Is Vine Instagram for Video?
blog.fredstevenssmith.com
blog.fredstevenssmith.com
The narcissistic services like Twitter and Facebook haven't really had a video equivalent. By limiting the videos to 6 seconds people will be able to post little videos without requiring the talent or effort to make something longer that people will be willing to watch.
Just as the reddit front page has become dominated by meme images that require little brain power to consume, Vine will ideal for LOL videos posted by people. I suspect it will be very successful.
Also, the OP says "Instagram makes everyone ‘creative’." Seriously?
There's really no difference between this and giving everyone a box of Crayolas: most people will produce crap, a few will be Picasso. The ease of sharing your creation is the key element.
I would assume that the same filters from YT in the Browser are coming to the app as well, making it a far more compelling "Instagram for Video".
The crux of why video isn't like photo is that editing it is so bloody difficult... and the only way you create compelling video is through editing. This app does nothing to help that.
Just as alcohol makes everyone funny.
I think you missed an interesting point, though:
Can Twitter (or Facebook, or anyone else for that matter) still build the next big thing internally? Are these companies still as 'startup' as they think they are, or are they now too slow and bureaucratic to come up with products unrelated to their own core functionality?
A follow question: should they even come up with the new cool thing, or should they focus on their core offerings and simply buy break out successes when they are apparent?
In my opinion, both FB and Twitter are overestimating their chances here, like any incumbent always does (see Christensen). The questions "what if Google does this" is dismissed by every founder, because obviously Google is too focused on its core mission to make the success of a new social app the forefront of its development efforts.
Both companies are focusing more and more on being platforms for others, rather than building and testing all new paradigms themselves. This is what being the incumbent allows you to do, taking much larger risks, with larger payoffs. Launching a lot of small apps with cool ideas certainly shouldn't be their core business when they need to figure out how to deal with their growing developer ecosystem (again, something both companies are struggling with).
Acting on fear, which both companies did with their recent apps, certainly isn't the right strategy. But maybe I'm wrong and Twitter and Facebook are the only companies that can escape the innovator's dilemma?
BTW - Google is doing fine on that front with self driving cars and rockets, despite their not so apparent track record in social.
Imagine if Twitter had / was able to acquire Instagram. That, plus Vine, and I'd say Twitter would be on their way to helping rapidly kill Facebook; Now Facebook's death with just be a bit slower, and they may own some more assets that might be worth something.
I think it was Systrom who made carved out that path for Instagram, and not any reluctance on Twitter's part.
The people familiar with the negotiations said Twitter
executives were shocked that they had not been given an
opportunity[1] to present a counteroffer. They said
Twitter was prepared to make higher offers [than $525M].
~ http://www.nytimes.com/2012/04/14/technology/instagram-found...Is Vine a "success"/popular? How is this quantified?
1. People like Techcrunch are talking about it.
2. (...)
3. Success!
Everyone knowing about it is a big hurdle to get over towards real success, but it's not really success in itself.
Here's an easy way to subjectively understand if something is popular: https://twitter.com/search?q=%23vine&src=typd
It was only later when showing it to my family I realized there was sound, since my laptop is always muted if I'm not actively listening to something on it.
Withou the sound, it was sort of like amazing slice-of-life home movies from all over the world in a neat little mash up of humanity.
With the sound... it was a bunch of videos. Often neat, but somehow less.
In order to endorse content like that however, Apple wants to know that the app can handle the traffic and the server costs. If they know you are a big company, or even a funded startup, it plays a role in the selection process.
I make a storytelling app, so I've thought a lot about story telling apps in the past. I understand how you see it as a storytelling medium, but do you really think it's an efficient one? A great one? Could you really make a powerful story using Vine? I'm still unsure, but I think they are going to have a pretty hard time conveying a powerful narrative with it.
Here's a couple examples made with our app, would love to hear your thoughts: http://backspac.es/r/sKu44BhXgn, http://backspac.es/r/klfmvMdWD1