Furthermore Samsung isn't in the software business, its in the hardware business. Unless they find some giant profitable reason to fork and diversify into becoming a software business also, I see no reason why they would not simply keep riding the innovation coming out of google.
2 years back, it was a smaller and different market. Samsung has established brand now and has more power on android. They are moving around 100 million phones a year now. It's not the same market. Samsung doesn't need to do much to fork android. They recently announced a new wallet API for Samsung devices. If developer start doing apps for Samsung specific API and devices that's all they need. If those become popular enough that's a huge barrier for other OEM's to copy.
Few years back google forced Motorola from using a competing maps service. I don't think they can force Samsung from using or creating non google services.
http://www.theverge.com/2013/2/27/4035064/samsung-wallet-app...