What's your chance of success?

Apologies if someone has already done this, but I thought it would be neat to make a HN poll for those who have started a company to see how many regard themselves as successful and how many don't (yet). The idea is an indicator of the average success rate of HN users.

As a new user he karma threshold kept me from doing it so if anyone would also like to see this data, please submit a poll, thanks.