Texas won't allow Tesla to sell electric cars directly
treehugger.com
treehugger.com
Doesn't change the fact that your first statement is not factual anymore. Given time I think we (Texans) can eventually stop / vote out all these morons who think legislating morality is their job - we've been headed that way last few elections anyway.
www.huffingtonpost.com/2013/05/31/willie-smith-ward-rib-theft_n_3365554.html
That's "justice", Texas style. Better than the Taliban's, I suppose. But not by much.
The sentence is somewhat harsh (eligible for parole in 12.5), but your comparison to the Taliban is absurd.
EDIT:
somewhat harsh in relative comparison to normal American sentencing standards, since the goal is apparently to single out Texas as some horrible place where sentencing is too harsh. I will now point out draconian three-strikes laws in other more progressive states that would have had him in jail for life.
Make no mistake, I think American criminal courts and sentencing are too harsh in general and our prisons are horrible travesties of justice. But the singling out of this state is what I'm calling absurd - all of American criminal sentencing is broken.
However, are you seriously suggesting that 50 years imprisonment is only somewhat harsh?! Taking 12.5 years at the minimum before being eligible for parole for stealing $35 ribs and "threatening" someone?
By the way, saying "I've got a knife" and calling that a threat is both a stretch of what it means to threaten and what it means to call something a "violent act".
$35 food theft != 50 years imprisonment. That is fucking insane, not somewhat harsh.
Why in the fuck does that have anything to do with the severity of the sentence?
Should we start valuing people based on their probability to cure cancer or start the next Google?
I'm not sure about this case, but it could much like the three strike laws mentioned above. He only got five years for the robbery, five years for the threat, and forty years for his habitual criminal activity. As stated, in three-strike territory he possibly would have gotten life simply for the robbery of $35 worth of ribs.
I agree with the above, singling out Texas as some kind of outlier for this type of thing doesn't seem quite right.
Life imprisonment for stealing $35 of food is bullshit. Repeat offender or not.
There's a fundamental problem with a society that is okay with an increasing prison population spending their entire adult lives there because of terminal sentences on the basis of recidivism.
Increasing sentences for recidivism itself is constitutionally debatable, I think, though I'm not sure if it has been challenged on that basis. This is America, though. It'd probably stand cos we like the idea of systemic incarceration as a means to low crime rates.
I don't like to harp on things that have become politicized too often, but this particular case stands in such stark contrast to bankers who made off with billions, none of whom to my knowledge are spending the rest of their lives in a common prison.
That's why the howls of injustice, to quote another commenter. $35 in ribs, taken by repeat offender, is apparently a greater crime against society than the repeat offense of fleecing the entire society.
When will people get the difference between theft and robbery through their heads? One is a property crime. The other is a violent crime.
But sure, just go ahead and say you'll get 50 years for shoplifting. You get more clicks and you can be seen as indignant and virtuous.
EDIT: Ok, so I'm wrong about Ward actually threatening the clerk. But he was a multiple felon, and the jury apparently believed the testimony that he had a knife (which would have been illegal for a multiple felon to carry).
My comments in general still apply to many, many stories that are presented the way I originally described.
If you did, you'd understand that yes, it was shoplifting. He was apprehended after the fact, at which point the shoplifting was discovered. When asked if he had anything else, he replied that he had a knife, but didn't actually show it.
In other words, there was no violence committed or even threatened in the course of the crime. There was no violence committed or credibly threatened after the fact. There was simply a statement, which could easily be seen as a confession, that he had a knife in his possession.
Well we can't all have the outstanding records of quality policing of places like California...
Jeffersonian democrats certainly were against that idea, as evidenced by nullification, which was in issue up until the civil war.
Maybe the federalists, but it sounds extreme even for them.
It sounds like something that the northern politicians had in mind in the late 19th century or maybe early 20th century.
i know its OT, but could you expand on that idea?
