IBM to Acquire SoftLayer
www-03.ibm.com
www-03.ibm.com
I suspect, and this will be easy enough to prove one way or the other after a few years so feel free to call me on it, that we'll see a disproportionate number of successful exits come from /outside/ the valley.
My gut tells me that high-cost of living and inter-company cannibalization are going to make it difficult for companies to sustain long-term growth in the Bay Area (once the data-skewing, one-off, billion-dollar Instagram-esque deals are factored out over time).
Whereas talent will tend to stick to the one or two success stories in less saturated geographies, adding a natural doubling down effect when something is working out well. Sort of a healthy survivorship bias, in a good way.
Edit: And while two anecdotes are still hardly data, I just now noticed that Indianapolis, Indiana based ExactTarget sold today for $2.5B.
SL ultimately merged with/took over TP after TP had merged with EV1 (another company dating to the late 90s), Crosby continuing as CEO.
None of these were startups in the ordinary Silicon Valley sense. They were, fundamentally, managed datacenters (something their geographical location was well-suited for). The companies were built to survive and turn a profit, not achieve a massive exit in the startup lottery.
This claim has no basis in any reality I am familiar with.
Knowing would make googling for the profit focused version of HN much easier.
Then she said munis were effed... went on 60 Minutes and scared a lot of people into losing a lot of money since there have been few defaults, bonds have performed well, and taxes have gone up.
A genius is someone who makes the right call in the right media at the right time.
http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-06-03/meredith-whitney-of...
http://blogs.reuters.com/muniland/2013/06/04/meredith-whitne...
[1] and not even the first - Ivy Zelman made a great case and got herself fired from Credit Suisse in 2007
http://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2007/06/ivy-zelman-departs...
Geographic convenience to both coasts, low taxes, low living costs, high concentration of Fortune 500s and a lot of good talent itching to leave their cubicles.
I wonder why TWC's most recent class has so many concert related businesses (2-3 on quick inspection.) That's something I'd expect from a city like Nashville (a past home.)
Anyways, go Dallas!
For what it's worth, I wasn't seeking out info to disprove you, rather I was trying to make the argument that no humans should exist in Phoenix so I was collecting data on that. I thought you might like to have the measured figures.
[1]: http://www.srh.noaa.gov/fwd/?n=d100info [2]: http://www.nws.noaa.gov/climate/xmacis.php?wfo=psr
All that said, yes it is typically quite dry in Phoenix. No, that does not make the heat somehow less significant. The sun scars the land and kills most life. It's a rough place to be.
Also, the tech scene there is quite meh. There's a few big data centers and some little companies hosting things in them, and there's GoDaddy, but there isn't much else. Don't even think about Phoenix over Dallas unless you really like hiking (that scene is amazing in PHX).
Saying Phoenix is a 'rough place to be' is an exaggeration. Yeah it gets pretty hot in the dead of summer, however the low humidity makes being outdoors far more tolerable (on average) compared to most places in the southern United States (such as Texas). Even then, I wouldn't think of it as a big deal other than the larger-than-average electricity bill for air conditioning.
You're definitely right about the tech scene though, it's why I came to Austin.
The local accelerators (Tech Wildcatters, Health Wildcatters, VentureSpur) are starting to change that by getting those money guys involved, but it's been a very slow process 5 years in the making.
http://www.dallasnews.com/business/
Hard to unseat or even compete with SV if you can't even get local attention or coverage for a big tech/startup win.
There's a large number corporate data jobs in the area needing to be filled. (Analyst, programmer, DBA, warehouse, BIG DATA superstars, whatever...)
The Dallas Morning Snooze is not exactly a great source of any business info or news in North Texas. There's a variety of other sources that try to fill the voids.
Curious, how are you hearing about these jobs needing to be filled? Asking as I am also based in Dallas and looking to move my career that direction.
The problem is that DMN doesn't cover/isn't aware of the scene. I think they might do one piece on TWC once every other year as a 'human interest' story rather than 'hey, look at all this cool shit happening in our front yard!' story.
Very few places in the world can feed the labor needs of a fast growing tech company. Even the largest companies in the Bay Area have to go to New York, LA, and elsewhere to hire more people.
What that means is that you are welcome to start a company wherever you like, but when it comes time to hire a lot of people fast, you wouldn't want to be in any other place.
The navel-gazing doesn't really occur outside of that environment, and the "need to scale" is really just a pissing contest that amateurs crow about while the real men and women get shit done by growing organically, turning a solid profit quarter after quarter and not caring what SV hipsters that don't know what the word profit means say they need to do.
I can only speak for DC, but there is a huge labor force here of highly skilled engineers that have been working on (mostly top secret) defense / intel projects at huge government contractors. They know their jobs are there for them again if they leave and decide to come back, and often they are happy to jump ship and work in a startup if the team and product are compelling.
