Why Google Glass Will Fail
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The walkman delivered value I couldn't get otherwise. I wanted to carry an extra device because I wanted music, and I couldn't play music otherwise. (Unless I carried a boombox on my shoulder, which some people did in awesome rap videos).
Google glass doesn't add tremendous value over what I can currently do with my phone. It takes pictures...faster...but I can already take pictures with my phone.
FWIW, when I was an intern at Google, Sergey wore them 24/7. He looked a bit weird the first couple of times, but after that he just looks like Sergey. It's like people wearing glasses when they previously didn't. Weird for a bit, then perfectly normal afterwards.
sunglasses = cool
google glasses = dorky
99% of what Google glass can do I can do on my smartphone WITHOUT THE HASSLE and WITHOUT making me look like a dork.
Right now.
And yet, isn't one of your points that it's not a micro improvement? You're saying here it's a micro improvement on your phone... but that's a bad thing in your blog.
It's not hard to imagine Glass having a phone built in (in fact I'd welcome it, the apps I really need on my phone could easily be in Glass, and I could do without the distraction of the others), so I really am having trouble following your arguments based on a very very beta product that has plenty of years of runway to develop.
Transistor radio? Panasonic portable cassette[1]?
The Walkman had three things: size, stereo and marketing. Maybe you had a need for portable stereo playback in 1981, but for me and my friends it was the size and the marketing. Then again I never had a transistor radio, so I had no opportunity to be pre-jaded.
[1] http://3.bp.blogspot.com/_TjQbHKV2Vuc/S59ezmCHH7I/AAAAAAAAA3...
The Walkman, while creating detached non-social behavior, still only distracts the user, or a nearby busybody.
Glass turns you into that busybody, potentially prying into everyone else's business.
A potentially always-on camera recording into the cloud is unfriendly and unwelcome in a lot of ways.
For example:
1. A police will start a suspect detention, then he starts recording the procedure as well his partner, so that video goes directly to the cloud and the police station officers can have for later reviews. This could be really nice for example it would provide many point of views of the action done and a police would not be charged for abuse of force if everything is recorded and, a citizen can be protected in case the officer abuses force.
2. inventorying. Scanning code bars, access items in a database, ask for availability, many things related to store management can be done by employees.
3. Medical: doctors can record procedures and save the images/videos to their systems, they can ask talk other doctors for opinions without even picking a phone. They can check a patient historial with better specifics. They can access facts inmmidiately, like "What's the level of O(2) blood has in case X, with person who drink remedy Y". Imagine the possibilities. Or access a vademecum, etc.
There are many uses. More than the ones I would use for fun i guess.
Your examples make me think of segways...great for cops apparently...but not so awesome for domestic use cases.
What if employers start making employees wear them and have the video retained indefinitely? So that everything you saw, said and did was recorded for your employer to watch.
If this video streams to any online account, what’s to stop an outside agency from getting their hands on it.
Personally, I think it's rather upsetting that the feature people always rave about the most is the one that quickest turns us into an even more voluntary surveillance state.
TLDR: we don't need damn cameras on our damn faces. I promise your life can be fulfilling with out them.
Uhh, what? I was under the assumption, at least from all their marketing material and everything that I've heard about Glass from other people on the internet, that there are models that fit over your existing prescription glasses. No?
As for your main point: for this initial model, the main benefit it offers, that I hear from users time and time again, is the instant photo/video capability. Not having to dig your phone or camera out of your pocket / handbag is a huge win for a lot of people in the initial explorer program.
But that's not why I think the product will succeed. I can see the future potential of an always-on heads-up display, and that's just too useful to pass up. Will it ever get there? Maybe not, but I think it has a greater chance of that than failure.
We whipped up a quick adapter in a few minutes using OpenSCAD and found that the IR sensor was the pain point. http://www.thingiverse.com/thing:88426
Funny, I feel the same way about cell phones.