Battery Swap [video]
teslamotors.com
teslamotors.com
5 minutes for a petrol stop? That's insane.
With that said, it's not sensible to compare a modern european small car with the average US car. Particularly the class of car that the Model S is competing with (which are typically expensive, have a high capacity and relatively inefficient engine, and luxury interior).
At least, Elon is honest about it and says "this is about convincing the people that are skeptics". (And not about making a fair comparison.)
An Audi A6, in the US at least, gets 33 highway MPG and has a 19.8 gallon fuel tank.
And yes, of course you charge the Tesla more often. You charge it every night when you come home, and it's ready with a full charge the next morning. That's just a totally different usage pattern from only filling up when it gets low like you do with a gasoline powered car.
I'd bet that most Tesla drivers will never have to stop to recharge, mostly because they will use their Tesla around town, and will take long trips in another car or fly, because Tesla owners are wealthy.
EDIT: converted imperial gallons to US
That's probably true, but much of the recent marketing around battery swaps and transcontinental charging networks is aimed specifically at road trips. I suppose one would argue that they're working on this infrastructure now for the future when much more affordable EVs are available.
The only "regular" capacity unit that I know of comes from a deliberate attempt to normalize every units. Namely, the Litre from the metric system.
Smug Frenchman
Or maybe more interesting but historical "ale gallon" and "wine gallon".
Edit: I checked again, he pumps for 2.5 minutes and gets exactly 23 gallons. So I guess the pump isn't as fast as Elon says on stage. But it still surprised me because, well, that's about twice as long as what I'm used to :)
It takes about 3-5 minutes to fill up a large-tank performance car, similar in features and trim to the Model S. It takes about 2-4 minutes to fill up a smaller car. It takes less than 2 minutes to "fill up" a Model S.
It takes about 10 minutes if you also use the restroom. Are we going to start factoring that into the comparison? If not, I'm out.
As for the reality of this swap deal. Well, it sounds like a logistical pain in the ass. You are required to come back and get your original battery pack back or pay the difference in cost for the new one. Option number two could be in the thousands of dollars. That means your trip logistics now have to adjust to the location of that particular station or else.
Hypothetically, say you travel from LA to SFO and stay there for work for three months. Will they hold your original battery pack or will it be used to swap into other cars? Your battery could end-up in Nebraska. Then what? How many stations will have this tech and when?
Are they, perhaps, going to charge and store your pack and then somehow ship it to a station near you for reclaiming? If that's the case that would make for a very expensive power-up.
At the end of the day I fail to see how this might convince skeptics unless they suck at math and logical reasoning. Sadly this is very much like their creative financing scheme.
Cool tech but it would have been nice to have gotten far more detail on all points.
Don't get me wrong. I really like Tesla. I am waiting for the SUV and will more than likely buy two of them.
Coming back to get a battery is absurd, and should never happen.
I've tried to see it from my interlocutors' point of view, but the point still isn't getting through to me, I'm afraid.
If Tesla only loans you a Tesla battery and you have to swap back to yours that they don't give anywhere else, that could make it manageable.
Put another way, it would be like leasing the car itself. If you abuse a leased car severely enough, there's a good chance the dealer will find some evidence of it when you turn the car in. In return for not having to pay as much for the battery, and being able to swap it out at any time, you would have an economic incentive not to discharge it excessively or otherwise mistreat it.
You pay a fee to change the battery; The charging station then recharges it and swaps it to another tesla, and so on.
Looks like it's held on by 18-20 bolts.
I imagine they'll get rid of the "come back for your battery" functionality eventually. It's just kind of goofy and unnecessary.
Credit me if I get a slightly older/more worn battery than the one I was driving with, bill me if I get a slightly newer battery, and use this system as a way to pretty much eliminate the whole panic surrounding electric cars and what happens when the battery gets old and decrepit.
If the system demands a shorter lifecycle for batteries before they're reconditioned (as you'd really want to avoid DRASTIC differences in cost and performance between batteries of the same class when people pull into a station) it might add some cost to the overall system. I don't believe it will represent a profound increase in cost.
The reason they do this would be because otherwise someone with a 3 year old battery that needs replacement would be able to get a new battery effectively for free.
Battery replacement is a huge problem with electric and hybrid vehicles right now. The cost of replacing the battery is similar to the cost of replacing a combustion engine, yet the battery will wear out considerably sooner. A good system like this could remove that factor entirely.
A company called BetterPlace[0] has/had plans to do this.
[0] http://www.betterplace.com/How-it-Works/battery-switch-stati...