That our constitution ended up vague on these issues-- and the existence of the Senate with its state-appointed representitives-- is owed to negotiation and comprimise. Of course, Washington presided over the congress on these issues, he was not himself a delegate, so you don't have a lot of direct quotes on these topics but what we know has been pieced together over the years from his (limited) correspondence and 2nd party accounts.
Texas love executing people. Since 1976 Texas executed 498 people, the state in second place is Virginia with 110. Also, their supreme court does not hear criminal matters, only civil, because it makes the appeals process for executing people faster.
But yeah, the law is a strange thing.
The worst, incidentally, is Oklahoma, at about 1 per 40,000 residents.
Median 1
Texas 20
Ok 25
No. Texas simply has separate civil and criminal courts. The Court of Criminal Appeals is the supreme court for criminal cases. The Texas Supreme Court is the supreme court for civil cases. A convict can appeal through the intermediate appellate courts and then the Court of Criminal Appeals (and then perhaps later state-level collateral attack or even federal habeas). The criminal appellate process in Texas has as many steps in it as most states have.
Texas Penal Code 43.21 DEFINITIONS (7) "Obscene device" means a device including a dildo or artificial vagina, designed or marketed as useful primarily for the stimulation of human genital organs.
Sec. 43.23. OBSCENITY. (a) A person commits an offense if, knowing its content and character, he wholesale promotes or possesses with intent to wholesale promote any obscene material or obscene device.
If I made this up, people would tell me it was laughably unrealistic :)
2) What's stopping Tesla from partnering with Toyota dealers?
3) With its $10B valuation, Tesla could build 10 very nice dealerships for 1% of its valuation.
But, if the regulation was a big problem for the corporate interests? The regulations would definitely not still be here. When it comes to money and regulations, I like to picture water acting on rock over time -- they get carved away a little bit at a time.
My guess is Tesla not wanting to slap a bunch of dealer costs on top of the cost of the cars.
> Tesla could build 10 very nice dealerships for 1% of its valuation.
As I understand it, Tesla owning those dealerships would be just as illegal. If Tesla doesn't own the dealerships, they're either going to share the profits of the sold cars with the dealership or deal with the dealers markup and dealers fees increasing the costs of the cars.
Also I don't see why being able to sell directly to consumers should be count as a "special rule". On the contrary, being forced to find a dealer in the "network" to work between you and your consumer is.
Tesla would probably be fine with allowing everyone direct dealerships, but the dealerships are not.
Tesla has no existing dealer network, and therefore has no need to have said non-existed dealer network protected from them.
Laws are laws. Either change the law or enforce it. That's fair. Not cronyism.
Tesla shouldn't get special rules. Tesla probably advocates a non-special-rule model.
-Anatole France
Early on, cars were sold by local dealers. Later, when manufacturers wanted to sell direct they learned that local politicians cared more about the business down the street than some giant company in Detroit. Therefore, all manner of state and local laws got passed to protect dealerships' turf.
In a lot of ways, car dealerships are perfectly suited to exercise power in state legislatures. No matter what poduck district a state lawmaker comes from there are probably several car dealers there. They're often some of the most locally famous people thanks to the amount of advertising their businesses do. I couldn't name my gradeschool teacher from 30 years ago but I sure could tell you who owned the largest car dealership in the area... and sing his radio jingle.
By contrast, few state lawmakers have a Ford or GM plant in their district.
It has less to do with money and more to do with interest.
And the law is stupid: it protects a method of sale which is altogether irrelevant to the economy, except in the sense that dealerships want the law because it prevents competition and secures their position in the market. Preventing competition is not in the best interest of the economy, the people, or the government, so the law should be changed.
Why is this (I'm not familiar with the way it works in the US)?
If you're looking for the justifications, here's an explanation from a Cato article (pp. 3-6):
Why Restrictions on Online Auto Sales?
