experience is not all that unusual. Max Gergel's memoirs are also a pretty hair raising recruitment tool.
I got out when I figured out that anecdotes about leading an o-chem org in the 40s/50s make leading an o-chem org in the 40s/50s sound like The Best Place To Be, then I figured out I'm not likely to be a o-chem org leader and the 40s/50s are not likely coming back around again anytime soon. Kind of like reading a dotcom story about the late 90s and deciding to become a web designer in 2013, you're in for a bit of a surprise...
Mach diamonds:
i've known people from areas downrange from Plesetsk. People there drink only water that is delivered from outside and still have some details in their appearance that prompts the question in the first place.
LOL that's what makes injector design and combustion instability less of a problem than for kero/LOX. Its not a bug, its a huge feature. Aside from hard starts being chemically impossible, screaming combustion modes are less likely. This means a more reliable and cheaper rocket because the ignition system that doesn't exist, can't fail, and the cooling system doesn't have to worry about screaming modes melting thru, and the injectors don't have to have weird performance robbing (heavy) acoustic baffles.
Well, these are all relative. You can still screw up the cooling system of a hypergolic nozzle or make it scream (think about it, a rocket engine is just a giant gigawatt class whistle, after all). Its just harder to screw up than nonhypergolic.
Finally from a chemical standpoint they're not environmentally stable toxins. Organomercury compounds, or tetraethyl lead, now those would be bad ideas to spray all over the environment. But UDMH and Nit Tet are "shelf stable" but not "environmentally stable". Oh they suck all right but they're going to "poison the land" for about a day, not a millenia or basically permanently. Both break down into completely harmless stuff. Of course before they breakdown, or if they end up breaking down in your liver, then not so good.
I believe Russian rockets just rely on the fact that they will either make it to space, or impact the ground at high velocity.
If you meant at the exhaust, it is the oxidizer which is red-brown.
[1] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/GLONASS#Finishing_the_constella...
That doesn't mean there's no insurance involved in the whole process. Somebody will pay out third party liability claims, for example, either .gov or some insurance co or more likely a mixture of them. But specifically launch loss insurance is something "mostly" found with commercial comsats. Note its just stereotypical. Maybe this is the first navsat I've ever heard of with launch insurance.