Senator Biden On NSA Database (2006) [video]
cbsnews.com
cbsnews.com
MR. SMITH: Well, the president, though, said yesterday, we're not listening to the phone calls; we're just looking for patterns.
SEN. BIDEN: Harry, I don't have to listen to your phone calls to know what you're doing. If I know every single phone call you made, I'm able to determine every single person you talked to; I can get a pattern about your life that is very, very intrusive.
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Mind blown. I think history just went into an infinite loop because it EXACTLY repeated itself in just seven years.It is only evil when the other guys are doing it.
Similarly, I'm not getting too riled up about all this, since I thought programs like this were Constitutional back when "my guy" was running them.
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=5864729 ... looks like Republicans and Democrats are pretty close in their consistency. Small sample, but usually what you see on most similar issues.
Democrat Views of NSA Surveillance (Pew)
Jan 2006 - 37% Acceptable, 61% Unacceptable
June 2013 - 64% Acceptable, 34% Unacceptable
Change: +27% -27%
Also despite a more negative wording of the question (in my opinion):Jan 2006: "NSA has been investigating people suspected of terrorist involvement by secretly listening in on phone calls & reading emails without court approval..."
June 2013: "NSA has been getting secret court orders to track calls of millions of Americans to investigate terrorism..."
Not that Republicans are any better. They went the other way for probably similar political reasons. But at least, in my opinion, they are moving in the right direction for now. I think I can safely predict this will at least partially reverse next republican president[1].
http://www.people-press.org/2013/06/10/majority-views-nsa-ph...
[1] Edit: Interesting side effect of democracy: since our leaders have the support of a majority of voters the cognitive dissonance of voting for someone who supports policies you don't like will lead a significant portion to support those policies anyway.
The 2006 question askes about warrantless wiretapping ("listening in on phone calls...without court approval")
The 2013 questions asks about tracking calls (not listening in) under FISA warrants ("secret court orders to track calls").
Not the same thing.
Just to be clear, that's not at all the same thing. FISA warrants have always been allowed to be quite broad, and were primarily concerned with identifying that there was a foreign intelligence target and that appropriate minimization procedures were in place, exactly as is the case now.
What was at issue in 2006 had no review from anyone outside of the executive branch for either of those issues.
You can oppose what is being done now, but you cannot (without erroneously assuming that everyone else in the world agrees with you on everything but partisanship) validly look at the 2006 polls and the 2013 polls, especially given the difference in both the kind of surveillance at issue (listening in vs. call tracking) and the procedures at issue (warrantless vs. FISA warrants) and makes claims about consistency because they aren't about the same things, even if you think that people should feel the same about them.
I actually agree with you about the wording of the poll and the difference between the metadata collection and "warrantless wiretapping". But hey, all the stuff HN is going nuts about for the past week was all cleared by the FISA court, AFAICT, so the lack of that fig leaf wasn't really what would have pissed off a consistent citizen in 2006, no?
Assuming by "a consistent citizen" you mean the same people "going nuts" on HN, probably not.
But that's not really relevant, now, is it?
On one hand listening/reading without warrant is worse than tracking with secret order. But on the other hand targeting suspected terrorists is not as bad as targeting millions of Americans. After all that might be you!
The theory is that a secret court order procedure on much broader surveillance program is enough to make NSA's surveillance acceptable to 27% of Democrats seems farfetched to me.
Of course the clencher is that the new program is IN ADDITION TO the continuing 2006 program. This was not mentioned in the poll question. Too bad most people don't understand this.
The procedural difference isn't the only difference in either the public facts or, more relevantly, the poll questions, and the issue isn't that it explains the entire difference, its that the difference in the circumstances and the poll questions makes the conclusion that the swing reflects a change of opinion on the same thing (whether partisan or otherwise) invalid.
SEN. BIDEN: But this idea that no court will review, no Congress will know, and we've got to trust the president and the vice president of the United States that they're doing the right thing, don't count me in on that.
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Mind blown x 2
Unfortunately, we seem to have a lot of idiots: http://www.people-press.org/files/2013/06/6-10-13-4.png
Can a change in administration be the sole cause of such a change in heart? Perhaps, but it is uncharitable (to say the least) to dismiss changes in public sentiment as the product of partisan politics and simple minds. Uncharitable, and unproductive.
Same goes for MSNBC, but just replace right-wing with left-wing.
MSNBC doesn't seem to have fully earned the complementary title, though it certainly leans that way.
"The Republican response went from 75% to 23% under George W. Bush to 52% to 47% under Barack Obama. If we assume the swing was entirely partisan--that is, if we exclude the possibility that some Republicans opposed the policy under Bush and favor it now--that means 52% of Republicans are consistent in support and 23% consistent in opposition.
The Democratic response went from 37% to 61% under Bush to 64% to 34% under Obama. Making the same assumption as above, that means 37% of Democrats are consistent in support and 34% consistent in opposition.
Add the figures together and you come up with 75% of Republicans and 71% of Democrats consistent in their positions, which would mean that well under one-third of partisans switched for partisan reasons."
