For some example algorithms that are not vulnerable to quantum computers, see: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Post-quantum_cryptography
Also, it would be quite remarkable if the NSA had quantum computers capable of breaking 2048 RSA or PGP keys. Possible, but extremely unlikely.
It doesn't seem improbable that the NSA are already recording encrypted communications because they are cheap to store and and have a reasonable chance of being broken in the future. They don't even need to break the algorithm for that data to become useful.
In particular SSL encrypted web traffic of sites they suspect they might physically raid (or have cooperation with) in future seem like an excellent target. Although hopefully the increasing awareness and deployment of perfect forward secrecy should help with that attack.
Not the other way round.
Unless they are secretly borrowing people hired on at e.g. the DoE, I just don't see it.
[1] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/In-Q-Tel
[2] http://www.dwavesys.com/en/pressreleases.html#investment_201...
Because of the current developments int the press this challenge is being viewed in the context of the NSA, but other foreign intelligence services also pose a threat to user data.
True, but it's the public key cryptography in use today that I'm concerned with!
Reason why it might be: 80% of the Tor Project's $2M annual budget comes from the United States government (says wiki), this perhaps implies that the US gov. has some influence or control over what goes into Tor, and so if there's anyone who knows how to identify Tor users, it's the US gov.
Reason why it might not be: Snowden had Tor stickers on his laptop, that sort of lends credence to the fact that NSA doesn't have it down yet on how to id Tor users and it is still a good and reliable anonymity tool.
I need to reinstate my moratorium on reading HN prism discussions. I can't wait to tell people:
"Its not the academic literature or availability of the source code that makes me confident in tor's security, its the stickers I saw on a laptop"
Also, do you have more info about the courier/motorbike thing? It sounds interesting.
Besides, the government can easily get human informants; there's no such thing as a truly trusted courier system.