I suppose it's probably using tech similar to what's on a factory floor. If you need to fasten/unfasten twelve bolts, and you want to do it very fast, you just use twelve separate air ratchets on a tooling. If you need to move a thousand pounds of battery, you use an arm that is designed to do just that, and only that.
These things are in the floor of a car. I would imagine cars deal with much worse environmental conditions than a dedicated battery swapping station.
You could say the same about the car itself, but that appears to work just fine in the elements.
I'm out, this argument is pointless.
Offhand, I'm not sure if the specific battery chemistry requires vents for in/out-gassing, or whether you could reasonably fully seal them. Or I suppose you could[3] have the battery pack detect such a condition and use its power to electrolyse some water to keep the pack at positive pressure. Or maybe some kind of self-destruct that dumps the stored energy into a chemical reaction or passivates the cells somehow (wave hands)
[1] http://jalopnik.com/5956179/more-than-a-dozen-fisker-karma-h...
[2] http://www.motorauthority.com/news/1080277_fisker-determines...
[3] points will be awarded for the number of different ways this is a bad idea
1. The Tesla driver does NOT need to get out of the car (screw rain and bugs).
2. It IS a reasonable time (no need to sit in a diner and wait)
3. The mileage limitation is becoming less limiting (no different than making sure a long trip has a gas station on the way).
Whats the big deal with getting out anyway?
Also if you have kids in the car, it's convenient, it's like asking why are there drive thru's at restaurants, car washes, and atm machines.
Not sure that #1 applies to everyone...I remember on a road trip, in Oregon it's against the law for me to fill my OWN tank.
EDIT: Added wife's 2 cents
In contrast, I do see the value in having a battery exchange (it's something they can do better for me than I could do myself). In that case, not getting out of the car is still essentialy a non-factor for me, but it does end up being a tiny perk.
I have a hard time doing that with a car full of adults. (Though, to be fair, the cases I'm thinking of involved musicians.)
[1] http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/06/21/us-tesla-swap-idUS...
"Drivers who choose to swap must reclaim their original battery on their return trip or pay the difference in cost for the new pack."
That seems... inconvenient.
I envisioned it as an insurance-like system: you pay for battery swaps, which cost X amount, which goes toward the collective maintenance of all the batteries in the whole system. Thus you don't have to worry about which battery is yours, or the health of your battery, or anything about the battery anymore. That simplicity alone makes it worth the price of admission.
If they're worried about specific batteries and specific costs and specific maintenance tied to you, then I think they system has too many complex details to make it an easy snap decision. UX won't be as good, not as smooth, and it'll deter people from using the service... I think they need to go the collective route to make this work.
It should be like battery insurance: you'd just never have to worry about it, and there would be an extremely smart system ensuring the health of every Tesla battery on the road. "Should" being the key word here... but maybe that's the plan, hard to say.
(Are the Model S batteries even that cheap?)
BUT (grammar aside), I think the high margin may be the push for a franchise model for investors for charging/swapping stations. Especially when you consider BMW, and Toyota are both consulting with Tesla, and Elon may be aiming for a more affordable ($40k I vaguely remember hearing) vehicle to add to their lineup.
http://www.wbur.org/npr/159355676/dont-charge-that-electric-...
http://apps1.eere.energy.gov/news/news_detail.cfm/news_id=12...
Unfortunately, the greatest hindrance when it comes to great innovation and progress (that even Tesla is facing in other states) is politics.
However, I'm long on Tesla and I don't doubt Elon Musk for a second. He has electrical engineers (Tesla), computer technicians (Paypal...evident in Tesla's software), ..... and something that I can't believe is in his network.... rocket scientist (Space X...remember the saying "it's not rocket science," implies difficulty). To be as successful as he is, I'm sure he has political backing, it's just unfortunate that in politics, the basis is big bank takes little bank.
[0] http://online.wsj.com/article/SB1000142412788732404950457854...
The mere fact that you have batteries being swapped in and out of cars means you can systematically track battery health and refurbish batteries that are getting low, without ever having to bother the customer or affect the driveability of the car.
The $40 (or so) battery swap fee is not for the electricity or the infrastructure, it is an insurance payment on the battery itself. You're paying for the collective maintenance of all Tesla batteries, and in turn ensuring the health and ease of your own.
The last remaining argument against electric has always been the charge time, and "oh, but the battery costs $15,000 when it finally dies out"—I always knew a system of battery swap was the answer to basically everything, and I thought Tesla was doing it wrong by coming out with a fixed-battery car.
Turns out I was wrong. They're doing everything exactly right.
