Translation: Sure, the odds have gotten longer. Ticket prices might be higher. Consolation prizes might be smaller. But don't worry. If you pick your numbers just right you too can still win the lottery!

I understand things look different from his vantage point, but I just don't see a healthy market in what he wrote - I see a dying one. With the climb getting steeper and the asking prices getting higher, that just shrinks the potential market for paid apps more and more. That helps a culture of not buying apps (other than games) keep growing. To me, it seems clear where this will end.