The franchise laws that inhibit the new business models for car sales from spreading online are defended as being important for protecting dealers and consumers from automobile manufacturers. Defenses of those laws, which became widespread in the 1950s, revolve around two arguments: first, that restrictive franchise laws are needed to protect consumers and, second, that such laws are needed to protect distributors from rapacious manufacturers[...]
http://www.npr.org/blogs/money/2013/02/19/172402376/why-buyi...
I suspect it would be better for everyone if special dealership regulations were broken down. But, given that Tesla is a new car company, without any historical dealership agreements, why should they be bound the inefficient legal infrastructure that essentially cropped up around private contractual agreements between other car companies and dealers.
I know the dealership laws are awful, but IMO we should be focusing on changing those laws instead of giving special treatment to particular companies.
The world does not work that way. You can not put off inventing transport just because you have not invented teleportation yet. Things work in small steps.
Nobody is saying the law is at all fair to Ford, GM, Toyota, etc. It's not. They should be able to sell directly to consumers also. The law was lobbied for by dealers in Texas, and signed by America's greatest president, George W. Bush, when he was still governor of Texas. Bush was a true conservative who believed in free market principles, except for when he wasn't.
Let's not pretend this is Tesla vs. Ford/GM/Toyota. This is Tesla vs. the good old boy, rent-seeker network that is the auto dealer lobby.
Car dealerships are some of the last dynasty busineses. Ever wonder why most family run businesses eventually fail when an incompetent son/daughter takes over, but dealerships just stay around for 3 or 4 generations? Its because its a rigged market that requires no skill. The profits don't come from adding value. They come from gouging consumers.
Tesla is just a new reminder that we are being screwed, and they don't have the inventory to support the network of the dealership mafiosos and their fratboy progeny.
"Dude, my dad owns this dealership, so I totally know business bro......" (overheard at every frat party ever)
ftp://ftp.legis.state.tx.us/bills/83R/billtext/html/senate_bills/SB01600_SB01699/SB01659I.htm ftp://ftp.legis.state.tx.us/bills/83R/billtext/html/house_bills/HB03300_HB03399/HB03351I.htm
The above are linked from here:
http://www.teslamotors.com/advocacy_texas
I believe the issue bob13579 is bringing up (in the least helpful and most aggravating way possible) is that these bills effectively single out Tesla. Read the amendment in section 1. I think it means that the exclusion would only apply to electric- or battery-only car manufacturers doing business in Texas on or before 3/1/2013. This is surely only Tesla.
My opinion is that the existing law should not exist. But it does, and (again, my opinion) if this bill had 'done the right thing' and tried to remove the protection for all dealers, it would have received even less consideration.
Is this protectionism something that can be tested for constitutionality in the courts? Has it been already? It seems like the sort of thing that ought to get litigated.
Although in the last legislative session the rules got relaxed somewhat ( especially for brewpubs ), its still pretty similar.
Shallow articles like the link don't really help the situation. We really need to start looking at removing the government from business models when there is no actual public safety aspect(1). This is a much wider problem.
1) I do believe Florida is one of the state that licenses interior designers on the theory poor interior design could kill someone. This too should be revoked as it is among the stupidest safety concerns ever.
Hard to tell if you're trolling or showing what wrong-headed arguments are used by the industry to justify anti-competive laws.
EDIT: Typo, correct 'marker' to 'market'.
The car dealer, alcohol and sex laws are all from a long time ago. The alcohol and sex laws are being changed rapidly here.
If only place Texas politics gets really weird is with education and schoolbooks where a small, vocal group concentrates its effort.
[1] http://www.com.ohio.gov/liqr/docs/liqr_HB243highlights2012.p...
I suppose Pennsylvania does not quite have that same 'exceptionalist' attitude as Texas does.
This is true in most states. It isn't a 'Texas' problem, it's a 'USA' problem.
Of course all of the car manufacturers will protest that, and their lobbyists are more powerful than Tesla's.