Another factor is that some people, I believe especially more recent immigrants, are suspicious that phone pollsters are not disinterested researchers of anonymous opinion, but rather testing loyalty or trying to identify people to persecute. (That is, are you sure it's really a pollster, and not the NSA/CIA/DHS/DEA/FBI/INS calling?)
Such people might be especially prone to identifying as the same party as, and refusing to complain on record about, "the powerful". This could throw in an extra few percent "Dem/OK-with-NSA" today, and would have thrown in extra "GOP/OK-with-NSA" then.
The 2006 poll question asked about warrantless wiretapping by the NSA (it specified both "listening in on telephone calls" and "without a warrant".)
The 2013 poll questioned asked about asked tracking call information under "secret court orders", which is neither listening in on calls or done without a warrant. They are two different things; it is a mistake to treat them as the same thing and consider different reactions to them as inconsistent.
(Though, given the specific differences, shifting from supporting the former to opposing the latter is something I find odd, but I suppose it could be consistent and not based on pure partisanship if it was grounded, for example, in a strong ideological opposition to the idea of judges overseeing executive national security actions.)
This is ironic considering how much they hate the government...
http://www.nytimes.com/1987/09/18/us/biden-admits-plagiarism...
http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/fact-checker/post/bidens...
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=aznaD8yzVjM
I simply cannot understand how his base, including most of the media, is sticking with him through all of this, but they are. This will likely lead to additional brazen constitutional violations by this and the next administration, regardless of political party, because there are no consequences for any of them regardless of what they do. I weep for the future.
MR. SMITH: All right, Senator Joe Biden, thank you for joining us this morning; do appreciate it.
SEN. BIDEN: Thank you very much, Charlie.
MR. SMITH: Harry.
SEN. BIDEN: Appreciate it.
MR. SMITH: That's all right.
He has an almost Clinton-like ability to remain likable ... but whatever you think Clinton was actually like, he came off as sharper conversationally than Biden.
Still, the ability to remain likable in spite of gaffes seems to be vital in Presidential politics -- look at Bush/Kerry.
If SNL did a recurring imitation of Biden in an unflattering light, making up things he didn't really say or just repeating the really dumb ones over and over - Biden would be perceived a lot more like Sarah Palin or at best Dan Quayle.
Here are a couple of examples off of Youtube. The first one, they went out of their way to make Biden look large and in charge.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yl8LcbtQ75A
This second one, Biden is commiserating with George W. on being second in command. So even when imitating Biden, they make sure to really make Bush the butt of the joke.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6lyZrtd83Mk
The SNL folks have long admitted that they used their skits to push a political agenda:
http://www.worldtribune.com/tv/videos/as-stupid-as-he-acts-c...
EDIT: Adding the 'Biden Bash'[1]
[1] http://www.nbc.com/saturday-night-live/video/biden-bash/n320...
So despite a very well known SNL actor's ADMITTING that what they did was focused and political. Despite his extraordinarily relevant insight stating that they still do it that way... that's just how I see it?
At some point you have to wonder if your theories are falsifiable or if they're just dogma.
Second, I was talking about how you think SNL is building up Biden with positive sketches. I don't agree that they are very positive. Sorry if that's my opinion.
Third, no shit they push a political agenda but its probably less biased than Fox News. They do attack those who are insanely inferior politically (Palin, Perry, Bachmann) because they can and should. I'm just saying that dumb Democrat decisions don't get the kid gloves you seem to be just so sure they do. After the election there hadn't been a lot of noteworthy political sketches this season, they didn't seem to be able to make light of the gun control debate, the sequester, etc.
See we fell for the promise that they would end illegal surveillance of Ameicans
We thought that meant no more surveillance on Americans.
Instead they just made it "legal".
I really cannot believe they did that word game and we fell for it.
If any good has come from either of the last two administrations it may simply be that more people on both sides of the popular political spectrum have become convinced that the government is not our friend.
In other words they've made it easier to do all that surveillance if they choose to, but as far as I'm aware even Snowden has not claimed to see the NSA actually track an American down using the system, only that the NSA could do it easily.
While that is certainly a serious matter that warrants public debate, it's not the same as what you're referring to (which makes me wonder why... it's not like this issue requires any exaggeration).
To have so many people switch their minds about privacy and to have this so secret for so long means there has got to be something BIG that they heard of day one of their jobs that drastically changed their value-system/world-view.
My guess is Snowden didn't have the whole picture (b/c he worked for a contractor)
Another theory is that Stuxnet stopped Iran nuking San Diego.. but that didn't require recording the private communications of everyone on the planet.
I was just speculating.
I think this is a rather unique situation where a lot of pro-privacy people seemed to have switched sides.
That raises questions. What everyone seems to be concluding is that these people were insincere before and now their true colors are coming out. That sounds highly improbably and very conspiracy-theory-ish.
It's more likely that there is a lot going on than we know about. It doesn't necessarily make it okay.
It's just something to think about.