Ask HN: How many times do users mistype their password on a registration form?
I have only gotten the "passwords do not match" error a very few times, so I can assume that maybe 90%+ of the time users enter their password correctly the first time. For the 10% that don't, you can just hope that they entered their email correctly, and then just send their pass to their email. If they mistyped their pass and their email, than there is a problem...