The Most Terrifying Drone Video Yet
mashable.com
mashable.com
The capabilities of these quad copters (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2la4pIyXOEQ) aren't so far off. Then you have to add person recognition and a bunch of other stuff. It's supposed to be "moderately visionary".
http://robohub.org/video-throwing-and-catching-an-inverted-p...
It's fine if you don't find this amazing. I do, and I think many others do too.
And for each of those many ideas that are currently infeasible, there are probably other solutions that will turn out to be more practical. Technology doesn't progress by someone saying "Here's a way we can probably do this thing in the future, we just need to fill in the details." It works by fulfilling incremental goals toward improving existing technology. Any speculation about currently-impossible means to the end of overarching goals is just adding burdensome details. ( http://lesswrong.com/lw/jk/burdensome_details/ )
So if someone predicts that in the next few decades, we may have small drones that can handle gusts of wind, that's not a bad prediction. When they predict that wind gusts will be handled by a nature-inspired wing-flapping-with-feedback system the which does not remotely exist, you should stop listening. Those extra details sound like they give the hypothesis more credibility, but in fact they are constraining its predictions to a laughably tiny space.
Last year we witnessed an amazingly complex landing of the Mars rover. There were about a million things that could have gone wrong, and I would bet money that there were skeptics (probably even within the technical leadership). Were they wrong to be skeptical? Of course not -- they had sound reasons to be skeptical, and a strong chance of being right. However, the mission was a success, and those skeptics (smart as they were) were proved wrong.
I'm surprised you pounced on my statement rather than the absurdly dismissive comment I was referring to. I'll write it off to caffeine :-) .
And I bet that day is by the end of this decade.
But if you feel there are any TSA workers who are thoughtful, intelligent beings, you are way off. It has massive turnover for darn good reason. Think about the lack of thought and care that has to go into taking a job like that. I mean you would have to really enjoy people hating you, enjoy violating people, or just not caring, and any of that make for a really horrible personality.
People are so quick to get upset these days. Chill.
With a relatively unconstrained budget, access to technology which is quite scary and secrecy regime, we might already be there behind closed doors.
That's what I came up with in a couple of minutes.
Plenty of ideas floating around.
Though there are endless evil creepy uses, there are also many very, very nice ones too - finding (+ even rescuing in awful weather with a big UAV) missing people is an obvious one, courier delivery is another (not with micro uavs though!)
Having said that, I can't help but find the evil uses incredibly exciting too. Like military weapons that are deadly and awful in practice, there is some engineering loveliness there too (just look at an F22 for an e.g.). Sue me.
FedEx micro UAV delivery was in Vernor Vinge's 2004 short story Synthetic Serendipity[1] and set in the same universe as his 2006 novel Rainbows End.
"Jerry was looking upward, at the FedEx shipment falling toward his outstretched hands."
[1] http://spectrum.ieee.org/computing/networks/synthetic-serend...
That said, I'm a bit surprised at the overall response from the tech sites I frequent (HN, etc); it's almost as if everyone universally agrees that this is the epitome of evil or something. IMHO, there are far scarier things that will happen in our lifetimes.
Make that "science" and I agree, but technology is all about specific uses. What exactly is a non-evil way to use a microdrone with lethal armament?
Pest control? :-)
We're talking about a class of technology here anyway, yes the specific instances tend to obviously be for good or evil, but a class of technology has a wide range of applications.
Also, I think you could argue that improving military technology so the military only murder specifically those people they meant to murder (I hate these 'collateral damage'-type weasel words) is a good thing.
Drone proliferation, military and civil, is unavoidable.
Shielding high-value targets from ultra-small drones would be relatively easy. For someone bent on terror or softer targets, it's harder, and the attacker need only succeed once (or a relatively small number of times).
"May you live in interesting times."
The US and its allied forces presently have an overwhelming superiority in drone devices (airborne as well as land and sea based). Other parties are likely to catch up, even if only with more primitive devices and at smaller volumes of production, relatively quickly.
The scenario which becomes ... interesting ... is where all parties have access to technology of this type.
Criticisms of the US notwithstanding, the nation generally acts with some level of conscience and oversight. The same cannot be said of all adversaries. An Al Qaeda, North Korea, Iran, or African warlord with such weapons would likely have far fewer reservations in their use.
Even conventional RC aircraft, radio and GPS controls, and small explosives or other ordinance could be used to lethal effect.
Sure, and that's one of the reasons I used such an obviously vague phrase.
The point being that no matter who you define as good or bad, once the cat's out of the bag, it's out, and probably this stuff will be acquired by, and used by, people whose goals you abhor.
And that's really scary.
[I don't think that there's some sort of inherent connection of the tech with "bad", because there are always going to be certain uses, if maybe very narrow ones, which the vast majority of people would find justified. E.g. blah blah Hitler blah blah.]
He also designed systems for heat-seaking missiles and underwater torpedoes. He's amazing in a scary, lethal way
(as always ;) provides some additional "nice" ideas for this kind of future warefare.
Fly to destination within 15 minuted.
Sit there for days using sunlight.http://ngm.nationalgeographic.com/2013/03/unmanned-flight/ho...
Did anyone really not see this coming? Pervasive, ubiquitous surveillance(+) is fairly obviously in our current-to-near-future. The fact that others will be able to build similar technology (aside from the US military/government), while scary, might be better than the alternative (one power having a monopoly on ubiquitous surveillance).
Of course, this leads into being used in non-war scenarios (Minority Report style), which is where I suspect most of the discussion will center around.
This is just a half-assed fantasy.
Point being, a single operator can potentially control many drones spread out over a large area.
However, given the already remarkable proliferation of military drones I'm willing to take even speculation very seriously.