I suspect there are a lot of super casual bro-gamers who will buy the new Xbox out of habit for their COD and FIFA and Madden playing.
But then you have people like me. I'm a gamer across both the PC and various consoles. The last two gens, the Xboxes were my primary console and until Sony and Microsoft started talking about their respective next consoles, I had just assumed I would buy the Xbox One and not the PS4, but seeing the two options mostly in the light now, well, I've pre-ordered a PS4 on Amazon and have no intention of buying an Xbox One. This decision is likely to directly spill over to at least half a dozen people I play games with if not more.
Microsoft really fucked themselves with the positioning of the Xbox One and at this point I don't see how they'll be able to fix it in time for launch. I'm sure they'll still sell millions of units, but this is still an epic failure that I'm pretty positive will cost them their current leadership role in the space for the next gen.
We'll have to wait and see how this translates into sales, but Sony won a lot of points for not caving to publishers on these issues.
I suspect a lot of gamers also aren't keen on the Kinect, so the extra $100 for it is another downside.
Unless they make a very overt overture towards the end of the life of that console ... In 15-20 years time, when the servers go down and the lights go out. It will be a useless piece of plastic.
Hell, in 15-20 years time even the non-collectors who hung onto their consoles will be screwed.
Unless the pirates manage to save it from obsolescence.
More expensive, less powerful, Comes with anti-consumer restrictions
It's a no-brainer.
Did you type that with a straight face?
Because they want to play the games that are only available on it. Or they want to play games with their friends on xbox live. Those can be very powerful motivators, games and friends aren't commodities.
I certainly hope this happens. I for one, hate platform exclusive games - it means vendor lock in, and it is anti-consumer.