Antibiotic 'apocalypse' warning
bbc.co.uk
bbc.co.uk
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/12/17/opinion/antibiotics-in-liv...
Not to mention this will prolly raise the price of your favourite horse, errm.. beef burger at the local supermarket. :-)
(sorry)
I could be wrong since this is way out of my areas of interest, but AFAIK it has nothing to do with fighting off infections.
The majority of cattle which end up in a grocer, convenience store, or restaurant spent most of their life completely infested with E. coli. Right up to the point of being thrown into the grinder.
It's even more astonishing that a reputable news organization like the BBC would do a story on it and not mention livestock. It would be like doing a story on global warming and not mentioning carbon emissions.
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/04/12/us/antibiotics-for-livesto...
I know antibiotics are a public health problem, but I'd personally be pissed if I needed to pay extra for the drugs and a vet's involvement for such a simple thing. We're talking $6 or so for the meds I mentioned earlier. How much does the average farm vet house call cost? Beats me, but I'm not anxious to find out, and it might be better to put down an animal than shoulder such expense.
The FDA (or maybe that would be the USDA?) would be better off to simply ban sale of animal products with any measurable trace of antibiotics. Period. That would certainly cause a major upset in the industry as we know it, but the living conditions of commercially-raised meat animals is appalling and could use the change.
PS: There is a finite amount of discoverable antibiotics FOR ALL TIME. Without a long term replacement or human extinction any and all systimatic use of antibiotics on animals will lead to significant human casualties (as in millions to billions of human lives.) Granted most of these people have not been born yet but it's way more important than a lot of other hot button issues.
Besides, many say it's too late. Resistance genes are in the wild and bacteriophages will spread them. Nothing can prevent that. Banning it's use on livestock at this point will most likely be an exercise in futility, like shooting the evil queen after eating the poisoned apple.
In order to kill the resistance of the existing bugs we'd need to start letting people die from both kinds of bacteria, resistant ones and non-resistant ones, so that the energy efficiency the non-resistant ones gain very slowly wins out over the advantage of treatment resistance that the resistant ones have. If any small subset of humans for any reason deviates from this, it negates the effects, so effectively you cannot have even a small country disagree. Nor can you get away with only treating the rich. Not for a year or two, but likely for centuries. And even when that does happen, you still have to limit usage of the drugs.
Please note that it isn't necessarily so bad. Viruses have won the resistance battle against medication decades ago, and aside from a few incidents, effects have been relatively limited. There has not been an even medium-scale pandemic. But there are quite a few viruses where getting infected means it's curtains, and no treatment is possible. One particularly scary one is rabies. Fortunately, inoculation still mostly works, with only a few exceptions (like HIV).
We've lost this battle, let's just move on.
Second it's not an all or nothing story. We use far more antibiotics on Animals than people and that's a huge issue because it's eroding effectiveness not simply creating a single super bug that will now rule for all time.
I wouldn't read that article as serious journalism.
And it works.
EDIT: Actually, Norway's success in reducing resistant infections is due to their limiting of antibiotics use in humans.
In many countries, antibiotics are sold over the counter and/or given as placebo to patients who visit the doctor with a virus infection.
This is a prime example of a tragedy of the commons: you can be as careful as you want in your use of antibiotics, but that will not help much if others are breeding resistant strains. For an example, look at the map at http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Methicillin-resistant_Staphyloc... or at the data in http://www.sante.public.lu/publications/rester-bonne-sante/m... and compare Scandinavia and, to a lesser extent, the Netherlands and Germany with other EU countries.
Someone has to formulate a specific policy and then get it through the House/Senate sub-committee if they want funding. In a period where there is a strong tide against all goverment spending and some very anti-science people that are key in the process I'm not hopeful that a solution will come up soon.
http://www.ecfr.gov/cgi-bin/text-idx?c=ecfr&SID=0bc0fb14...
And if it's considered to be non-synthetic, the only restriction is strychnine.
Summary: most of the antibiotics given routinely to animals are of types that are never or rarely used in humans. The most effective antibiotics are already restricted to human use or require a prescription for animal use.
But the problem with drug resistance is that these bacteria strains evolve when exposed to a drug, so that the mechanism of action for the drug stops being effective. What I want to know is: why aren't we treating new infections by giving patients a drug with every (still working) mechanism of action at once, attacking the infection on multiple fronts?
Essentially you'd be massively constraining the optimization problem that evolution has to solve, and making it way more unlikely that the bacteria in the patient could acquire all of the necessary mutations before being wiped out.
So what is it about this strategy that wouldn't work? Why are doctors still just prescribing amoxicillin alone?
Some powerful antibiotics are very toxic (e.g. liver, etc) and thus less used.
Some diseases, like resistant tuberculosis, are sometimes treated with antibiotic "cocktails".
The problem is that combinations of antibiotics may have cytotoxic effects even at doses lower than normally harmful. Those two combinations above are used because they are known to work in synergy, with few side effects.
Some antibiotics are not used except as a last resort precisely because they are so toxic to the human body that they might kill the host in the process of eradicating the target bacteria. In fact, antibiotics are found in nature all the time, but they tend to be too toxic to use.
[1] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Amoxicillin/clavulanic_acid
[2] http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trimethoprim/sulfamethoxazole
There are some infections that call for combination therapy but it must always be done with an eye to side effects;
Effectively microbiologists work out what the 'MIC' or minimum inhibitOry concentration is, and then use that because hopefully that will be the least likely to cause other side effects, or I.e. totally obliterate the patients GI fauna which could open them up to attack by something worse
Many antibiotics in a cocktail in significant dosages can cause kidney failure.
