Hacker News Reader

I'm more skeptical. That there will be "more good startups" seems more like a wish than a prediction. Why will there be more good startups? Based off of what evidence?

I'm not necessarily disagreeing, I just wonder why he thinks so. That there will be more startups in general seems obvious, but "good" startups seem to be increasingly more elusive, at least to me.

View on HN

"it's becoming cheaper to start a startup, and startups are becoming a more normal thing to do"

The number of good startups will grow with the number of overall startups.

Maybe, in many markets the total value to capture, while likely heading up over time, is unlikely to double because there are 2 top quality startups in the space rather than one.

So often it could be the case that the competition to dominate a particular market will just be more intense.

Of course in some spaces the quality of product/ service from more startups might alter the capital distribution of customers to create a much larger pie.

Reply on news.ycombinator.com