But the real plan is for Tesla to make cars and sell them where it can. In time as people see more and more of them being sold and winning awards, they will ask why they can't buy them. Tesla has to lay the groundwork for that now in as many states as it can, but at the moment production seems like more of a bottleneck for them than marketing and sales.
First of all, smart companies understand that the key to profit margins is to have barriers to entry. The need to develop a dealer network is a huge barrier to entry, and car manufacturers have an interest in preserving that.
Secondly, choosing to expand vertically can be a fast route to chaos. For instance suppose that Ford decided to get into running its own dealerships. All existing Ford dealers would get nervous, many would switch brands, and others already sell multiple brands and would direct their customers away from Ford. Therefore Ford would have to be very, very careful about opening its own dealerships.
Thirdly, even if car manufacturers want to get rid of the dealership model, none want to say this where any dealers might hear. Because of fear of the same kind of chaos as before.
So for all three reasons, there is no way that Tesla is getting any support for this from other manufacturers.
But once the system is in place, it isn't in their interests to rock the boat.
I could be wrong, I've never bought a new car & my current vehicles were both gifts from a family member which only carried a flat $10 tax.
Texas auto sales tax info: http://www.window.state.tx.us/taxinfo/mtr_veh/mv_su.html
http://stateimpact.npr.org/texas/2013/04/24/tesla-has-eyes-f...
How does this work in light of the law in Texas outlawing this?
Interestingly enough, there should be a supercharger between Dallas and Austin by Q4 2013.
Edit: there is a service center in one of the burbs just blocks north of Dallas proper: http://www.teslamotors.com/service/dallas
This information is based on what I remember of reading various posts in the teslamotorsclub.com forums.
Tesla buyers are not average Joes, they are people with money. People with money have connections, often political. Annoy just a few rich people and it is like magic, the legal and lobbying wheels start spinning.
So depending on your view of government, that's either a really great thing or really terrible one.
Politicians adapt themselves to the carrots and sticks of their environment, just like CEOs, blue-collar laborers, and everybody else. For better or worse, they are a reflection of their constituency.
I don't live in Texas, so I have no dog in the fight.
Now imagine that for a 60k car.
Maybe it's just reasonable that the state protects it's citizens and demand at least one customer care or repair facility in its borders.
Imagine having to drive to California to a recall. If course that would be hard given Tesla reputation, but without enforcing a local presence, how can you be sure?
The law is on the books for real consumer protection reasons beyond putting money in dealers' pockets ( though, putting money in dealers' pockets is a plus too ).
In this case, I think an exemption for the staggeringly different service model of Tesla would be appropriate, while leaving on existing rules.
Think about it for a second. Requiring a car manufacturer to sell cars through a dealership network naturally reduces profit margins for the car manufacturer thus affecting their long-term viability.
The deals between manufacturers and their own dealerships can be arranged with contracts. There is no need for a blanket ban on dealers selling directly.
It's hard to think of a purer example of rent seeking than the protection that dealerships currently have.
I hope Tesla continue to demand what is right and refuse to cut any deals with the dealerships.
http://www.motherjones.com/politics/2009/02/why-you-cant-buy...
Sure... in 2015. That is between 1.5 and 2.5 years away. That they don't meet again until 2015 is really crappy. How do they ever get stuff done?
eg it was US multinationals that got raided over the 35 hour week
Who would have guessed.
When a piece of a neural network becomes corrupt and entrenched beyond repair, (cancerous) the tumor or cancer fights to protect itself, there are two solutions to these kinds of problems.
1. One solution is what Musk is doing, treat the dealerships as a cancerous growth in the mind, and pathways are built to bypass it, route around it. Don't fight it, don't fix it, don't interact with it. Establish as many barriers to its growth as possible and starve it so it doesn't grow. Eventually the superior paths created by Musk are the preferred ones to use, and the defective paths are garbage collected. The cancer will seeks to prevent the growth of new pathways because it does not want to be garbage collected.
2. Remove the growth. When the surgeon finds a tumor or cancer in your brain, it doesn't try to coax it to become better or try to "enhance it" to be better. A hole is cut in the head, and lasers and scalpels are used to physically remove the cancer.