I imagine DC isn't alone in having a niche industry of highly skilled engineers that would be open to startups. Often they're not involved in the startup culture though so it takes some effort to find them.
I know of a few small, profitable companies that acquire talent by luring them away from major metro areas. Also, lots of big companies are attracting talent from people who are not in an urban cluster like SF, NYC, etc. IBM is a great example of that.
Isn't this THE problem everyone is complaining about in the Bay Area right now?
but when it comes time to hire a lot of people fast, you wouldn't want to be in any other place.
I can name so many other places in the world that I could hire way more developers elsewhere.
There's different types of technically capably labor supply. The one your talking about is most likely the people who are writing very complex algorithms, NLP, or the "hackers" who are writing rails apps over the weekend. The other 90% is writing Java, .NET, SAP (ABAP), etc for big co. These resources are not in short supply and can be found virtually anywhere in the world.
NC is now becoming know as something of a magnet for data centers[1], and the "cheap energy" part is one of the reasons that's often cited here.
[1]: http://www.datacenterknowledge.com/archives/2013/01/04/north...
SurveyMonkey will probably do well, but IPO? Only if they can convince some Wall Street types that they can cook the books in a Groupon type arrangement.
Personally I won't buy an IBM product because I know it's just like Oracle: software entrapment. Nothing wrong with that business model it's just not one I want to be involved with.
In other news, great job by SoftLayer to exit as pricing pressure from AWS and GoogleAppEngine was going to steadily erode their margins over time. I feel the same way about Rackspace which I think has to be in the sights for Oracle now.
So my opinion is: great job SoftLayer; questionable play by IBM.
SoftLayer and everyone not named Google or Amazon can't drop their prices 40+ times every 5 years because this managed hosting is their core business. Google and Amazon are playing the ultra-thin margin long game and the result is that they hope to destroy the competition with an aggressive pricing floor.
When all you have is hosting, you can't lose money on hosting. Amazon and Google can lose money on infrastructure because its not their core business. The same cant be said about SoftLayer, and I don't think their ability to execute will increase as a result of this acquisition. If anything it's akin to Zynga's FUD middle management practices and the resulting layoffs yesterday.
I'm super bearish on IBM doing anything meaningful with SoftLayer. It's a pure revenue play from my perspective.
Could you explain this a bit? I found Amazon and Google overpriced and slow compared to other hosting solutions.
The web hosting business has always been cut-throat, where price cutting and overselling are the norm. And since we started to have fast enough CPUs several years ago, the price has been dropping ever faster, as the CPUs continue to work after the initial costs have been recouped. For example, nowadays there are a lot of deals for dedicated servers with Xeon L5420, a quad core 2.5Ghz processor released in Q1 2008, before EC2 went public.
The sad part about EC2 is that it doesn't shy away from overselling while keeping the same high price. The micro instance with its meager CPU allocation would be the poster child of overselling. There are some naive crowds here who believe EC2 doesn't oversell. Well, just ask Netflix: http://blog.sciencelogic.com/netflix-steals-time-in-the-clou...
IBM currently quotes ability to present "thousands" of virtual Linux images on a single current zSeries mainframe. These servers have virtualised storage IO, virtualised network interfaces etc. and management interfaces older than most of the developers on the hipper cloud platforms.
So to claim IBM "can't build a cloud of their own" is quite ridiculous - they can deliver single mainframes with more capabilities than most smaller cloud providers entire infrastructure for many types of workloads, and have decades of experience aggregating workloads on collections of servers like this (and single system image clustering across up to 32 zSeries mainframes - some simple math should indicate you're then in the tens of thousands of VM images managed as one single system - this with software originally introduced in 1990....), as well as decades of experience building super-computing clusters with accompanying orchestration and management. Heck, they have a separate division doing integrated service management software.
Claiming they can't build a consumer level / low end cloud solution would be more believable, and would explain the SoftLayer acquisition. But there's far more to this market than going for startups who order a handful of vm's.
> When all you have is hosting, you can't lose money on hosting.
That might have become an issue for SoftLayer in the long run if they remained independent.
But IBM is a services company. And one that is an expert in extracting money from customers by building very deep and far reaching client relationships when you can afford them. They could lose money on hosting for the next century if they like, and still see it as a cheap foot in the door for their sales team if it helps them reach new customer segments.
> Google and Amazon are playing the ultra-thin margin long game and the result is that they hope to destroy the competition with an aggressive pricing floor.
Amazon at least is priced ludicrously high compared to providers like Softlayer that can offer hybrid "dedicated + cloud" solutions. If Amazon can compete on price in that market, they've so far not demonstrated any will to do so. Amazon is priced well for the batch "bring up ten servers for two hours" market, though.
There are definitely places where IBM plays well, but commodity clouds aren't one of them, at least to my mind. If you need a high-end computing cluster that's bigger than the max Amazon instances, that would definitely be a place where IBM could play, it's just not a place I see SoftLayer playing.
