I never got that analogy. Lightning will strike the same place over and over again[1], because that place has the least resistance for charge to flow between the clouds and the ground.
[1] http://www.newton.dep.anl.gov/askasci/wea00/wea00354.htm
[1] http://www.newton.dep.anl.gov/askasci/wea00/wea00354.htm