These are the only two options to deal with cancerous growths working only to maintain its take on the system.
Tesla is doing this because it's a rapidly-growing startup whose production facilities are heavily oversubscribed already. They have no net downsides to giving up the "Texas" market for now, because they don't have enough cars to sell even without Texas (and the handful of other such states).
Eventually that won't be true. Once ramped up, they'll want that Texas market. And at that point someone will have to bend. Musk's bet is that at that point Texas will cave because they don't want to deny their voters the chance to purchase this great new car. Texas's "bet" (really the dealership lobbyists' bet) is that Tesla ultimately won't be successful and that by holding their ground here they will discourage other manufacturers from trying the same thing.
IMHO, things make much more sense when you argue in fact instead of metaphor.
My money is on Tesla coming out on top here. Musk strikes me as the type of person that would rather give up sales while holding a huge "Fuck Texas" sign than to give in.
Edit: Added the parent comment I was responding to. Yes, Tesla is playing nice right now. That puts them in a better public opinion. But eventually they'll either step up their game or walk away from Texas. I don't see them giving in. But only time will tell here.
Then when Musk is on board and massive profits streaming, the credits will revert back to burdens on Texans. The cancerous dealer network remains with us for another few decades until the next chance at a disruptive technology to remove it.
Car Dealerships should go the way of newspapers. Imagine if newspapers used their financial might to squish the Internet when it was just a wire between two research facilities? If newspapers hired lobbyists to create laws making it illegal to route around newspapers, then could they how long could they have delayed the internet?
>If the Texas Auto dealers were smart...
That's really the operative phrase isn't it? I think we've already established that some people aren't above burning down their own house to evict an unwanted guest. As it has already been pointed out though, Texans are good at one more thing: Voting people out.You're getting to the real heart of the problem though. The dealers are taking the retro-futuristic approach the newspapers didn't take with the internet. But then the newspapers didn't know just how disruptive that wire will become either.
This is true. However, are you actually arguing in fact? Your statements read as an outside agent judging the intentions and motivations of other agents. Perhaps you're part of one of the groups and actually possess insider knowledge here?
Another potential outsider's reading of the bets and motivations at play (this taken from nearly 4 years working with auto dealerships):
The dealers have built up reliance on a system that allows them to screw over consumers in myriad ways that make them very good money every time a consumer needs a vehicle. They've already seen sales erode due to the economy, as well as the rise of internet-powered sales channels like craigslist, ebay, etc. While they cannot do anything about the former, the latter has been generally approached with dealers getting involved in listing their vehicles on the internet in an effort to constantly re-inject themselves into once private p2p marketplaces.
The dealers no doubt want Tesla to be successful as a manufacturer, they just do not want to allow a new precedent to establish wherein they are not standing as the gatekeepers between consumers and they cars they want. This has been a lucrative business model for them for a very long time. Everybody knows consumers hate it, and yet there's no other way to get your hands on a brand new car. Tesla has a fair amount of consumer interest, and dealers recognize this. So they want to make money off it, which will lead to even higher prices for consumers.
If Tesla succeeds, it's going to establish a manufacturer-operated dealership that vies directly with the existing model, leading to a situation where consumers may value that relationship higher than the one they've had to deal with for so long. Tesla will have an interesting-to-watch dynamic develop between its customers because the relationship will be direct -- right now, every other manufacturer establishes indirect relationships through the dealer proxy. In the Tesla-operated model, there will be no way for dealers to compete with the Tesla dealerships being the only one's with the new cars--this isn't like competing with the Honda dealership across town.