A battery pack swap will cost between $60 and $80,
about the same as filling up a 15-gallon gas tank,
Musk said. Drivers who choose to swap must reclaim
their original battery on their return trip or pay
the difference in cost for the new pack.
So, I think they're not quite tackling the battery quality problem like you're suggesting. I think your idea makes a lot more sense than coming back to reclaim your battery later, though. I find that very odd.I hope that's where they're going, because it's the crux of the concept to me.
Otherwise you're charging it at home, at work, or using a supercharger while you eat lunch.
You may only swap the batt 10 times or less in those 37,500 miles. And you still get all the battery-quality advantages.
If you were to swap the battery every time, this would look to be a poor bargain. But if the battery is swapped only once per ten "empties", because for the other 9 it was convenient to charge it, then the calculation would be redone for 10x the distance at the same price.
So, you are both right, but talking about slightly different things (typical use for a commuter with occasional trips, vs long-distance-only users).
Now you also have the choice of swapping, which provides you with a guarantee of a constantly healthy battery, a fast full charge, and continuous long-distance capability.
I see your point—if you're doing 37,500 miles of long-distance, you're going to eventually pay for the battery cost over time. Possibly. But you have the choice, and it's going to be amortized over so many snap decisions that it's more like, "the convenience of this is worth $40 to me right now," rather than thinking of it as the cost of a new battery.
I think it works out, personally. And for most people, charging is a perfectly acceptable way to drive the car. I think people won't really swap the battery that often, and when they do it'll be because they need the time benefit, and that's the value proposition.
For others, they get the same battery-life and battery-health benefits by swapping only once in a while, or hell, even only when their current battery dies completely. Basically, everyone wins, and it's still about the same cost as gas for a 22mpg car, even if you swap 50% of the time. If you swap less than that, it's cheaper to operate in the same period of time. Simple as that.
So that makes about 7 years (pessimistic) to pay as much as for a new battery pack.
So, use a bigger number than 100, it helps some, but not tremendously.
The bigger issue, I think, is what's the likelihood that your house/grid will drain your car battery before it can be recharged enough for you to be able to drive somewhere?
And you just _know_ someone is going to complain about "my car battery was drained without my permission! privacy rights! privacy rights!"
Or even without a truck, if you weren't going as far, you could sell some of your energy to other cars behind you.
WCPGW?
( 85 KWhr / 90 sec) * ( 3600 sec / hr ) = 3400 KW = 3.4 MW
3.4 megawatts, not bad.Secondly here in the UK we have fully automated petrol stations and they have a low theft rate, high quality CCTV plus the need to put in a credit/debit card before it'll start pumping makes sure of that.
There are other issues with this technology but theft I can't see becoming a major one.
I was disappointed recently when cycling east out of Edinburgh to see that pretty much all of the solar powered lights along the path between Newcraighall and the Queen Margaret University campus have been systematically robbed. Initially I thought it was vandalism but after looking at a few it was clear that each one had been broken into for the batteries - nothing else was damaged. There must be 50+ lights - pretty much all robbed.
The battery packs looked fairly large and as this is a cycle/foot path they presumably had to use some kind of transport (hand trolley?).
:-(
I don't know much about the lighting on this path, but I wouldn't have thought they were using expensive batteries? Then again people die stealing copper worth a few hundred quid.
These things are all valuable, just have to account for that and protect accordingly. I'm sure everything is entirely automated and secure, and I'm sure there are going to start being attendants watching over everything.
It's not like you can just steal these batteries and sell them on the black market. Considering how much they weigh, it's probably near impossible to replace/install a new battery yourself.
If 1% of batteries get stolen (which is probably way higher than it'll actually be), then the price of batteries will increase by 1% to factor it in.
If that causes battery swaps to be uneconomical, so be it, the we'll figure out something else.
This could be just as secure as an ATM.
I wonder how long before people start thinking before posting their opinions on the internet...
Can't we all just use some common sense before we start jumping to conclusions?
[1] http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/worldnews/europe/germany/981...
Why shouldn't the pack phone home? Why wait for drop off or exchange to report how it operates? If anything a black box system in one of these packs could provide a wealth of immediate information about operating characteristics that would benefit Tesla and battery manufacturers. It could all be done fully protecting the drivers privacy.
I feel like it'd be easier just to siphon someone's gas...
With batteries for a Tesla, I bet there are more than a few people with screwdrivers and three portable car jacks that would be very happy to make >$5k/night. If the Tesla design becomes a commodity, theft may become a problem.
Would an A8 Audi owner pay more to fill up faster? Nope. Because it doesn't actually take very long.