There are not many users that don't interact with google. While I don't expect the chrome team to add this to their feature list (even as optional), if they did, it would not really hurt google. It would actually hurt all the other "smaller" players.
Settings > Show Advanced > Privacy > Content settings... > Block third-party cookies and site data.
It's not exactly obvious, of course. :-)
Firefox is going to accept third-party cookies only from sites that you already browsed before, kinda like Safari does it now.
Exactly. But it's not neccesary a bad thing though.
What all the "smaller players" in emerging retracking field - where 3rd party cookies are used in the first place - are doing now is nothing conceptually different from "ah, you've added iPhone to shopping cart at shopX! Now we'll show you iPhone ads for a week on every site you visit!". And user is beating her head against the wall because she bought the iPhone offile a week ago.
If 3rd party cookies will be disabled by default in significant part of browsers, all that players will need to find a ways to add some value visible to users and show it to them and convince them to enable 3rd party cookies manually because that will be just the only way to track them.
We don't know yet what that added value(s) could be, but I'm sure they will be invented. And that would be good thing.
But users will never manually enable 3rd party cookies, even if they agreed with you that the ads were adding value (which odds are they never will either).
Content has to be monetized in some way -- if not ads, then how?
All that blocking 3rd party cookies will accomplish is put most of the less technically-mature shops out of business while the smart ones figure out a way to route around using the exact same data science for targeting.
Charge for it perhaps?
It depends. Maybe not the ads per se would be added value, will see anyway.
And by the way, ads may be the content on its own, don't you think? Ask anyone of 30+ mln people who had viewed last Pepsi&Jeff Gordon commercial on YouTube for example.
I work at a "retargeting shop" and our customers test the crap out of our tools to make sure we're actually driving results. Others may use more smoke and mirrors, but when done right, retargeting does in fact change user behavior and generate ROI.
But most e-commerce retargeting, IMHO, is trading on the fact that a naive marketing manager will put too much stock in a high conversion percentage. All of those people were, by definition, aware of the product and actively shopping. Did you create a customer? Probably not, maybe by virtue of them clicking the ad instead of going somewhere else, but that's still pretty zero-sum.
Prospecting for people who haven't previously clicked the item on your site, but would be interested, is a lot harder and potentially more valuable.
All IMHO of course.
granted not every viewthrough and clickhtrough conversion is driven by the advertising, but some definitely are and it is often profitable if a campaign is optimized and run well.