If the Tesla dealerships succeed and consumers take note, dealers would rightly fear other manufacturers following in its footsteps and setting up some trial direct dealerships. If that succeeds ... well, we can all see where that will lead. However, despite that kind of hopeful scenario, I think it is an irrational fear. Most manufacturers rely on dealers to more evenly distribute the risk of producing and selling expensive assets that require a lot of space (floorplan isn't free, and it's a significant dealer cost (which is why you should always buy the oldest car on the lot (measured in # days it has been in dealer inventory))). I seriously doubt automakers are very interested in taking on the work and headache of setting up more distribution networks and doing all of the various things dealers do now that actually serve their local markets. It seems more likely that they're trying to put out the wrong fire here.
Lastly, I'm not sure if this is what you were getting at, so apologies if it's just a longer stating of what you meant. Your comment was ambiguous as to what kind of success you think the Texas dealers are concerned with--ramping up the production facilities successfully so Tesla has enough cars to sell into the Texas market, or winning the fight to sell directly to consumers.
| [F]loorplan isn't free, and it's a significant dealer cost
| (which is why you should always buy the oldest car on the
| lot (measured in # days it has been in dealer inventory)).
I realize this is a little off topic, but can you go into more detail of why this matters? If a dealer has N cars taking up space, why do they care whether I take the one that came in yesterday versus the one that came in a month ago? Selling either seems like it would free up the same space, so how is it different? Are there financial incentives that are at play for them, or is it more that they tend to consider the sunk costs?More importantly, is that information I can find out and use to my advantage when negotiating?
Floorplan is a line of credit dealers use to purchase their retail inventory. Each vehicle on the lot subjects the dealer to finance charges that begin accruing from the moment the dealer takes possession of the vehicle. So, say that the floorplan fees and interest are $100/day per vehicle (for simplicity's sake). The longer a car sits on the lot, the more profit the dealer is losing on that vehicle per day. Make sense?
Why do dealers care?
If you're being charged by the number of days a car is sitting on the lot, and a customer comes in an looks at a brand new, green car that arrived yesterday, and there is an identical twin in every way that is 400 days old, the salesman is going to push you to check out the older one and say they can make a special deal on it for some reason or another (sometimes they'll just say it's because it's been on the lot for a long time if they're really desperate). If you're paying interest on every product by the day, you want to get that out of your inventory as quickly as possible, because that's where you maximize your profit potential.
Often, you can find vehicles on lots that are marked down lower than other similar/identical cars. This is almost always due to floorplan age (I'm assuming we are only talking about new cars here, because used cars bring in a lot of other variables).
Some dealers operate in a way that they seek to capitalize on volume sales vs individual car sales as a way to both be more competitive and mitigate floorplan costs. These are often the best dealers to purchase from (and these are almost never luxury brand dealers) because they will typically sell every single vehicle at invoice price (or several hundred above), and build their profits instead around manufacturer incentives that pay out to the dealer $N per type of car in a graduated fashion where the payout increases as #s of types of cars sold increases. If you have a dealer in your area that advertises (and shows you the proof) that they sell at or near invoice, especially if that is their standard practice, you can safely assume they are a volume dealer. The salespersons are going to be focused on selling as many cars as they can because they are also making their income based on the number of cars sold, not a percentage of per-sale profits.
Can you use this on the lot to your advantage? Sure. Just ask the dealer/salesperson how long the car has been on the lot.
Is the floorplan cost flat? I ask because if you take into account both sunk costs and the fact that two identical models would have the same floorplan cost per day, why would they care to sell the older car first?
Let's say you have two cars on the floor: Car A - just arrived Car B - sitting for 100 days
The cost of the floorplan is $10/day (let's say)
If a customer comes in and buys car A and then car B sits for another 10 days, how is that different than a customer coming in and buying car B and letting car A sit for 10 days? In the end it should cost the dealership the same. It's all about moving inventory, not necessarily moving specific inventory.
I assume I'm missing something here, can you explain?
Each vehicle ordered into inventory is an advance on the line of credit that has repayment fees and interest. Each vehicle sold then translates into paying the floorplan provider the advance amount + fees.
In your example, I'm unsure of how you fail to see that Car B is already costing the dealership more money. But let's work it out anyway.