You're right though; There is more than one way to skin a cat or a cloud.
But that has nothing to do with the cloud, because the cloud is all about automation. Mainframes are about manual provisioning and management. IBM does have experience with automated provisioning of HPC clusters, but that's also fairly different from the cloud.
Is that true? I know nothing about mainframes, so it's an honest question
IBM often writes "performance test" periods into their contracts -- you get x weeks per year to trial the higher levels of performance. This is a sop that realises that mainframes are busiest at financial reporting times, especially at the end of financial year.
Which is a pity, because I look after a bunch of Oracle on zLinux and would like to share...
The thing is that they don't want to cannabalise their own business. If they made zSystem mainframe linux instances accessible with a credit card (~2-5 seconds to boot, RAM-speed local networking, 5-9s hardware availability) they'd risk severely cutting into some of their most lucrative lines of business.
So they won't do that. Not right now, anyhow.
Nobody buys IBM or Oracle products, they become 'partners' and negotiate license agreements. The entrapment is different in that your software (and hardware!) decisions now involve lawyers.
http://washingtontechnology.com/Articles/2013/05/31/amazon-p...
A former employer bought IBM licenses without partnership. Boy, IBM software is lousy. :-/
This may just be a case of IBM needing to acquire companies to add revenue to their financial statements.
Of course I say all this as an AWS customer, as the value flexibility far outweighed the value of support to me. Also, the last time I checked, You had to go through a standard server ordering form process to get a cloud server up and running.
EDIT: Thought I'd add a bit more here.
An entrepreneurial religious young man had set up a niche little bakery in my area, which was supposedly filled with pensioners and people nearing retirement. This bakery catered only to conservative Hindu beliefs (fully vegetarian, no egg or meat products or derivatives used in any of the goodies, images/idols gods and goddesses all over the place).
A couple of months later, he put up a sign that said "We don't sell egg puffs here" (a savoury pastry with a boiled egg at the centre). A couple more months later, the sign was gone, a new boy was hired to serve at the counter, and egg puffs were on the menu.
Whether or not it really is an attempt to go up against AWS, it won't work. IBM has not been successful in slim-margin markets like low-end hardware (or in this case hosting).
I currently have a dedicated server with Softlayer (at one point I had three). I actually started with Rackshack which was consumed by EV1, then merged with The Planet, then eaten by SL. I've been looking to move elsewhere, but this seals the deal. I believe IBM can't help but screw it up.
This is a great acquisition for IBM strategically. Many big enterprises still use IBM/Oracle products because of existing sales relationships and the fact CTO"s want to point the finger when resrouces go down. IBM will sell a ton of this. Also, with the numerous outages on AWS (unacceptable to Fortune 500) - the "selling point" well be "we're not amazon - and we can scale". IMHO
"Exclusive: EMC, IBM eye web hosting company SoftLayer- sources", suggests a $2 billion valuation.
http://www.reuters.com/article/2013/03/15/us-softlayer-sale-...
Softlayer customer profile (small to medium) seems the exact opposite of IBM (very large to huge). Does IBM take the Softlayer expertise and apply it to large accounts or do they try to service a class of customers they know nothing about.
On one hand IBM is selling dev-ops services to its customers. On the other, it finds itself without sufficient in-house expertise to build out its own cloud services. It's not like this is a new need for IBM. They've been talking cloud for years yet still found themselves needing to buy this capability.
It seems IBM has found out that after years of shedding higher priced operations staff they were nothing but a paper tiger when it came to cloud offerings.
Doesn't that make sense though? They are trying to use the people and experience of SL to enter the market of small businesses. It didn't work for Cisco/linksys, but it does make sense to broaden your market if you think you can make it work.
"Call now to arrange a visit from our team of consultants to allow you to launch and configure your new server".
Let me take you back a few years. Remember the SCO lawsuit? Their attempts to sell licenses? Well, only one company bought one -- EV1. Who are now part of SoftLayer (via ThePlanet). Clearly IBM is just after said license. :-)
:)
$ibftc
$execute ibjob
Is this more of an application play?
Good, maybe it's time for me to do something useful with this personalmainframe.com domain I've been sitting on.
We just need to get Matt Smith (of Doctor Who fame) to be our spokesperson... I can just picture him standing there, adjusting his bow-tie and saying "Mainframes are cool."
A cloud of Hercules emulators that instantly spin up multiple MVS systems on demand for RJE? I donno what VTAM would think about that. Or a linux on S390 SaaS provider, I guess.
This is going to be very interesting...
IBM is chasing a dying consulting model "we know best". But they dont.
You yourself with the knowledge can outscale IBM using AWS.
IBM's business is profiting from enterprise ignorance.
Your mileage may vary...or be nonexistent.
Consider the Cell chip, or any number of e-commerce platforms they power.