No idea if that's why they don't do it. Side effects sounds plausible too.
Also, remember that medicine is all about postponing the inevitable. We put a ton of money into postponing a person's death. It makes sense that, if they don't have a better alternative, they would continue to use these antibiotics if they got local results even if the practice has an expiration date.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tuberculosis_management#The_sta...
"The frequency of spontaneous mutations that confer resistance to an individual drug are well known: 1 in 10^7 for EMB, 1 in 10^8 for STM and INH, and 1 in 10^10 for RMP."
So resistance is basically everywhere -- it becomes deadly when it is concentrated.
For example, India, Russia and China have a large amount of TB. Some patients start treatment regimes but do not complete them. The bacteria develops resistance and then spreads.
Allow this to happen over millions of individuals then throw in international travel, bringing the infection to areas that do not suspect it quite as often. London is having a TB boom due to immigration. (disclosure: I am a doctor, partner specialises in infectious disease)
I've never understood this, maybe you can answer me. Doesn't the immune system also kill bacteria? By using antibiotics you kill most of the bacteria, and then the immune system finishes them off.
After all, if any bacteria were left wouldn't they just get the person sick again?
An infection starts with just a few bacteria, a reinfection would be the same - unless the immune system keeps them in check, in which case there are no bacteria left to build resistance.
If a bacteria is resistant then giving the full does wouldn't help anyway, it's resistant after all. It won't do anything except remove all competition so the resistant will be the only bacteria left. It seems to me it's better to try to kill only some of the bacteria so you don't isolate the resistant one so well, and rely on the immune system to kill most of the bacteria.
One function of the immune system is killing bacteria, but it can also quarantine and reject (e.g: Phlegm, vomiting, etc) them, which is one source of transmission.
That's perfect! That means if you stop there then what you have left is un-resistant bacteria. That's excellent, you avoided breeding resistance.
So why do you want to keep taking antibiotics that narrows down the bacteria till only resistant ones are left?
In the best case, the full treatment kills all of them, or enough that your immune system can eliminate them completely. Resistance doesn't develop because it doesn't get a chance. They're all dead.
Worst case, you kill enough to weed out those with no or weak resistance, and then spread the infection to others where it can continue to evolve.
So it comes down to (a) how much are you concentrating/selecting for these resistances, and (b) how likely are you to pass it on such that it propagates.
I think it's reasonable to assume that a lower bodily population makes it less likely to pass on, which would be one good reason. Another might be that, by heavily reducing the population, you may reduce the genetic diversity enough that they're susceptible to other factors (ie: when not facing antibiotics, they get starved out by the non-resistant strains because the resisting mutations come with costs attached). By leaving a larger population alive, there's more scope for hybridisation leading to overall stronger species.
I must admit I have little formal knowledge in this area, so it's possible these effects don't exist, or have only limited impact. If I had time it would be interesting to look into it further, it seems like this topic is too obvious not to have been considered before.
(all numbers arbitrary)
Stop the antibiotic as early as possible.
It's not like you're going to wait to infect people till you're done with the antibiotic, so the "starts with the 85th percentile" scenario still happens. But by taking even more antibiotic all you do (as far as I can tell) is make even more resistant bacteria.
So while the most resistant bacteria are killed at last, they still might not be able to multiply.
Future ill health allow these to reactivate.
And not like they were on life support when hitting over 100, they were out in the fucking field working.
But yeah, eventually this will disappear and all we have is a book saying that 100 years ago average life span was 30 years so we are doing great increasing it to 60 :D
That's why having many children was preferable in time past: it was a foregone conclusion that several of them would probably never reach adulthood, often due to infectious disease
If it were impossible for the children of anti-science fundamentalists to constitute a sufficient and sane majority to protect science, we'd have almost certainly never gotten to where we are.
That America, a country populated largely by those whose primary intent was the pursuit of religious fundamentalism, was ever the world lead in science and technology puts rather large holes in the "fundamentalists breeding will be the downfall of us all" argument.
Similarly goes the concern about "dumb people breeding more/faster" necessarily leading to the dystopic future of IDIOCRACY.
We can absolutely suffer a reversion to fundamentalism and/or a rise of proudly celebrated ignorance. There are plenty of historical examples of civilizations falling to those threats. I'm just saying that we also have plenty of data that it needn't necessarily go that way.
Source: http://www.ted.com/talks/hans_rosling_religions_and_babies.h....
They accept that evolution can cause variations within species (anti-biotic resistant bacteria being a very clear example) but don't accept that evolution causes speciation.
I guess I just think about it from the angle that the public health system has to run around drumming up popular support to get anything new done, even though all the boring old stuff they do has such a huge impact.
Similarly, elderly patients frequently end up suffering from malnutrition in hospitals because of poor food and/or not enough staff to feed people with difficulty eating. And malnutrition leads to immunological depression. Again: shaving margins on this stuff costs lives.
New drugs actually come some way down the checklist of things we need to be doing to contain infectious diseases.
Those are the first things abandoned by the homeless. Who have also been the breeding pool for resistant TB.
For whatever reason, it is now hard to get or not available at all. Any insight into this?
Is this anything approaching a workable idea?
I'm not sure to what extent the physical plant (walls, floors, etc) is the primary source of transmission compared with the staff/patients/visitors. The stats on something as basic and fundamental as hand-washing are often quite shocking.
[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Antimicrobial_properties_of_co...
[edit: typo]
Se probiotics.