Let's reason like Elon Musk
Let's make a list of assumptions that are shared in an industry and reason from first principles if they are right. In that way we can determine which industries should be out-innovated.
Examples: * Car industry -> combustion engines are the best -> First principles: electric engines are more efficient. => Tesla Motors * Space industry -> outsourcing makes sense (since we like to wear suits) -> First principles: it is more expensive and not efficient. => SpaceX