Car A just arrived. Car B has been sitting for 100 days.
Car A cost $20,000 and is on the lot for 0 days @ $10/day. Total repayment? $20,000.
Car B cost $20,000 and is on the lot for 110 days @ $10/day. Total repayment? $21,100.
If you were the dealer, would you want to lose that additional $1,100? I'm willing to bet it would matter to you.
Complex case:
You're in a floorplan agreement that requires repayment of advances in full (including accrued interest and fees) in n days. You damn well better sell enough specific inventory to cover this without losing profit. The longer specific inventory stays on the lot when you're repaying each period, the more screwed up your numbers become.
It is about both moving inventory and moving specific inventory when that inventory is costing the dealer as much money as 10 other cars that sit on the lot for 20 days each.
Moreover, the typical expected time-on-lot tends to be between 30-90 days. Floorplan terms are usually negotiated for these typical cycles. If a dealer is in a floorplan setup that is built for a 90-day max turnaround, and then has vehicles that sit around for 200+ days, that can add up to significantly higher fees per old car that eats into the profit margin. This is especially important with dealers who are selling based on a profit-per-vehicle basis, as opposed to the profit-per-level basis in use by volume dealers. Last thing you want to do (as a dealer) is strike a deal on a 200-day-old car that you had to strip to invoice price or below to sell, and then repay a floorplan advance + fees that exceed the sales price. It happens, but you still don't want it to happen.
More important still, if a dealer is unable to keep moving inventory off their lot (whether through consumer sales, fleet sales, or dealer trades), then they have more inventory eating up their floorplan, diminishing the amount of inventory they can continue to purchase to replenish supply.
Now, to balance all this out and try to create new profit centers that both put more cash in the bank and provide another opportunity to make money off a potentially negative car sale, we have the Dealer Finance Officer. An absolutely disgusting professional. But that is a different kind of discussion. You may already be familiar with how finance officers help increase dealer profits-per-sale.
I still don't know if I see the difference between the two. We're at Day N (where Car A has been there 0 days and Car B has been there for 110 days). If we sell Car A but not Car B, on Day N+1 we will pay an additional $10 in financing. If we sell Car B but not Car A, on Day N+1 we will pay an additional $10 in financing.
It doesn't matter which bucket we put the additional marginal cost of keeping a single car on the lot, it's the same overal expense to the dealership. Unless the marginal cost increases for a car over time, which, for all I know, it might.
Dealer staff aren't usually trying to look at overall expenses--that's for the accountants to bother with--but the profit/loss per vehicle. This is enforced by nearly everyone's income (on the sales and finance side of the business) being determined on a per-sale basis.
Simplistically, each car on the lot represents a loan. The longer it sits there, the higher the fees & interest paid. Dealers want to move each unit as quickly as possible to keep the repayment fees as low as possible, and to prevent eating up dealer holdback, floorplan assistance, and other incentives. Nearly all of these are calculated on a per-car basis. If it did not matter to dealers, they (and their salespeople) would not know how long the cars stay on the lot--because it directly tells them how much money they're losing per day on that vehicle. Moreover, nearly every salesperson and manager at the dealership know exactly which cars are the oldest cars on the lot, in rough (if not exact) order of age.
The various ways dealers make money--holdbacks, incentives, rebates, floorplan assistance, inflated MSRPs, documentation fees, etc.--all exist to offset the expected costs of doing business--floorplans, commissions, taxes, regulatory fees, etc.
When Car A hits the lot on Day N, the dealer is sitting on 100% profitability from the sale (let's just assume 0 haggling & they get sticker price + all their fees, etc.). Each day the car sits on the lot, they drop further from 100%. The dealer and salespeople are highly incentivized to sell for as close to 100% as they can.
Beyond that, a dealer is in a very unhappy position when the cost of having Car B on the lot is high enough that it begins decreasing the profitability of other cars sold. How does occur? In simplest terms: Car B is on the lot long enough that it's actually eaten through all the cash assistance available to the dealer for Car B, and is now eating through the cash available on Car A.
