Interesting numbers. Why do you think that Java developers are the most likely to look for other languages?
The other JVM languages reduce some of its flaws. Go, I have found, avoids them all.
So, yeah, I would be curious on how to support either hypothesis, as well. Best I could think would be to track job listings. While I think you will get a few folks doing things for the novelty and to make it work. I think the majority entering an industry are chasing the buck the last success made.