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No it doesn't. A blurry possibly-faked nigh-useless photo is still hard evidence.

The value of which is statistical.

What separates hard evidence from circumstantial evidence, then?

a really good lawyer (aka, lots of money).

I probably should have specified a photo of the crime.

Circumstantial evidence is indirect, like you being in the area of something, hard evidence is actually of you committing an alleged act.