Let's say the dealer loses 1% profit per day on the lot. It takes 100 days to reach 0, obviously. On day 101, the dealer is now at -1% profit, and that has to come from another car on the lot. It's not unheard of for a car to be on the lot for 300-400 days. I've rarely seen much over 400, but it happens (especially with oddly configured models). In our simple, imaginary scenario, that 400-day-old car has eaten through not only its own profit, but that of 3 other cars.
When you arrive on Day N and Car B has already been there for 100 days, the dealer is significantly further from 100%, and is going to be more willing to bend further to move Car B than s/he is to move Car A, which is sitting on 100%, and whose profit the dealer is strongly interested in preserving.
There are further factors often at play here, as well. Say you are a Sales Manager at the dealership. You have a salary, but on top of that, let's suppose you are paid bonuses based not only on number of cars sold (like salespeople), but also on average days-on-the-lot. The better you are at moving your inventory, the more you make. Have a few cars sitting on the lot significantly longer than the others? Well, now your bonus is fucked up.
The longer a car has been sitting on the lot, the higher your possible chances of working out a better deal purchasing that car. Once a car hits a certain age on the lot, the dealers may even dip into their holdback and other assistance dollars to get the thing moved.
Note: I am not attempting to suggest that the dealers are behaving entirely rationally. I'm just pointing out that these things matter to dealers, who typically look at everything on a profitability-per-car basis.
Disclosure: I know enough about bonuses from selling the oldest cars on the lot to feel confident in saying that lot age matters very much to dealers in a number of ways--enough so that they're willing to pay a salesperson more to sell the 400-day-old car than the 20-day-old car. It matters. The 20-day-old car might make you $300. The 400-day-old car could make you $1,000. When John and Jane Doe walk on to the lot to find their new sedan and you have almost exactly what they're looking for in a 400-day-old model and exactly what they're looking for in a 20-day-old model, which one do you suppose you will try to sell them?
The whole point of arguing in fact is that you can prove someone wrong! The poster makes specific claims and you rebut them -- if I cared enough, I could do some investigation and see who is correct.
That's not true when an argument consists entirely of a metaphor.
To that end, and as I stated clearly, I did the same, offering guesses at what might be going on in the dealer opposition based on experience working with dealerships before. But, ultimately, even my surmising lacks evidence, and so neither of us are arguing with facts--we're simply not advancing a metaphor.
EDIT: Attempting to clarify that my comment was not intended to dispute anything the parent said, but to add another potential view. Apparently I misunderstood the parent's meaning of the phrase "argue in fact".
I don't see why you are willing to discuss the specifics of car dealership gamesmanship in Texas yet demand that I do so within the framework of an analogy to self-healing neural networks.
Basically: you're strawmaning like crazy. Stop it.
Your phrasing "argue in fact" was ambiguous to my reading, which is why I asked what you meant. And yet I didn't dispute or oppose anything you said. All I did was point out that, just as I was about to do, you were making some guesses at bets/motivations as an outsider. Since I'm not refuting anything you say, how can I be proposing a straw man?
Relax, friend. I made no demands that you discuss anything within the framework of an analogy to a self-healing neural network. Moreover, I was replying to shardling's comments that there specific (implicitly factual) claims made that could be determined correct or not with some investigation if he cared--to which I simply pointed out there were no factual claims made, but that we were both positing potentialities and guesses, not factual claims.
Can we take a step back and see there was an apparent misunderstanding of intention? We were not having a disagreement.
"Nothing here is what it seems. You are not the plucky hero, the Alliance is not an evil empire, and this is not the grand arena."
followed by Inara saying "And that's not incense."
When I see a thug standing by the pool of water, and punching everyone who comes and gets water for their lunch money, I don't enter a dialog with the thug for proposed changes. I remove it, for the good of all.